Managing Climate Risk in Water Supply Systems

Water resources systems provide multiple services and, if managed properly, can contribute significantly to social well-being and economic growth. However, extreme or unexpected hydroclimatic conditions, such as droughts and floods, can adversely affect or even completely interrupt these services. This manual seeks to provide knowledge, resources and techniques for water resources professionals to manage the risks and opportunities arising from hydroclimatic variability and change. Managing Climate Risk in Water Supply Systems provides materials and tools designed to empower technical professionals to better understand the key issues in water supply systems. These materials are part of a suite of resources that are developed to share climate risk knowledge related to a range of sectors and climate-related problems. The text motivates students by providing practical exercises and it stimulates readers or workshop participants to consider options and analyses that will highlight opportunities for better management in the water systems in which they are stakeholders. Managing Climate Risk in Water Supply Systems provides a hands-on approach to learning key concepts in hydrology and climate science as they relate to climate risk management in water supply systems. The primary audience is technical professionals in water resources management and provides a practical approach to training. ISBN: 9781780400587 (Print) ISBN: 9781780400594 (eBook)

[1]  H. Meinke,et al.  Operational seasonal forecasting of crop performance , 2005, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[2]  D. Feldman,et al.  Making Science Useful to Decision Makers: Climate Forecasts, Water Management, and Knowledge Networks , 2009 .

[3]  W. Hall,et al.  Water Resources Systems Engineering , 1970 .

[4]  A. Garrido,et al.  Formal risk‐transfer mechanisms for allocating uncertain water resources: The case of option contracts , 2004 .

[5]  Upmanu Lall,et al.  An optimization model for screening multipurpose reservoir systems , 1988 .

[6]  Leo R. Beard,et al.  Flood Control Operation of Reservoirs , 1963 .

[7]  L. Mays,et al.  Hydrosystems engineering and management , 1991 .

[8]  Dennis P. Lettenmaier,et al.  Economic Value of Long-Lead Streamflow Forecasts for Columbia River Hydropower , 2002 .

[9]  R. Lempert,et al.  Presenting Uncertainty About Climate Change to Water-Resource Managers , 2008 .

[10]  Deborah H. Lee Institutional and Technical Barriers to Risk-Based Water Resources Management: A Case Study , 1999 .

[11]  M. V. Aalst,et al.  89 - Come Rain or Shine - Integrating Climate Risk Management into African Development Bank Operations , 2007 .

[12]  A. Sankarasubramanian,et al.  The Role of Monthly Updated Climate Forecasts in Improving Intraseasonal Water Allocation , 2009 .

[13]  Casey Brown,et al.  Effect of forecast- based pricing on irrigated agriculture : A simulation , 2006 .

[14]  Carl Tim Kelley,et al.  Developing portfolios of water supply transfers , 2005 .

[15]  Kirstin Dow,et al.  The potential use of climate forecasts by community water system managers , 2006 .

[16]  C. Anta,et al.  African Development Bank Seminar - African Economic Research Consortium 22-24 November, Tunis , 2006 .

[17]  Upmanu Lall,et al.  A Nearest Neighbor Bootstrap For Resampling Hydrologic Time Series , 1996 .

[18]  Leon S. Lasdon,et al.  Stochastic Optimization of the Highland Lakes System in Texas , 2006 .

[19]  Ronald C. Griffin,et al.  Water Resource Economics: The Analysis of Scarcity, Policies, and Projects , 2005 .

[20]  A. H. S. Ang,et al.  Probability Concepts in Engineering Planning and Design Volume II Decision , 1984 .

[21]  M. Ward,et al.  Diagnosis and Short-Lead Time Prediction of Summer Rainfall in Tropical North Africa at Interannual and Multidecadal Timescales , 1998 .

[22]  Shahbaz Mushtaq,et al.  A decision support tool for irrigation infrastructure investments , 2009 .

[23]  Scott A. Jercich California's 1995 Water Bank Program: Purchasing Water Supply Options , 1997 .

[24]  R. E. Livezey,et al.  Estimation and Extrapolation of Climate Normals and Climatic Trends , 2007 .

[25]  M. Ward,et al.  Future Occurrence of Threshold-Crossing Seasonal Rainfall Totals: Methodology and Application to Sites in Africa , 2011 .

[26]  A. Sterl,et al.  On the robustness of ENSO teleconnections , 2007 .

[27]  L. Goddarda,et al.  CURRENT APPROACHES TO SEASONAL-TO-INTERANNUAL CLIMATE PREDICTIONS , 2000 .

[28]  Radhika Vidanage De Silva,et al.  Water is an economic good: How to use prices to promote equity, efficiency, and sustainability , 2002 .

[29]  John P. O'connor,et al.  WATER BANKING AND RESTORATION OF ENDANGERED SPECIES HABITAT: AN APPLICATION TO THE SNAKE RIVER , 2001 .

