Direct and Indirect Land Use Impacts of the EU Cohesion Policy. Assessment with the Land Use Modelling Platform

The Cohesion policy for the programming period 2014-2020 is analyzed in terms of its likely land use and environmental impacts using the Land Use Modelling Platform (LUMP). This report describes in detail the process and the methodology by which the exante impact assessment was made, and presents the results for Austria, Czech Republic, Germany, and Poland. The modelling approach can provide insights on the trade-offs between economic growth, investment policies (such as the Cohesion policy), and land use and the environment. In addition, ways to mitigate potentially negative land use and environmental impacts were explored. The future development of the LUMP is discussed in view of the work plan.

[1]  X. Bai,et al.  Landscape Urbanization and Economic Growth in China: Positive Feedbacks and Sustainability Dilemmas , 2011, Environmental science & technology.

[2]  Paracchini Maria-Luisa,et al.  A European assessment of the provision of ecosystem services - Towards an atlas of ecosystem services , 2011 .

[3]  Division on Earth Advancing Land Change Modeling: Opportunities and Research Requirements , 2014 .

[4]  Eric Koomen,et al.  A High Resolution Land Use/Cover Modelling Framework for Europe: Introducing the EU-ClueScanner100 Model , 2011, ICCSA.

[5]  Francesco Di Comite,et al.  Assessing policy options for the EU Cohesion Policy 2014-2020 , 2014 .

[6]  E. Koomen,et al.  Land-use Simulation for Water Management: Application of the Land Use Scanner Model in Two Large-Scale Scenario Studies , 2007 .

[7]  J. K. Summers,et al.  Relating ecoystem services to domains of human well-being: Foundation for a U.S. index , 2013 .

[8]  Piet Rietveld,et al.  An accessibility approach to railways and municipal population growth, 1840-1930 , 2012 .

[9]  David Canning,et al.  Urbanization and the Wealth of Nations , 2008, Science.

[10]  Francisco J. Escobedo,et al.  A framework for developing urban forest ecosystem services and goods indicators , 2011 .

[11]  Vandecasteele Ine,et al.  Configuration of a reference scenario for the land use modelling platform , 2013 .

[12]  Vasco Diogo,et al.  Estimating Demand for Industrial and Commercial Land Use Given Economic Forecasts , 2014, PloS one.

[13]  U. Confalonieri,et al.  Overview of How Ecosystem Changes Can Affect Human Health , 2019, Encyclopedia of Environmental Health.

[14]  W. G. Hansen How Accessibility Shapes Land Use , 1959 .