The Construction of Residential Housing Price Indices: A Comparison of Repeat-Sales, Hedonic-Regression, and Hybrid Approaches

This article examines a number of hypotheses that underpin the repeat-sales and hedonic approaches to the construction of housing price indices, as well as the practical problems associated with the implementation of either approach. We also examine a hybrid procedure that combines elements of both the repeat-sales and hedonic-regression techniques. For our sample of individual home sales in Oakland and Fremont California over an 18-year period, repeat-sales methods are subject to sample selection bias; the maintained assumption of time constancy of implicit prices of housing attributes is violated; the repeat-sales estimator is extremely sensitive to influential observations; and the usual method used to correct for heteroskedasticity in repeat-sale housing returns is inappropriate in our sample. Hedonic techniques are better suited to contend with index number problems per se, as they can accommodate changing attribute prices over time. They also appear to give rise to more reliable estimates of price indices, as unusual observations have less effect on estimated price indices. Drawbacks of the hedonic approach include the usual concern with omitted attributes, and their effect on the estimated price index.

[1]  G. Schwarz Estimating the Dimension of a Model , 1978 .

[2]  David A. Belsley,et al.  Regression Analysis and its Application: A Data-Oriented Approach.@@@Applied Linear Regression.@@@Regression Diagnostics: Identifying Influential Data and Sources of Collinearity , 1981 .

[3]  R. Shiller,et al.  Prices of Single Family Homes Since 1970: New Indexes for Four Cities , 1987 .

[4]  John M. Quigley,et al.  Explicit tests of contingent claims models of mortgage default , 1993 .

[5]  D. Haurin,et al.  Sample Selection and Biases in Local House Value Indices , 1998 .

[6]  R. Halvorsen,et al.  Choice of functional form for hedonic price equations , 1981 .

[7]  John M. Quigley,et al.  A Simple Hybrid Model for Estimating Real Estate Price Indexes , 1995 .

[8]  William N. Goetzmann,et al.  Non-temporal Components of Residential Real Estate Appreciation , 1995 .

[9]  R. Shiller,et al.  The Efficiency of the Market for Single-Family Homes , 1988 .

[10]  R. Kelley Pace,et al.  Nonparametric methods with applications to hedonic models , 1993 .

[11]  S. Rosen Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition , 1974, Journal of Political Economy.

[12]  H. Glejser A New Test for Heteroskedasticity , 1969 .

[13]  R. Carroll,et al.  Variance Function Estimation , 1987 .

[14]  R. Meese,et al.  Nonparametric Estimation of Dynamic Hedonic Price Models and the Construction of Residential Housing Price Indices , 1991 .

[15]  H. White A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity , 1980 .

[16]  W. Cleveland,et al.  Locally Weighted Regression: An Approach to Regression Analysis by Local Fitting , 1988 .

[17]  Jack E. Triplett,et al.  Concepts of Quality in Input and Output Price Measures: A Resolution of the User-Value Resource-Cost Debate , 1982 .

[18]  Richard F. Muth,et al.  A Regression Method for Real Estate Price Index Construction , 1963 .

[19]  G. Schwert,et al.  Heteroskedasticity in Stock Returns , 1989 .

[20]  J. Clapp,et al.  Housing Price Indices Based on All Transactions Compared to Repeat Subsamples , 1991 .