[30]  Ichiro Fukumori,et al.  DISTINGUISHING THE ROLES OF NATURAL AND ANTHROPOGENICALLY FORCED DECADAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY Implications for Prediction , 2011 .

[31]  G. Ziervogel,et al.  Using climate information for supporting climate change adaptation in water resource management in South Africa , 2010 .

[32]  Soroosh Sorooshian,et al.  Factors affecting seasonal forecast use in Arizona water management: A case study of the 1997-98 El Niño , 2002 .

[33]  Richard E. Howitt,et al.  Spot Prices, Option Prices, and Water Markets: An Analysis of Emerging Markets in California , 1998 .

[34]  Joyeeta Gupta,et al.  Scale issues in the governance of water storage projects , 2008 .

[35]  Maria Carmen Lemos,et al.  The Use of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Policymaking: Lessons from Northeast Brazil , 2002 .

[36]  Willem A. Landman,et al.  Seasonal Climate Forecasts – Potential Agricultural-Risk Management Tools? , 2006 .

[37]  Gerald A. Meehl,et al.  Future changes of El Niño in two global coupled climate models , 2006 .

[38]  Peter D. Little,et al.  Poverty Traps and Natural Disasters in Ethiopia and Honduras , 2007 .

[39]  Balaji Rajagopalan,et al.  A technique for incorporating large‐scale climate information in basin‐scale ensemble streamflow forecasts , 2005 .

[40]  Gerald J. Lieberman,et al.  Introduction to operation research. , 2001 .

[41]  S. Rayner,et al.  Weather Forecasts are for Wimps: Why Water Resource Managers Do Not Use Climate Forecasts , 2005 .

[42]  Upmanu Lall,et al.  Demand management of groundwater with monsoon forecasting , 2006 .

[43]  Ari M. Michelsen,et al.  Economic impact of alternative policy responses to prolonged and severe drought in the Rio Grande Basin , 2005 .

[44]  D. North Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance: Economic performance , 1990 .

[45]  Dennis P. Lettenmaier,et al.  Long-range climate forecasting and its use for water management in the Pacific Northwest region of North America , 2000 .

[46]  Performance of water policy reforms under scarcity conditions: a case study in Northeast Brazil. , 2009 .

[47]  Christine L. Jocoy,et al.  Why worry? Community water system managers’ perceptions of climate vulnerability , 2007 .

[48]  S. Sorooshian,et al.  CONFIDENCE BUILDERS Evaluating Seasonal Climate Forecasts from User Perspectives , 2002 .

[49]  Casey Brown,et al.  Managing hydroclimatological risk to water supply with option contracts and reservoir index insurance , 2007 .

[50]  Jery R. Stedinger,et al.  Water Resources Systems Planning And Management , 2006 .

[51]  A. Michelsen,et al.  Economics of optioning agricultural water rights for urban water supplies during drought , 1993 .

[52]  William W.-G. Yeh,et al.  Reservoir Management and Operations Models: A State‐of‐the‐Art Review , 1985 .

[53]  M. Muller,et al.  Integrated Water Resources Management in Practice: Better Water Management for Development , 2012 .

[54]  H. Meinke,et al.  Seasonal and Inter-Annual Climate Forecasting: The New Tool for Increasing Preparedness to Climate Variability and Change In Agricultural Planning And Operations , 2005 .

[55]  Upmanu Lall,et al.  Role of Retrospective Forecasts of GCMs Forced with Persisted SST Anomalies in Operational Streamflow Forecasts Development , 2008 .

[56]  Thomas M. Smith,et al.  Improved Extended Reconstruction of SST (1854–1997) , 2004 .

[57]  Dennis P. Lettenmaier,et al.  Columbia River Streamflow Forecasting Based on ENSO and PDO Climate Signals , 1999 .

[58]  A. Garrido,et al.  Evaluation of drought management in irrigated areas , 2003 .

[59]  Myles T. Collins,et al.  Managing the Risk of Uncertain Threshold Responses: Comparison of Robust, Optimum, and Precautionary Approaches , 2007, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[61]  G. Meehl,et al.  Decadal prediction: Can it be skillful? , 2009 .

[62]  John A. Dracup,et al.  ENSO and PDO Effects on Hydroclimatic Variations of the Upper Colorado River Basin , 2003 .

[63]  Stephen H. Schneider,et al.  Bridging the gap: linking climate-impacts research with adaptation planning and management , 2010 .

[64]  A. Garrido,et al.  Spot water markets and risk in water supply , 2005 .

[65]  S. Someshwar Adaptation as ‘Climate-Smart’ Development , 2008 .

[66]  David G. Groves,et al.  A General, Analytic Method for Generating Robust Strategies and Narrative Scenarios , 2006, Manag. Sci..