Voting Behavior and Information Aggregation in Elections with Private Information

The authors analyze two-candidate elections in which voters are uncertain about the realization of a state variable that affects the utility of all voters. They assume each voter has noisy private information about the state variable. The authors show that, in equilibrium, almost all voters ignore their private signal when voting. Nevertheless, elections fully aggregate information in the sense that the chosen candidate would not change if all private information were common knowledge.

[1]  Robert B. Wilson A Bidding Model of Perfect Competition , 1977 .

[2]  Paul R. Milgrom,et al.  A Convergence Theorem for Competitive Bidding with Differential Information , 1979 .

[3]  W. Whitt Uniform conditional stochastic order , 1980 .

[4]  Paul R. Milgrom,et al.  A theory of auctions and competitive bidding , 1982 .

[5]  Christopher Winship,et al.  Information Processing and Jury Decisionmaking , 1984 .

[6]  Thomas R. Palfrey,et al.  Uncertainty Resolution, Private Information Aggregation and the Cournot Competitive Limit , 1985 .

[7]  Kenneth S. Rogoff,et al.  Equilibrium Political Budget Cycles , 1987 .

[8]  H. Young Condorcet's Theory of Voting , 1988, American Political Science Review.

[9]  Larry M. Bartels Presidential Primaries and the Dynamics of Public Choice , 1988 .

[10]  D. Austen-Smith Information transmission in debate , 1990 .

[11]  G. Tabellini,et al.  Macroeconomic policy, credibility and politics , 1990 .

[12]  John Londregan,et al.  A Model of the Political Economy of the United States , 1991, American Political Science Review.

[13]  K. Ladha The Condorcet Jury Theorem, Free Speech and Correlated Votes , 1992 .

[14]  Susanne Lohmann,et al.  A Signaling Model of Informative and Manipulative Political Action , 1993, American Political Science Review.

[15]  Alberto Alesina,et al.  Partisan Politics, Divided Government, and the Economy , 1995 .

[16]  J. Banks,et al.  Information Aggregation, Rationality, and the Condorcet Jury Theorem , 1996, American Political Science Review.

[17]  T. Feddersen,et al.  The Swing Voter's Curse , 1996 .

[18]  Jeroen M. Swinkels,et al.  The Loser's Curse and Information Aggregation in Common Value Auctions , 1997 .

[19]  R. Myerson Extended Poisson Games and the Condorcet Jury Theorem , 1998 .