Revisiting the global mean ocean mass budget over 2005–2020

. We investigate the continuity and stability of GRACE and GRACE Follow-On satellite gravimetric missions by assessing the ocean mass budget at global scale over 2005-2020, focusing on the last years of the record (2015-2020) when GRACE and GRACE Follow-On faced instrumental problems. For that purpose, we compare the global mean ocean mass estimates from GRACE and GRACE Follow-On to the sum of its contributions from Greenland, Antarctica, land glaciers and terrestrial water storage estimated with independent observations. A significant residual trend of -1.60 ± 0.36 mm/yr over 5 2015-2018 is observed. We also compare the gravimetry-based global mean ocean mass with the altimetry-based global mean sea level corrected for the thermosteric contribution. We estimate and correct for the drift of the wet tropospheric correction of the Jason-3 altimetry mission computed from the on-board radiometer. It accounts for about 40 % of the budget residual trend beyond 2015. After correction, the remaining residual trend amounts to -0.90 ± 0.78 mm/yr over 2015-2018 and -0.96 ± 0.48 mm/yr over 2015-2020. GRACE and GRACE Follow-On data might be responsible for part of the observed non-closure of the 10 ocean mass budgets since 2015. However, we show that significant interannual variability is not well accounted for by the data used for the other components of the budget, including the thermosteric sea level and the terrestrial water storage. Besides, missing contributions from the evolution of the deep ocean or the atmospheric water vapour may also contribute. The Ishii v7.3.1 data are available TWS WGHM v2.2d data are available TWS ISBA-CTRIP data et 2019). Greenland, Antarctica and glaciers datasets, to in the and the therein.

[1]  A. Cazenave,et al.  Applications and Challenges of GRACE and GRACE Follow-On Satellite Gravimetry , 2022, Surveys in Geophysics.

[2]  Jianli Chen,et al.  Assessment of GRACE/GRACE Follow-On Estimates of Global Mean Ocean Mass Change , 2021 .

[3]  A. Cazenave,et al.  Analysis of the interannual variability in satellite gravity solutions: detection of climate modes fingerprints in water mass displacements across continents and oceans , 2021, Climate Dynamics.

[4]  F. Landerer,et al.  Earth's Energy Imbalance From the Ocean Perspective (2005–2019) , 2021, Geophysical Research Letters.

[5]  B. Meyssignac,et al.  Monitoring the ocean heat content change and the Earth energy imbalance from space altimetry and space gravimetry , 2021, Earth System Science Data.

[6]  B. D. Gutknecht,et al.  Global sea-level budget and ocean-mass budget, with focus on advanced data products and uncertainty characterisation , 2021 .

[7]  X. Fettweis,et al.  Greenland ice sheet mass balance from 1840 through next week , 2021, Earth System Science Data.

[8]  B. Menounos,et al.  Accelerated global glacier mass loss in the early twenty-first century , 2021, Nature.

[9]  P. Bates,et al.  Re-assessing global water storage trends from GRACE time series , 2020 .

[10]  A. Cazenave,et al.  Global Ocean Mass Change From GRACE and GRACE Follow‐On and Altimeter and Argo Measurements , 2020, Geophysical Research Letters.

[11]  K. Trenberth,et al.  Improved Estimates of Changes in Upper Ocean Salinity and the Hydrological Cycle , 2020, Journal of Climate.

[12]  F. Flechtner,et al.  Gravitationally Consistent Mean Barystatic Sea Level Rise From Leakage‐Corrected Monthly GRACE Data , 2020, Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth.

[13]  P. Döll,et al.  The global water resources and use model WaterGAP v2.2d: model description and evaluation , 2020, Geoscientific Model Development.

[14]  Zhigui Kang,et al.  Extending the Global Mass Change Data Record: GRACE Follow‐On Instrument and Science Data Performance , 2020, Geophysical Research Letters.

[15]  F. Landerer,et al.  Continuity of Ice Sheet Mass Loss in Greenland and Antarctica From the GRACE and GRACE Follow‐On Missions , 2020, Geophysical Research Letters.

[16]  Scott B. Luthcke,et al.  Replacing GRACE/GRACE‐FO C30 With Satellite Laser Ranging: Impacts on Antarctic Ice Sheet Mass Change , 2020, Geophysical Research Letters.

[17]  B. D. Gutknecht,et al.  Assessing global water mass transfers from continents to oceans over the period 1948–2016 , 2020, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences.

[18]  B. Tapley,et al.  Improved Quantification of Global Mean Ocean Mass Change Using GRACE Satellite Gravimetry Measurements , 2019, Geophysical Research Letters.

[19]  B. Meyssignac,et al.  Global ocean freshening, ocean mass increase and global mean sea level rise over 2005–2015 , 2019, Scientific Reports.

