The demographic transition : stages, patterns, and economic implications : a longitudinal study of sixty-seven countries covering the period 1720-1984

Introduction: the "theory" of demographic transition - its conciseness, diversity and flexibility - problems, methods and the field of enquiry. Part 1 Stages of demographic transition: demographic transition - the current position the decline in mortality the fertility decline divergence and concordance the migration transition the notion of the cycle in demography - is post-transition fertility cyclical? Part 2 Forms of demographic transition: the types of demographic transition chronology and typology of the ageing of populations the transitional multiplier of population industrial revolution and demographic revolution in the 18th century - the French-English paradox European transitions from Malthus to Pincus contemporary transitions - the strength of the model revolution of mental attitudes and demographic revolution. Part 3 Economic implications of demographic transition: economic stagnation and neo-Malthusianism - two falsely opposed models economic progress and demographic transition in poor countries - 30 years of experience, 1950-1980 secular growth in the industrial world economic breakthrough in poor countries. Appendices: Crude birth-rates total fertility rates crude death-rates infant mortality rates real product.