Comprehensive analysis of single- and multi-vehicle large truck at-fault crashes on rural and urban roadways in Alabama.

The research described in this paper analyzed injury severities at a disaggregate level for single-vehicle (SV) and multi-vehicle (MV) large truck at-fault accidents for rural and urban locations in Alabama. Given the occurrence of a crash, four separate random parameter logit models of injury severity (with possible outcomes of major, minor, and possible or no injury) were estimated. The models identified different sets of factors that can lead to effective policy decisions aimed at reducing large truck-at-fault accidents for respective locations. The results of the study clearly indicated that there are differences between the influences of a variety of variables on the injury severities resulting from urban vs. rural SV and MV large truck at-fault accidents. The results showed that some variables were significant only in one type of accident model (SV or MV) but not in the other accident model. Again, some variables were found to be significant in one location (rural or urban) but not in other locations. The study also identified important factors that significantly impact the injury severity resulting from SV and MV large truck at-fault accidents in urban and rural locations based on the estimated values of average direct pseudo-elasticity. A careful study of the results of this study will help policy makers and transportation agencies identify location specific recommendations to increase safety awareness related to large truck involved accidents and to improve overall highway safety.

[1]  Mohamed Abdel-Aty,et al.  Analysis of driver injury severity levels at multiple locations using ordered probit models. , 2003, Journal of safety research.

[2]  Kara Kockelman,et al.  Occupant Injury Severity using a Heteroscedastic Ordered Logit Model : Distinguishing the Effects of Vehicle Weight and Type , 2005 .

[3]  Kara M. Kockelman,et al.  Use of heteroscedastic ordered logit model to study severity of occupant injury: Distinguishing effects of vehicle weight and type , 2005 .

[4]  Kirolos Haleem,et al.  Effect of driver's age and side of impact on crash severity along urban freeways: a mixed logit approach. , 2013, Journal of safety research.

[5]  Xiaoyu Zhu,et al.  A comprehensive analysis of factors influencing the injury severity of large-truck crashes. , 2011, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[6]  Mohamed Abdel-Aty,et al.  Examining traffic crash injury severity at unsignalized intersections. , 2010, Journal of safety research.

[7]  Eric T. Donnell,et al.  Severity models of cross-median and rollover crashes on rural divided highways in Pennsylvania. , 2011, Journal of safety research.

[8]  F Mannering,et al.  Statistical analysis of accident severity on rural freeways. , 1996, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[9]  Suren Chen,et al.  Injury severities of truck drivers in single- and multi-vehicle accidents on rural highways. , 2011, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[10]  Faming Liang,et al.  Crash Injury Severity Analysis Using a Bayesian Ordered Probit Model , 2007 .

[11]  Florian Heiss,et al.  Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation , 2016 .

[12]  C. Bhat Simulation estimation of mixed discrete choice models using randomized and scrambled Halton sequences , 2003 .

[13]  Asad J. Khattak,et al.  Injury Severity in Multivehicle Rear-End Crashes , 2001 .

[14]  Nataliya V Malyshkina,et al.  Markov switching multinomial logit model: An application to accident-injury severities. , 2008, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[15]  Fred L Mannering,et al.  An empirical assessment of fixed and random parameter logit models using crash- and non-crash-specific injury data. , 2011, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[16]  Young-Jun Kweon,et al.  Driver injury severity: an application of ordered probit models. , 2002, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[17]  Dominique Lord,et al.  The statistical analysis of highway crash-injury severities: a review and assessment of methodological alternatives. , 2011, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[18]  J. Halton On the efficiency of certain quasi-random sequences of points in evaluating multi-dimensional integrals , 1960 .

[19]  Asad J. Khattak,et al.  Applying the Ordered Probit Model to Injury Severity in Truck-Passenger Car Rear-End Collisions , 1998 .

[20]  F Mannering,et al.  Analysis of injury severity and vehicle occupancy in truck- and non-truck-involved accidents. , 1999, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[21]  F. Mannering,et al.  Driver aging and its effect on male and female single-vehicle accident injuries: some additional evidence. , 2006, Journal of safety research.

[22]  B. Brown,et al.  Seasonal Variation in Frequencies and Rates of Highway Accidents as Function of Severity , 1997 .

[23]  Fred Mannering,et al.  Impact of roadside features on the frequency and severity of run-off-roadway accidents: an empirical analysis. , 2002, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[24]  Fred L Mannering,et al.  Highway accident severities and the mixed logit model: an exploratory empirical analysis. , 2008, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[25]  Samiul Hasan,et al.  Exploring the determinants of pedestrian-vehicle crash severity in New York City. , 2013, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[26]  Young-Jun Kweon,et al.  Overall injury risk to different drivers: combining exposure, frequency, and severity models. , 2003, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[27]  D. McFadden Econometric Models of Probabilistic Choice , 1981 .

[28]  Matthew G Karlaftis,et al.  Vehicle occupant injury severity on highways: an empirical investigation. , 2010, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[29]  Avinash Unnikrishnan,et al.  Analysis of large truck crash severity using heteroskedastic ordered probit models. , 2011, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[30]  Marc Starnes Large-Truck Crash Causation Study: An Initial Overview , 2006 .

[31]  Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson,et al.  Driver-injury severity in single-vehicle crashes in California: A mixed logit analysis of heterogeneity due to age and gender. , 2013, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[32]  Toshiyuki Yamamoto,et al.  Bivariate ordered-response probit model of driver's and passenger's injury severities in collisions with fixed objects. , 2004, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[33]  F. Mannering,et al.  The effects of road-surface conditions, age, and gender on driver-injury severities. , 2011, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[34]  Nataliya V Malyshkina,et al.  Empirical assessment of the impact of highway design exceptions on the frequency and severity of vehicle accidents. , 2009, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[35]  Naveen Eluru,et al.  Evaluating alternate discrete outcome frameworks for modeling crash injury severity. , 2013, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[36]  Louai A. Alassar ANALYSIS OF HEAVY TRUCK ACCIDENT SEVERITY , 1988 .

[37]  Ted R. Miller,et al.  Unit Costs of Medium and Heavy Truck Crashes , 2007 .

[38]  Michael H. Belzer,et al.  Truck Driver Occupational Safety and Health: 2003 Conference Report and Selective Literature Review , 2007 .

[39]  Timothy C. Coburn,et al.  Statistical and Econometric Methods for Transportation Data Analysis , 2004, Technometrics.

[40]  Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson,et al.  Differences in male and female injury severities in sport-utility vehicle, minivan, pickup and passenger car accidents. , 2004, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[41]  Lidia P. Kostyniuk,et al.  SEVERITY OF LARGE-TRUCK AND COMBINATION-VEHICLE ACCIDENTS IN OVER-THE-ROAD SERVICE: A DISCRETE MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS (DISCUSSION AND CLOSURE) , 1984 .

[42]  F. Mannering,et al.  Differences in rural and urban driver-injury severities in accidents involving large-trucks: an exploratory analysis. , 2005, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[43]  Linda Ng Boyle,et al.  Assessing the relative risk of severe injury in automotive crashes for older female occupants. , 2006, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[44]  D. McFadden,et al.  MIXED MNL MODELS FOR DISCRETE RESPONSE , 2000 .

[45]  Sarath C. Joshua,et al.  A Causal Analysis of Large Vehicle Accidents Through Fault‐Tree Analysis , 1992 .