On the Prediction of Nitrogen Oxides From Gas Turbine Combustion Chambers Using Neural Networks

This paper describes a method of predicting the oxides of nitrogen emissions from gas turbine combustion chambers using neural networks. A short review of existing empirical models is undertaken and the reasoning behind the choice of correlation variables and mathematical formulations is presented. This review showed that the mathematical functions obtained from the underlying theory used to develop the semi-empirical model ultimately limit their general applicability. Under these conditions, obtaining a semi-empirical model with a large domain and good accuracy is difficult. An overview of the use of neural networks as a modelling tool is given. Using over 2000 data points, a neural network that can predict NOx emissions with greater accuracy than published correlations was developed. The coefficients of determination of the prediction for the previous published semi-empirical models are 0.8048 and 0.7885. However one tends to grossly overpredict and the other underpredict. The coefficient of determination is 0.8697 for the model using a neural network. Because of the nature of neural networks, this more accurate model does not allow better insight into the physical and chemical phenomena. It is however, a useful tool for the initial design of combustion chambers.Copyright © 2008 by ASME