Building general resilience in preparation for unexpected risks: applying complex systems thinking to disaster risk reduction.
暂无分享,去创建一个
[1] Terje Aven,et al. Foundational Issues in Risk Assessment and Risk Management , 2012, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.
[2] P. Walley. Measures of Uncertainty in Expert Systems , 1996, Artificial Intelligence.
[3] David Ríos Insua,et al. Robust Bayesian analysis , 2000 .
[4] Christoph H. Loch,et al. Managing the Unknown: A New Approach to Managing High Uncertainty and Risk in Projects , 2006 .
[5] F. Berkes,et al. Community Resilience: Toward an Integrated Approach , 2013 .
[6] David Salt,et al. Resilience Thinking : Sustaining Ecosystems and People in a Changing World , 2017 .
[7] G. Midgley. Systemic intervention for public health. , 2006, American journal of public health.
[8] Dirk Helbing,et al. Globally networked risks and how to respond , 2013, Nature.
[9] Germany National Progress Report on the implementation of the Hyogo Framework for Action , 2009 .
[10] Charles B. Keating,et al. Emergence in System of Systems , 2008 .
[11] Michele-Lee Moore,et al. Research, part of a Special Feature on Resilience Through Multi-scalar Collaboration Surmountable Chasms: Networks and Social Innovation for Resilient Systems , 2011 .
[12] Benyamin Lichtenstein,et al. The leadership of emergence: A complex systems leadership theory of emergence at successive organizational levels☆ , 2009 .
[13] Alexander M. Millkey. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable , 2009 .
[14] Klaus Hoffmann. Risk Management : neue Wege der betrieblichen Risikopolitik , 1985 .
[15] Janet Mancini Billson,et al. Focus Groups: A Practical Guide for Applied Research , 1989 .
[16] Denis Fischbacher-Smith,et al. Crisis management in a complex world , 2010 .
[17] Sabine Perch-Nielsen,et al. Exploring the link between climate change and migration , 2008 .
[18] Daniel P. Aldrich,et al. Building Resilience: Social Capital in Post-Disaster Recovery , 2012 .
[19] Sarah J. Tracy. Qualitative Quality: Eight “Big-Tent” Criteria for Excellent Qualitative Research , 2010 .
[20] A. Strauss,et al. Basics of qualitative research: Grounded theory procedures and techniques. , 1993 .
[21] A. Tversky,et al. Rational choice and the framing of decisions , 1990 .
[22] Sue Newell,et al. Site-shifting as the source of ambidexterity: Empirical insights from the field of ticketing , 2014, J. Strateg. Inf. Syst..
[23] W. Neuman,et al. Basics of Social Research: Qualitative and Quantitative Approaches , 2006 .
[24] C. S. Holling,et al. Panarchy Understanding Transformations in Human and Natural Systems , 2002 .
[25] F. E. Boteler,et al. Building disaster-resilient families, communities, and businesses , 2007 .
[26] David Etkin,et al. People and community as constituent parts of hazards: the significance of societal dimensions in hazards analysis , 2007 .
[27] S. Maguire,et al. The SAGE Handbook of Complexity and Management , 2011 .
[28] K. Magis. Community Resilience: An Indicator of Social Sustainability , 2010 .
[29] Robert Y. Cavana,et al. Systems Thinking, System Dynamics , 2007 .
[30] Peter Checkland,et al. Learning For Action: A Short Definitive Account of Soft Systems Methodology, and its use for Practitioners, Teachers and Students , 2007 .
[31] Keith W. Hipel,et al. System of Systems Engineering and Risk Management of Extreme Events: Concepts and Case Study , 2012, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.
[32] M. Pelling,et al. Research, part of a Special Feature on Resilience Through Multi-scalar Collaboration From Resilience to Transformation: the Adaptive Cycle in Two Mexican Urban Centers , 2011 .
[33] A. Cavallo. Complex Systems Thinking in Preparation for Unexpected Risks: Building General Resilience in South Australia , 2017 .
[34] Paul M. Salmon,et al. New perspectives on disaster response: the role of systems theory and methods , 2012 .
[35] Bela H. Banathy,et al. Designing social systems in a changing world , 1996 .
[36] Fiona Kerr. Creating and leading adaptive organisations: the nature and practice of emergent logic. , 2014 .
[37] Karl E. Weick,et al. Managing the unexpected: Assuring high performance in an age of complexity. , 2001 .
[38] R. Bhaskar. The Possibility of Naturalism , 2014 .
[39] Tina Comes,et al. Designing decision support systems at the interface between complex and complicated domains , 2013, AMCIS.
[40] C. Lindblom. THE SCIENCE OF MUDDLING THROUGH , 1959 .
[41] M. Crotty. The Foundations of Social Research: Meaning and Perspective in the Research Process , 1998 .
[42] John Mingers,et al. Multimethodology : the theory and practice of combining management science methodologies , 1997 .
[43] D. Helbing,et al. Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities , 2007, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
[44] Terry Williams,et al. Modelling Complex Projects , 2001 .
