Contingent Pricing to Reduce Price Risks

The price for a product may be set too low, causing the seller to leave money on the table, or too high, driving away potential buyers. Contingent pricing can be useful in mitigating these problems. In contingent pricing arrangements, price is contingent on whether the seller succeeds in obtaining a higher price within a specified period. We show that if the probability of obtaining the high price is not too high, sellers profit from using contingent pricing while economic efficiency increases. The optimal contingent pricing structure depends on the buyer's risk attitude-a deep discount is most profitable if buyers are risk prone. A consolation reward is most profitable if buyers are risk averse. To motivate buyers to participate in a contingent pricing arrangement, the seller must provide sufficient incentives. Consequently, buyers also benefit from contingent pricing. In addition, because the buyers with the highest willingness-to-pay get the product, contingent pricing increases the efficiency of resource allocation.

[1]  M. Bazerman,et al.  Betting on the future: the virtues of contingent contracts. , 1999, Harvard business review.

[2]  Wujin Chu,et al.  Controlling product returns in direct marketing , 1996 .

[3]  S. Salop,et al.  Practices that (Credibly) Facilitate Oligopoly Co-ordination , 1986 .

[4]  M. Harris,et al.  A Theory of Monopoly Pricing Schemes with Demand Uncertainty , 1981 .

[5]  Ashutosh Kumar Singh Layoffs and underwritten rights offers , 1997 .

[6]  Jeffrey I. McGill,et al.  Revenue Management: Research Overview and Prospects , 1999, Transp. Sci..

[7]  Steven M. Shugan,et al.  Electronic Tickets, Smart Cards, and Online Prepayments: When and How to Advance Sell , 2001 .

[8]  Imran S. Currim,et al.  An approach for determination of warranty length , 1992 .

[9]  I. Png,et al.  Manufacturer's Return Policies and Retail Competition , 1997 .

[10]  Joseph E. Stiglitz,et al.  New Developments in the Analysis of Market Structure: Proceedings of a Conference Held by the IEA in Ottawa, Canada. , 1987 .

[11]  Robert Wilson Ramsey pricing of priority service , 1989 .

[12]  B. Eckbo,et al.  Why underwrite rights offerings? Some new evidence , 1997 .

[13]  Scott M. Davis,et al.  Money back guarantees in retailing: matching products to consumer tastes , 1995 .

[14]  Ivan P. L. Png,et al.  Reservations: Customer Insurance in the Marketing of Capacity , 1989 .

[15]  Gila E. Fruchter,et al.  Research Note: Overselling with Opportunistic Cancellations , 1999 .

[16]  A. Pazgal,et al.  Internet Shopping Agents: Virtual Co-Location and Competition , 2001 .

[17]  Brian Bowen,et al.  Why Are Products Sold on Sale?: Explanations of Pricing Regularities , 1991 .

[18]  K. Srinivasan,et al.  Signaling Quality with a Money-Back Guarantee: The Role of Transaction Costs , 1995 .

[19]  Joydeep Srivastava,et al.  An Experimental and Theoretical Analysis of Price-Matching Refund Policies , 2000 .

[20]  Thomas R. Eisenmann,et al.  Priceline webhouse club , 2000 .

[21]  Stephen A. Smith,et al.  Clearance Pricing and Inventory Policies for Retail Chains , 1998 .

[22]  Steven M. Shugan,et al.  Strategic Service Pricing and Yield Management , 1999 .

[23]  Dale A. Stirling,et al.  Information rules , 2003, SGMD.

[24]  Steven M. Shugan In Search of Data: An Editorial , 2002 .

[25]  Ronald W. Masulis,et al.  Adverse Selection and the Rights Offer Paradox , 1992 .

[26]  J. Pratt RISK AVERSION IN THE SMALL AND IN THE LARGE11This research was supported by the National Science Foundation (grant NSF-G24035). Reproduction in whole or in part is permitted for any purpose of the United States Government. , 1964 .

[27]  Vineet Padmanabhan,et al.  Warranty Policy and Extended Service Contracts: Theory and an Application to Automobiles , 1993 .

[28]  Eyal Biyalogorsky,et al.  Research Note Contingent Pricing to Reduce Price Risks , 2004 .

[29]  Steven M. Shugan,et al.  Advance Pricing of Services and Other Implications of Separating Purchase and Consumption , 2000 .

[30]  Gila E. Fruchter,et al.  Selling with “Satisfaction Guaranteed” , 1999 .

[31]  Nancy L. Stokey Rational Expectations and Durable Goods Pricing , 1981 .

[32]  Terrence M. Belton A model of duopoly and meeting or beating competition , 1984 .

[33]  Z. John Zhang,et al.  Price-Matching Policy and the Principle of Minimum Differentiation , 1995 .

[34]  S. Sallstrom Fashion and sales , 2001 .

[35]  E. Lazear Retail Pricing and Clearance Sales , 1984 .

[36]  Wujin Chu,et al.  Managing Dissatisfaction , 1998 .

[37]  J. Sobel,et al.  Cyclic Pricing by a Durable Goods Monopolist , 1984 .

[38]  B. Pashigian,et al.  Demand Uncertainty and Sales: A Study of Fashion and Markdown Pricing , 1988 .

[39]  Samuel E. Bodily,et al.  A Taxonomy and Research Overview of Perishable-Asset Revenue Management: Yield Management, Overbooking, and Pricing , 1992, Oper. Res..