Trends in Air Temperature and Precipitation in Southeastern Czech Republic, 1961-2020

This study presents a summary of sixty years of air temperature and precipitation measurements at the Žabčice weather station, located in the southeastern Czech Republic and operated by Mendel University in Brno. An instrumental dataset spanning two climatological normal periods (1961– 1990 and newly established 1991–2020) is analyzed for long term linear trends with monthly data presented in full span in Appendices. In the new climate normal period, the mean annual temperature increased from 9.3 °C to 10.3 °C with growing trend of 0.34 °C/10 years (p < 0.001). Every calendar month of year is warmer, with the highest and fastest increase in August (+2.0 °C, 0.64 °C/10 years, p < 0.001) and the lowest in October (+0.2 °C). Annual precipitation sum increased negligibly (+11.1 mm), however, the quarterly distribution significantly changes towards drier second quarter ( - 22.9 mm, p < 0.05) and wetter third quarter (+37.1 mm, p < 0.05). Number of tropical days (maximum daily air temperature > 30 °C) significantly increased (+4.44/10 years, p < 0.001), whereas number of frost days is negligibly decreasing ( - 0.88/10 years). Temperature derived Huglin index for vineyards increased by 369 °C to a seasonal sum 2062 °C (+84 °C/10 years, p < 0.001). This study provides evidence of the rate of changing climate at this southern Moravia lowland site.

[1]  M. Trnka,et al.  Observed changes in precipitation during recent warming: The Czech Republic, 1961–2019 , 2021, International Journal of Climatology.

[2]  M. Trnka,et al.  Observed changes in the agroclimatic zones in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2019 , 2021 .

[3]  M. Trnka,et al.  Reflections of global warming in trends of temperature characteristics in the Czech Republic, 1961–2019 , 2020, International Journal of Climatology.

[4]  M. Trnka,et al.  Czech Drought Monitor System for monitoring and forecasting agricultural drought and drought impacts , 2020, International Journal of Climatology.

[5]  A. Toreti,et al.  Observed Northward Migration of Agro‐Climate Zones in Europe Will Further Accelerate Under Climate Change , 2019, Earth's Future.

[6]  P. Skalak,et al.  Assessing seasonal drought variations and trends over Central Europe , 2019, Advances in Water Resources.

[7]  A. Farda,et al.  Climate change scenarios of heat waves in Central Europe and their uncertainties , 2018, Theoretical and Applied Climatology.

[8]  G. Schädler,et al.  Compound summer temperature and precipitation extremes over central Europe , 2018, Theoretical and Applied Climatology.

[9]  Reimund P. Rötter,et al.  Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change , 2014 .

[10]  H. Středová,et al.  Development and Prediction of Selected Temperature and Precipitation Characteristics in Southern Moravia , 2014 .

[11]  M. Trnka,et al.  Trends in temperature and precipitation in the period of 1961–2010 in Žabčice locality , 2013 .

[12]  T. Burke,et al.  Agriculture in a Changing Climate , 2008 .

[13]  J. Kalvová,et al.  PROJECTIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE FOR THE CZECH REPUBLIC , 1997 .

[14]  H. B. Mann Nonparametric Tests Against Trend , 1945 .

[15]  R Core Team,et al.  R: A language and environment for statistical computing. , 2014 .

[16]  Miguel A. Altieri,et al.  The adaptation and mitigation potential of traditional agriculture in a changing climate , 2013, Climatic Change.

[17]  Hana Pokladníková,et al.  Land use developmental trends in cadastral area Žabčice. , 2010 .

[18]  J. Svoboda,et al.  Selected agroclimatical characteristics of Žabčice region for period 1991–2005 , 2006 .

[19]  R. Forthofer,et al.  Rank Correlation Methods , 1981 .