The Price Responsiveness of Housing Supply in OECD Countries

The responsiveness of housing supply to changes in prices bears important implications for the evolution of housing prices and the speed of adjustment of housing markets. Based on a stock-flow model of the housing market estimated within an error correction framework, this paper estimates the long-run price elasticity of new housing supply in 21 OECD countries. Estimates suggest that the responsiveness of housing supply to price changes varies substantially across countries. It is relatively more flexible in North America and some Nordic countries, while it is more rigid in continental European countries and in the United Kingdom. The responsiveness of housing supply depends not only on national geographical and urban characteristics but also on policies, such as land use and planning regulations.

[1]  Jr. James R. Follain The Price Elasticity of the Long-Run Supply of New Housing Construction , 1979 .

[2]  C. Granger,et al.  Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation and testing , 1987 .

[3]  D. Andrews,et al.  Housing Markets and Structural Policies in OECD Countries , 2011 .

[4]  David Rae,et al.  Ireland's Housing Boom: What has Driven it and Have Prices Overshot? , 2006 .

[5]  R. Arnott Tenancy rent control , 2003 .

[6]  La concurrence favorise-t-elle les gains de productivité ? Analyse sectorielle dans les pays de l’OCDE , 2008 .

[7]  S. Malpezzi,et al.  The Long-Run Price Elasticity of Supply of New Residential Construction in the United States and the United Kingdom , 2001 .

[8]  Felix Hüfner,et al.  The Swedish Housing Market: Better Allocation via Less Regulation , 2007 .

[9]  D. Andrews Real House Prices in OECD Countries: The Role of Demand Shocks and Structural and Policy Factors , 2010 .

[10]  J. Rouwendal,et al.  Housing supply in the Netherlands , 2007 .

[11]  Albert Saiz,et al.  Construction Costs and the Supply of Housing Structure , 2006 .

[12]  W. Wheaton,et al.  Housing Market Dynamics and the Future of Housing Prices , 1994 .

[13]  D. M. Blackley The Long-Run Elasticity of New Housing Supply in the United States: Empirical Evidence for 1950 to 1994 , 1999 .

[14]  R. Engle,et al.  COINTEGRATION AND ERROR CORRECTION: REPRESENTATION , 1987 .

[15]  N. Bottini,et al.  How large are competitive pressures in services markets?: Estimation of mark-ups for selected OECD countries , 2011 .

[16]  S. Malpezzi Housing Prices, Externalities, and Regulation in U.S. Metropolitan Areas , 1996 .

[17]  Sherwin Rosen,et al.  Housing Investment in the United States , 1988, Journal of Political Economy.

[18]  Christophe André,et al.  A Bird's Eye View of OECD Housing Markets , 2010 .

[19]  P. Perron,et al.  Lag Length Selection and the Construction of Unit Root Tests with Good Size and Power , 2001 .

[20]  Denise Dipasquale Why Don't We Know More About Housing Supply? , 1999 .

[21]  Mark Stover The price elasticity of the supply of single-family detached urban housing , 1986 .

[22]  J. Poterba Tax Subsidies to Owner-Occupied Housing: An Asset-Market Approach , 1984 .

[23]  Stephen Sheppard,et al.  Housing Supply under Rapid Economic Growth and Varying Regulatory Stringency: An International Comparison , 1996 .

[24]  Taxation and Economic Growth , 1996 .

[25]  Kate Barker,et al.  Review of Housing Supply , 2004 .

[26]  Tore Ellingsen,et al.  Rent regulation: An introduction , 2003 .

[27]  Richard K. Green,et al.  Metropolitan-Specific Estimates of the Price Elasticity of Supply of Housing, and Their Sources , 2005 .

[28]  R. McLaughlin New housing supply elasticity in Australia: a comparison of dwelling types , 2012 .

[29]  Michelle Harter-Dreiman Drawing inferences about housing supply elasticity from house price responses to income shocks , 2004 .

[30]  K. Barker Planning policy, planning practice, and housing supply , 2008 .

[31]  J. Imbs,et al.  Credit Supply and the Price of Housing , 2010 .

[32]  A. Tieman,et al.  The Housing Ladder, Taxation, and Borrowing constraints , 2002 .

[33]  Arthur Grimes,et al.  Housing Supply and Price Adjustment , 2006 .

[34]  David F. Hendry,et al.  Co-Integration, Error Correction, and the Econometric Analysis of Non-Stationary Data , 1993, Advanced texts in econometrics.

[35]  Richard Arnott,et al.  Time for Revisionism on Rent Control , 1995 .

[36]  Albert Saiz,et al.  Housing Supply and Housing Bubbles , 2008 .

[37]  David P. Sims Out of control: What can we learn from the end of Massachusetts rent control? , 2007 .

[38]  J. Rouwendal,et al.  Housing Supply and Land Use Regulation in the Netherlands , 2007 .

[39]  Raven E. Saks Job creation and housing construction: constraints on metropolitan area employment growth , 2005 .

[40]  D. Andrews,et al.  To Move or not to Move: What Drives Residential Mobility Rates in the OECD? , 2011 .

[41]  David N. Figlio,et al.  Land use regulation and new construction , 2000 .

[42]  G. Meen The Time-Series Behavior of House Prices: A Transatlantic Divide? , 2002 .

[43]  Albert Saiz,et al.  The Geographic Determinants of Housing Supply , 2010 .