[20]  Wenke Sun,et al.  Global thermosteric sea level change contributed by the deep ocean below 2000 m estimated by Argo and CTD data , 2019, Earth and Planetary Science Letters.

[21]  Grzegorz Michalak,et al.  The GFZ GRACE RL06 Monthly Gravity Field Time Series: Processing Details and Quality Assessment , 2019, Remote. Sens..

[22]  Jérôme Benveniste,et al.  Uncertainty in satellite estimates of global mean sea-level changes, trend and acceleration , 2019, Earth System Science Data.

[23]  S. Luthcke,et al.  Improved Earth Oblateness Rate Reveals Increased Ice Sheet Losses and Mass‐Driven Sea Level Rise , 2019, Geophysical Research Letters.

[24]  Bertrand Decharme,et al.  Recent Changes in the ISBA‐CTRIP Land Surface System for Use in the CNRM‐CM6 Climate Model and in Global Off‐Line Hydrological Applications , 2019, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems.

[25]  Frank Flechtner,et al.  Contributions of GRACE to understanding climate change , 2019, Nature Climate Change.

[26]  A. Kääb,et al.  Sensitivity of glacier volume change estimation to DEM void interpolation , 2019, The Cryosphere.

[27]  Eric Rignot,et al.  Global sea-level budget 1993–present , 2018, Earth System Science Data.

[28]  Carling C Hay,et al.  Bias in Estimates of Global Mean Sea Level Change Inferred from Satellite Altimetry , 2018, Journal of Climate.

[29]  Donald F. Argus,et al.  Comment on “An Assessment of the ICE‐6G_C (VM5a) Glacial Isostatic Adjustment Model” by Purcell et al. , 2018 .

[30]  R. König,et al.  A new high-resolution model of non-tidal atmosphere and ocean mass variability for de-aliasing of satellite gravity observations: AOD1B RL06 , 2017 .

[31]  K. Simon,et al.  The sea‐level budget along the Northwest Atlantic coast: GIA, mass changes, and large‐scale ocean dynamics , 2017 .

[32]  John Abraham,et al.  Improved estimates of ocean heat content from 1960 to 2015 , 2017, Science Advances.

[33]  M. Ishii,et al.  Accuracy of Global Upper Ocean Heat Content Estimation Expected from Present Observational Data Sets , 2017 .

[34]  Pavel Ditmar,et al.  Optimizing estimates of annual variations and trends in geocenter motion and J2 from a combination of GRACE data and geophysical models , 2016 .

[35]  Srinivas Bettadpur,et al.  High‐resolution CSR GRACE RL05 mascons , 2016 .

[36]  John M. Forsythe,et al.  The GEWEX Water Vapor Assessment: Results from Intercomparison, Trend, and Homogeneity Analysis of Total Column Water Vapor , 2016 .

[37]  Fabienne Gaillard,et al.  In Situ-Based Reanalysis of the Global Ocean Temperature and Salinity with ISAS: Variability of the Heat Content and Steric Height , 2016 .

[38]  M. Watkins,et al.  Improved methods for observing Earth's time variable mass distribution with GRACE using spherical cap mascons , 2015 .

[39]  Nick Rayner,et al.  EN4: Quality controlled ocean temperature and salinity profiles and monthly objective analyses with uncertainty estimates , 2013 .

[40]  J. Fasullo,et al.  Australia's unique influence on global sea level in 2010–2011 , 2013 .

[41]  Edward Hanna,et al.  Ice-sheet mass balance and climate change , 2013, Nature.

[42]  Eric Rignot,et al.  A Reconciled Estimate of Ice-Sheet Mass Balance , 2012, Science.

[43]  S. Levitus,et al.  World ocean heat content and thermosteric sea level change (0–2000 m), 1955–2010 , 2012 .

[44]  Shigeki Hosoda,et al.  Improved description of global mixed-layer depth using Argo profiling floats , 2010 .

[45]  Anny Cazenave,et al.  Global Evaluation of the ISBA-TRIP Continental Hydrological System. Part II: Uncertainties in River Routing Simulation Related to Flow Velocity and Groundwater Storage , 2010 .

[46]  Dean Roemmich,et al.  The 2004-2008 mean and annual cycle of temperature, salinity, and steric height in the global ocean from the Argo Program , 2009 .

[47]  D. Chambers,et al.  Estimating Geocenter Variations from a Combination of GRACE and Ocean Model Output , 2008 .

[48]  W. Peltier GLOBAL GLACIAL ISOSTASY AND THE SURFACE OF THE ICE-AGE EARTH: The ICE-5G (VM2) Model and GRACE , 2004 .

[49]  P. Döll,et al.  A global hydrological model for deriving water availability indicators: model tuning and validation , 2003 .

[50]  J. Gregory,et al.  Predictions of global and regional sea‐level rise using AOGCMs with and without flux adjustment , 2000 .

[51]  Liu Xinwu This is How the Discussion Started , 1981 .