[45] Nancy G. Leveson,et al. Applying systems thinking to analyze and learn from events , 2010 .
[46] Simon Winchester,et al. Krakatoa: the Day the World Exploded, 27 August 1883 , 2003 .
[47] Friedemann Wenzel,et al. The March 2011 Japan Earthquake: Analysis of Losses, Impacts, and Implications for the Understanding of Risks Posed by Extreme Events , 2011 .
[48] John Boardman,et al. Systems Thinking: Coping with 21st Century Problems , 2008 .
[49] Kay Kitazawa,et al. Fukushima in review: A complex disaster, a disastrous response , 2012 .
[50] Bruce Evan Goldstein,et al. Expanding the Scope and Impact of Collaborative Planning , 2010 .
[51] S. Frosdick. The techniques of risk analysis are insufficient in themselves , 1997 .
[52] B. Berg. Qualitative Research Methods for the Social Sciences , 1989 .
[53] Andrew Zolli,et al. Resilience: Why Things Bounce Back , 2012 .
[54] S. Carpenter,et al. Coping with Collapse: Ecological and Social Dynamics in Ecosystem Management , 2001 .
[55] Ulrich Beck,et al. Cosmopolitanism as Imagined Communities of Global Risk , 2011 .
[56] Michael W. Mehaffy,et al. New Urbanism and Beyond: Designing Cities for the Future , 2008 .
[57] Niek J. E. Wijngaards,et al. Scenario reliability assessment to support decision makers in situations of severe uncertainty , 2012, 2012 IEEE International Multi-Disciplinary Conference on Cognitive Methods in Situation Awareness and Decision Support.
[58] Grenville Barnes,et al. Understanding Household Connectivity and Resilience in Marginal Rural Communities through Social Network Analysis in the Village of Habu, Botswana , 2012 .
[59] C. S. Holling. Resilience and Stability of Ecological Systems , 1973 .
[60] W. Adger,et al. Cultural dimensions of climate change impacts and adaptation , 2013 .
[61] Niek J. E. Wijngaards,et al. Designing Distributed Multi‐Criteria Decision Support Systems for Complex and Uncertain Situations , 2013 .
[62] Toshiyuki Yasui,et al. Managing Complex Issues through Evolutionary Learning Laboratories , 2013 .
[63] Dirk Helbing,et al. Managing Complexity: An Introduction , 2008 .
[64] T. Aven,et al. Concerns, Challenges, and Directions of Development for the Issue of Representing Uncertainty in Risk Assessment , 2014, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.
[65] Mechthilde Fuhrer. Disability Inclusive Disaster Risk Reduction , 2014 .
[66] A. Masten,et al. Research, part of a Special Feature on Managing Surprises in Complex Systems Disaster Preparation and Recovery: Lessons from Research on Resilience in Human Development , 2008 .
[67] A. Cavallo. Risk Management in Complex Projects: An exploratory study to managing unknown unknowns in uncertain environments , 2010 .
[68] N. Taleb. Black Swans and the Domains of Statistics , 2007 .
[69] R. Buehler,et al. Inside the planning fallacy: The causes and consequences of optimistic time predictions. , 2002 .
[70] Thomas A. Schwandt. Constructivist, interpretivist approaches to human inquiry. , 1994 .
[71] N. Denzin. The art and politics of interpretation. , 1994 .
[72] Benjamin P. Bryant,et al. Thinking Inside the Box , 2010 .
[73] Mo Jamshidi. Introduction to System of Systems , 2008 .
[74] Ana Maria Cruz,et al. Vulnerability of the oil and gas sector to climate change and extreme weather events , 2013, Climatic Change.
[75] Stefano Battiston,et al. Systemic risk in a unifying framework for cascading processes on networks , 2009, 0907.5325.
[76] Liu Hong,et al. Vulnerability analysis of interdependent infrastructure systems: A methodological framework , 2012 .
[77] F. Norris,et al. Community Resilience as a Metaphor, Theory, Set of Capacities, and Strategy for Disaster Readiness , 2008, American journal of community psychology.
[78] W. Adger,et al. Social Capital, Collective Action, and Adaptation to Climate Change , 2003 .
[79] D. Stewart,et al. What is Resilience? , 2011, Canadian journal of psychiatry. Revue canadienne de psychiatrie.
[80] Gordon Walker,et al. Renewable energy and the public , 1995 .
[81] Terje Aven,et al. Practical implications of the new risk perspectives , 2013, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..
[82] Karl E. Weick,et al. Managing the Unexpected: Complexity as Distributed Sensemaking , 2005 .
[83] Peter Allen,et al. Complexity and systems thinking , 2011 .
[84] Michael T. Pich,et al. Managing project uncertainty: from variation to chaos , 2002, IEEE Engineering Management Review.
[85] M. Power. The invention of operational risk , 2005 .
[86] Michael Opielka. Gemeinschaft in Gesellschaft , 2004 .
[87] Terje Aven,et al. A new perspective on how to understand, assess and manage risk and the unforeseen , 2014, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..
