What Has Become of the Keynesian Revolution
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what was the dominant orthodoxy against which the Keynesian revolution was raised? The General Theory of Employment Interest and Money was not published till 1936 but the revolution began to stir in 1929, lurched forward in 1931 and grew urgent with the grim events of 1933. In those years British orthodoxy was still dominated by nostalgia for the world before 1914. Then there was normality and equilibrium. To get back to that happy state, its institutions and its policies should be restored—keep to the gold standard at the old sterling parity, balance the budget, maintain free trade and observe the strictest laissez faire in the relations of government with industry. When Lloyd George proposed a campaign to reduce unemployment (which was then at the figure of one million or more) by expenditure on public works, he was answered by the famous ‘Treasury View’ that there is a certain amount of saving at any moment, available to finance investment, and if the government borrows a part, there will be so much the less for industry. In 1931, when the world crisis had produced a sharp increase in the deficit on the U.K. balance of payments, the appropriate remedy (approved as much by the unlucky Labour government as by the Bank of England) was to cut expenditure so as to balance the budget. These were the orthodox views that prevailed in the realm of public policy. In the realm of economic theory, orthodox doctrine comprised two distinct branches—Principles and Money. In the department of Principles, the main topic was the behaviour of markets under the influence of supply and demand and the determination of the