Metrics for Evaluating the Accuracy of Solar Power Forecasting

This presentation proposes a suite of metrics for evaluating the performance of solar power forecasting.

[1]  Erik Ela,et al.  Economic Evaluation of Short- Term Wind Power Forecasts in ERCOT: Preliminary Results , 2012 .

[2]  L. Ramírez,et al.  Analysis of different comparison parameters applied to solar radiation data from satellite and German radiometric stations , 2009 .

[3]  Bangyin Liu,et al.  Online 24-h solar power forecasting based on weather type classification using artificial neural network , 2011 .

[4]  Bri-Mathias Hodge,et al.  Examining Information Entropy Approaches as Wind Power Forecasting Performance Metrics: Preprint , 2012 .

[5]  Bri-Mathias Hodge,et al.  Investigating the Correlation Between Wind and Solar Power Forecast Errors in the Western Interconnection , 2013 .

[6]  C. Coimbra,et al.  Intra-hour DNI forecasting based on cloud tracking image analysis , 2013 .

[7]  Detlev Heinemann,et al.  FORECAST OF ENSEMBLE POWER PRODUCTION BY GRID-CONNECTED PV SYSTEMS , 2007 .

[8]  D. Lew,et al.  The Western Wind and Solar Integration Study Phase 2 , 2013 .

[9]  I. Sobol.  Uniformly distributed sequences with an additional uniform property , 1976 .

[10]  Geothermal Energy.  Western Wind and Solar Integration Study , 2010 .

[11]  C. Coimbra,et al.  Proposed Metric for Evaluation of Solar Forecasting Models , 2013 .

[12]  Bri-Mathias Hodge,et al.  Identifying Wind and Solar Ramping Events , 2013, 2013 IEEE Green Technologies Conference (GreenTech).

[13]  A. Messac,et al.  ASSESSING LONG-TERM WIND CONDITIONS BY COMBINING DIFFERENT MEASURE-CORRELATE-PREDICT ALGORITHMS , 2013, DAC 2013.

[14]  A. Messac,et al.  A Multivariate and Multimodal Wind Distribution model , 2013 .

[15]  M. C. Jones,et al.  A Brief Survey of Bandwidth Selection for Density Estimation , 1996 .

[16]  Achille Messac,et al.  Multivariate and Multimodal Wind Distribution Model Based on Kernel Density Estimation , 2011 .

[17]  J. Kleissl,et al.  Evaluation of numerical weather prediction for intra-day solar forecasting in the continental United States , 2011 .

[18]  A. Saltelli,et al.  An alternative way to compute Fourier amplitude sensitivity test (FAST) , 1998 .

[19]  G.N. Kariniotakis,et al.  Probabilistic Short-term Wind Power Forecasting for the Optimal Management of Wind Generation , 2007, 2007 IEEE Lausanne Power Tech.

[20]  J. Kleissl,et al.  Intra-hour forecasting with a total sky imager at the UC San Diego solar energy testbed , 2011 .

[21]  A. Mills,et al.  Implications of Wide-Area Geographic Diversity for Short- Term Variability of Solar Power , 2010 .

[22]  Achille Messac,et al.  An adaptive hybrid surrogate model , 2012, Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization.

[23]  Richard Perez,et al.  Forecasting solar radiation – Preliminary evaluation of an approach based upon the national forecast database , 2007 .

[24]  C. Coimbra,et al.  Forecasting of global and direct solar irradiance using stochastic learning methods, ground experiments and the NWS database , 2011 .

[25]  Vladimiro Miranda,et al.  ‘Good’ or ‘bad’ wind power forecasts: a relative concept , 2011 .

[26]  Bri-Mathias Hodge,et al.  Wind power forecasting error distributions over multiple timescales , 2011, 2011 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting.