A multi‐species dendroclimatic reconstruction of Chilko River streamflow, British Columbia, Canada

Dendroclimatological data were used to reconstruct the discharge history of Chilko River, which drains a glacierized watershed in the Coast Mountains of British Columbia. We correlated ring-width records from Engelmann spruce (ES) (Picea engelmanni) and mountain hemlock (MH) (Tsuga mertensiana) trees to historical hydroclimate data. Over the period of record, spruce and hemlock radial growth correlates significantly with temperature and snow depth, respectively. We found that a multi-species approach provided a better model fit and reconstructive power. Using these relationships, we developed generalized linear models for mean June, July, and June-July discharge. The proxy records provide insights into streamflow variability of a typical Coast Mountains river over the past 240 years and confirm the long-term influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) on hydroclimatic regimes in the region. A relationship also exists between the reconstructed June-July discharge record and the North Pacific (NP) Index, suggesting that winter atmospheric patterns over the North Pacific influence the hydrology of coastal British Columbia. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

[1]  M. Church,et al.  Catastrophic lake drainage within the Homathko River basin, British Columbia , 1985 .

[2]  J. VanLooy,et al.  Glacial changes of five southwest British Columbia icefields, Canada, mid-1980s to 1999 , 2008, Journal of Glaciology.

[3]  D. Peterson,et al.  Growth responses of subalpine fir to climatic variability in the Pacific Northwest , 2002 .

[4]  H. Akaike,et al.  Information Theory and an Extension of the Maximum Likelihood Principle , 1973 .

[5]  Dennis P. Lettenmaier,et al.  Columbia River Streamflow Forecasting Based on ENSO and PDO Climate Signals , 1999 .

[6]  D. Meidinger,et al.  Ecosystems of British Columbia , 1991 .

[7]  P. Whitfield,et al.  Regime‐dependent streamflow sensitivities to Pacific climate modes cross the Georgia–Puget transboundary ecoregion , 2007 .

[8]  C. Torrence,et al.  A Practical Guide to Wavelet Analysis. , 1998 .

[9]  Sean W. Fleming,et al.  Glacier‐mediated streamflow teleconnections to the Arctic Oscillation , 2006 .

[10]  S. Fleming,et al.  Aquifer Responses to El Niño–Southern Oscillation, Southwest British Columbia , 2006, Ground water.

[11]  Connie A. Woodhouse,et al.  Updated streamflow reconstructions for the Upper Colorado River Basin , 2006 .

[12]  Hubert Morin,et al.  Cambial activity and intra-annual xylem formation in roots and stems of Abies balsamea and Picea mariana. , 2008, Annals of botany.

[13]  John J. Clague,et al.  A review of catastrophic drainage of moraine-dammed lakes in British Columbia , 2000 .

[14]  H. Fritts,et al.  Tree Rings and Climate. , 1978 .

[15]  Bernhard E. Splechtna,et al.  Climate - radial growth relationships in some major tree species of British Columbia , 1998 .

[16]  J. Dozier,et al.  EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON INLAND WATERS OF THE PACIFIC COASTAL MOUNTAINS AND WESTERN GREAT BASIN OF NORTH AMERICA , 1997 .

[17]  D. Peterson,et al.  Extreme climate and variation in tree growth: individualistic response in subalpine fir (Abies lasiocarpa) , 1995 .

[18]  Z. Gedalof,et al.  Interdecadal climate variability and regime‐scale shifts in Pacific North America , 2001 .

[19]  P. Kiffney,et al.  CLIMATIC AND HYDROLOGIC VARIABILITY IN A COASTAL WATERSHED OF SOUTHWESTERN BRITISH COLUMBIA 1 , 2002 .

[20]  Z. Gedalof,et al.  COLUMBIA RIVER FLOW AND DROUGHT SINCE 1750 1 , 2004 .

[21]  S. Evans,et al.  Geomorphic and sedimentological signature of a two‐phase outburst flood from moraine‐dammed Queen Bess Lake, British Columbia, Canada , 2005 .

[22]  Sean W. Fleming,et al.  Glacial Control of Water Resource and Related Environmental Responses to Climatic Warming: Empirical Analysis Using Historical Streamflow Data from Northwestern Canada , 2003 .

[23]  B. Luckman,et al.  Dendroclimatic reconstruction of maximum summer temperatures from upper treeline sites in Interior British Columbia, Canada , 2003 .

[24]  Malcolm K. Hughes,et al.  SACRAMENTO RIVER FLOW RECONSTRUCTED TO A.D. 869 FROM TREE RINGS 1 , 2001 .

[25]  Henri D. Grissino-Mayer,et al.  Evaluating Crossdating Accuracy: A Manual and Tutorial for the Computer Program COFECHA , 2001 .

