Cluster Analysis of Cloud Properties over the Southern European Mediterranean Area in Observations and a Model

Abstract This paper demonstrates how satellite observations of the cloudiness over a complex area such as the European Mediterranean area can be classified into distinct cloud regimes by application of a K-means clustering algorithm to pixel-level cloud properties. The study contrasts with previous approaches in the fact that the clustering is done on the cloud physical properties at the pixel level and not on statistics of these properties over a coarser grid. A method to choose the number of clusters is described. “Shallow cumulus,” “stratocumulus,” and “frontal” clusters are robustly identified, and associated environmental properties are described. The approach helps to refine the diagnosis of errors in model simulations. In addition to isolated classical errors of climate models (lack of midlevel clouds, overestimation of the cloud optical thickness, and underestimation of the stratocumulus) and a dramatic underestimation of the shallow cumulus clouds over land, an underestimation of the boundary lay...

[1]  F. Hourdin,et al.  A Thermal Plume Model for the Convective Boundary Layer : Representation of Cumulus Clouds , 2008 .

[2]  S. Klein,et al.  Validation and Sensitivities of Frontal Clouds Simulated by the ECMWF Model , 1999 .

[3]  Nicolas Clerbaux,et al.  Can desert dust explain the outgoing longwave radiation anomaly over the Sahara during July 2003 , 2005 .

[4]  S. Bony,et al.  Sea Surface Temperature and Large-Scale Circulation Influences on Tropical Greenhouse Effect and Cloud Radiative Forcing , 1997 .

[5]  G. Meehl,et al.  The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) , 2000 .

[6]  G. Tselioudis,et al.  GCM intercomparison of global cloud regimes: present-day evaluation and climate change response , 2007 .

[7]  Filipe Aires,et al.  Sampling techniques in high‐dimensional spaces for the development of satellite remote sensing database , 2007 .

[8]  W. Rossow,et al.  Advances in understanding clouds from ISCCP , 1999 .

[9]  A. Sterl,et al.  The ERA‐40 re‐analysis , 2005 .

[10]  Lennart Bengtsson,et al.  On the potential of assimilating meteorological analyses in a global climate model for the purpose of model validation , 1996 .

[11]  William B. Rossow,et al.  Tropical climate described as a distribution of weather states indicated by distinct mesoscale cloud property mixtures , 2005 .

[12]  Objective Climatology of Cyclones in the Mediterranean Region , 1999 .

[13]  K. Williams,et al.  Towards evaluating cloud response to climate change using clustering technique identification of cloud regimes , 2005 .

[14]  Gerald M. Stokes,et al.  The Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Program , 2003 .

[15]  M. Haeffelin,et al.  Assessment of physical parameterizations using a global climate model with stretchable grid and nudging , 2007 .

[16]  Jean-Pierre Chaboureau,et al.  Satellite‐based climatology of Mediterranean cloud systems and their association with large‐scale circulation , 2006 .

[17]  Roger Jones,et al.  Regional climate projections , 2007 .

[18]  C. Bretherton,et al.  On the Relationship between Stratiform Low Cloud Cover and Lower-Tropospheric Stability , 2006 .

[19]  S. Klein,et al.  Cluster analysis of cloud regimes and characteristic dynamics of midlatitude synoptic systems in observations and a model , 2005 .

[20]  Gillian M. Mimmack,et al.  Choice of Distance Matrices in Cluster Analysis: Defining Regions , 2001 .

[21]  I. Jolliffe Principal Component Analysis , 2005 .

[22]  N. Lau,et al.  A Satellite View of the Synoptic-Scale Organization of Cloud Properties in Midlatitude and Tropical Circulation Systems , 1995 .

[23]  Guangyu Zhao,et al.  Scale effect on statistics of the macrophysical properties of trade wind cumuli over the tropical western Atlantic during RICO , 2008 .

[24]  G. W. Milligan,et al.  An examination of procedures for determining the number of clusters in a data set , 1985 .

[25]  H. Whitehead,et al.  Vocal clans in sperm whales (Physeter macrocephalus) , 2003, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences.

[26]  George Tselioudis,et al.  The Radiative, Cloud, and Thermodynamic Properties of the Major Tropical Western Pacific Cloud Regimes , 2005 .

[27]  G. Tselioudis,et al.  Objective identification of cloud regimes in the Tropical Western Pacific , 2003 .

[28]  Michel Desbois,et al.  Automatic classification of clouds on Meteosat imagery - Application to high-level clouds , 1982 .

[29]  L. D. Hatfield,et al.  An Atmospheric Radiation and Cloud Station in the Tropical Western Pacific , 1998 .

[30]  S. Bony,et al.  The LMDZ4 general circulation model: climate performance and sensitivity to parametrized physics with emphasis on tropical convection , 2006 .

[31]  S. Schwartz,et al.  The Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Program: Programmatic Background and Design of the Cloud and Radiation Test Bed , 1994 .

[32]  G. Tselioudis,et al.  Evaluation of midlatitude cloud properties in a weather and a climate model: Dependence on dynamic regime and spatial resolution , 2002 .

[33]  S. Bony,et al.  Combining ERBE and ISCCP data to assess clouds in the Hadley Centre, ECMWF and LMD atmospheric climate models , 2001 .

[34]  S. Bony,et al.  Influence of the vertical structure of the atmosphere on the seasonal variation of precipitable water and greenhouse effect , 1994 .

[35]  M. Webb,et al.  A quantitative performance assessment of cloud regimes in climate models , 2009 .

[36]  Veerabhadran Ramanathan,et al.  Scale Dependence of Monsoonal Convective Systems over the Indian Ocean , 2000 .

[37]  S. P. Lloyd,et al.  Least squares quantization in PCM , 1982, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory.