论文信息 - ASSESSMENT OF THUNDERSTORM PENETRATIONS AND DEVIATIONS BY COMMERCIAL AIRCRAFT IN THE TERMINAL AREA

ASSESSMENT OF THUNDERSTORM PENETRATIONS AND DEVIATIONS BY COMMERCIAL AIRCRAFT IN THE TERMINAL AREA

This analysis investigates which weather variables are correlated with arriving pilots' convective cell penetration/deviation behavior in the DFW terminal airspace. The report indicates that it is possible to train a statistical classifier that characterizes the probability that pilots will penetrate or deviate around airspace occupied by thunderstorms. The analysis outlines several desirable characteristics of a probability-of-deviation classifier. The classifiers trained and tested in this study were able to correctly classify more than 80% of the storm cell encounters in an independent data set. The analysis does not find any correlation between the weather variables and the pilot's penetration/deviation behavior near the destination airports. The vast majority of encounters near the airport in this study results in penetrations.

D A Rhoda | M L Pawlak

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