[26]  G. MacDonald,et al.  TREE RING RECONSTRUCTIONS OF STREAMFLOW FOR THREE CANADIAN PRAIRIE RIVERS 1 , 2003 .

[27]  H. Fritts,et al.  LONG‐TERM RECONSTRUCTION OF WATER LEVEL CHANGES FOR LAKE ATHABASCA BY ANALYSIS OF TREE RINGS , 1973 .

[28]  Andrew G. Bunn,et al.  A dendrochronology program library in R (dplR) , 2008 .

[29]  Michael C. Quick,et al.  Climate change in the Fraser River watershed: flow and temperature projections , 2002 .

[30]  Kerstin Stahl,et al.  The role of synoptic‐scale circulation in the linkage between large‐scale ocean–atmosphere indices and winter surface climate in British Columbia, Canada , 2006 .

[31]  Régent Guay,et al.  A new automatic and interactive tree ring measurement system based on a line scan camera , 1992 .

[32]  Glen M. MacDonald,et al.  Variations in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation over the past millennium , 2005 .

[33]  M. Hughes Dendrochronology in climatology – the state of the art , 2002 .

[34]  C. Laroque,et al.  Tree-ring analysis of yellow-cedar (Chamaecyparis nootkatensis) on Vancouver Island, British Columbia , 1999 .

[35]  P. Whitfield Linked Hydrologic and Climate Variations in British Columbia and Yukon , 2001, Environmental monitoring and assessment.

[36]  Dan Smith,et al.  A dendroclimatological reconstruction of climate since AD 1700 in the Mt. Waddington area, British Columbia Coast Mountains, Canada , 2005 .

[37]  E. Watson,et al.  An exploration of the controls of pre-instrumental streamflow using multiple tree-ring proxies , 2005 .

[38]  James W. Hurrell,et al.  Decadal atmosphere-ocean variations in the Pacific , 1994 .

[39]  D. Ware A century and a half of change in the climate of the NE Pacific , 1995 .

[40]  R. Holmes,et al.  Tree-Ring Chronologies of Western North America: California, Eastern Oregon and Northern Great Basin with Procedures Used in the Chronology Development Work Including Users Manuals for Computer Programs COFECHA and ARSTAN , 1986 .

[41]  K. Hansen-Bristow Influence of increasing elevation on growth characteristics at timberline , 1986 .

[42]  M. Stokes,et al.  An Introduction to Tree-Ring Dating , 1996 .

[43]  T. Wigley,et al.  On the Average Value of Correlated Time Series, with Applications in Dendroclimatology and Hydrometeorology , 1984 .

[44]  R. Moore,et al.  Mass balance and streamflow variability at Place Glacier, Canada, in relation to recent climate fluctuations , 2001 .

[45]  Tommaso Anfodillo,et al.  Conifers in cold environments synchronize maximum growth rate of tree-ring formation with day length. , 2006, The New phytologist.

[46]  Z. Gedalof,et al.  Dendroclimatic response of mountain hemlock (Tsuga mertensiana) in Pacific North America , 2001 .

[47]  Dan Smith,et al.  Little Ice Age glacial activity in the Mt. Waddington area, British Columbia Coast Mountains, Canada , 2003 .

[48]  Sean W. Fleming,et al.  Autoregressive Noise, Deserialization, and Trend Detection and Quantification in Annual River Discharge Time Series , 2002 .

[49]  B. Luckman,et al.  Summer temperatures in the Canadian Rockies during the last millennium: a revised record , 2005 .

[50]  J. Wallace,et al.  Teleconnections in the Geopotential Height Field during the Northern Hemisphere Winter , 1981 .

[51]  N. Mantua,et al.  The Pacific Decadal Oscillation , 2002 .

[52]  R. Alfaro,et al.  Dendroecological studies of tree growth, climate and spruce beetle outbreaks in Central British Columbia, Canada , 1999 .

[53]  B. Menounos,et al.  Recent volume loss of British Columbian glaciers, Canada , 2007 .

[54]  C. Laroque,et al.  Radial-growth forecasts for five high-elevation conifer species on Vancouver Island, British Columbia , 2003 .

[55]  H. Fritts,et al.  Tree Rings and Climate. , 1978 .

[56]  David L. Peterson,et al.  MOUNTAIN HEMLOCK GROWTH RESPONDS TO CLIMATIC VARIABILITY AT ANNUAL AND DECADAL TIME SCALES , 2001 .

[57]  Roger Wheate,et al.  Glacier change in western North America: influences on hydrology, geomorphic hazards and water quality , 2009 .

[58]  R. Hebda,et al.  Variation in radial growth patterns of Pseudotsuga menziesii on the central coast of British Columbia, Canada , 2004 .