[88] Mark Taylor,et al. A Systemic Approach to Fire Prevention Support , 2012 .
[89] Matthew Leitch,et al. ISO 31000:2009—The New International Standard on Risk Management , 2010, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.
[90] Matthew B. Miles,et al. Qualitative Data Analysis: An Expanded Sourcebook , 1994 .
[91] Carl Folke,et al. A Theory of Transformative Agency in Linked Social-Ecological Systems , 2013 .
[92] Kurt A. Richardson,et al. Complexity Science: A 'Grey' Science for the 'Stuff in Between' , 2001, ICSTM.
[93] S. Schiavon,et al. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. , 2007 .
[94] Brian J. Sauser,et al. Paradox: Holarchical view of system of systems engineering management , 2008, 2008 IEEE International Conference on System of Systems Engineering.
[95] Ortwin Renn,et al. A New Approach to Risk Evaluation and Management: Risk‐Based, Precaution‐Based, and Discourse‐Based Strategies 1 , 2002, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.
[96] C. S. Holling. Two Cultures of Ecology , 1998 .
[97] Mark W. Maier,et al. Architecting Principles for Systems‐of‐Systems , 1996 .
[98] C. Folke,et al. Adaptive Comanagement for Building Resilience in Social–Ecological Systems , 2004, Environmental management.
[99] Manuela Herman,et al. Resilience Practice Building Capacity To Absorb Disturbance And Maintain Function , 2016 .
[100] Jonathan Baron,et al. Second-order probabilities and belief functions , 1987 .
[101] Dirk Helbing,et al. Disasters as Extreme Events and the Importance of Network Interactions for Disaster Response Management , 2006, Extreme Events in Nature and Society.
[102] Antonella Cavallo,et al. Integrating disaster preparedness and resilience: A complex approach using system of systems , 2014 .
[103] E. Guba,et al. Competing paradigms in qualitative research. , 1994 .
[104] J. Neumann,et al. Theory of games and economic behavior , 1945, 100 Years of Math Milestones.
[105] Gerard P. Hodgkinson,et al. Heuristics, biases and strategic decision making , 2002 .
[106] P. Goodwin,et al. Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability: enhancing the scenario method , 2009 .
[107] Erik Auf der Heide,et al. Disaster Response: Principles of Preparation and Coordination , 1989 .
[108] C. Wamsler,et al. The role of individual adaptive practice for sustainable adaptation , 2015 .
[109] Tony Waters,et al. Environmental hazards: Assessing risk and reducing disaster , 1997 .
[110] J. Knote. Bowling alone: The collapse and revival of American community , 2004 .
[111] Lance Gunderson,et al. Insight, part of a Special Feature on Managing Surprises in Complex Systems Ecological and Human Community Resilience in Response to Natural Disasters , 2010 .
[112] Umberto Eco,et al. The sign of three : Dupin, Holmes, Peirce , 1983 .
[113] David Alexander,et al. Communicating earthquake risk to the public: the trial of the “L’Aquila Seven” , 2014, Natural Hazards.
[114] Guy H. Walker,et al. Coordination during multi‐agency emergency response: issues and solutions , 2011 .
[115] J.K. DeRosa,et al. A Research Agenda for the Engineering of Complex Systems , 2008, 2008 2nd Annual IEEE Systems Conference.
[116] T. D. Mitchell,et al. Predicting regional climate change: living with uncertainty , 1999 .
[117] D. Alexander. Resilience and disaster risk reduction: an etymological journey , 2013 .
[118] C. Folke. RESILIENCE: THE EMERGENCE OF A PERSPECTIVE FOR SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL SYSTEMS ANALYSES , 2006 .
[119] Vernon Ireland,et al. Preparing for complex interdependent risks: a system of systems approach to building disaster resilience , 2014 .
[120] Matthias Ruth,et al. Climate change and natural disasters: macroeconomic performance and distributional impacts , 2009 .
[121] Erik Hollnagel,et al. Safety-I and Safety-II: The Past and Future of Safety Management , 2014 .
[122] Vernon Ireland,et al. SoS in disasters: Why following the manual can be a mistake , 2012, 2012 7th International Conference on System of Systems Engineering (SoSE).
[123] D. Snowden,et al. A leader's framework for decision making , 2007 .
[124] B. Asbjørnslett. Assessing the Vulnerability of Supply Chains , 2009 .
[125] John M. Flach,et al. Complexity: learning to muddle through , 2011, Cognition, Technology & Work.
[126] T. Sebeok,et al. “You Know my Method”: A Juxtaposition of Charles S. Peirce and Sherlock Holmes , 1979 .
[127] P. Arbon. Developing a model and tool to measure community disaster resilience , 2014 .
[128] Sven Ove Hansson,et al. Is Risk Analysis Scientific? , 2014, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.
[129] M. V. Aalst. The impacts of climate change on the risk of natural disasters , 2006 .
[130] L. Alberto Franco,et al. Raising the bar: strategic multi-criteria decision analysis , 2011, J. Oper. Res. Soc..