An age-structured model of hiv infection that allows for variations in the production rate of viral particles and the death rate of productively infected cells.

Mathematical models of HIV-1 infection can help interpret drug treatment experiments and improve our understanding of the interplay between HIV-1 and the immune system. We develop and analyze an age- structured model of HIV-1 infection that allows for variations in the death rate of productively infected T cells and the production rate of viral particles as a function of the length of time a T cell has been infected. We show that this model is a generalization of the standard differential equation and of delay models previously used to describe HIV-1 infection, and provides a means for exploring fundamental issues of viral production and death. We show that the model has uninfected and infected steady states, linked by a transcritical bifurcation. We perform a local stability analysis of the nontrivial equilibrium solution and provide a general stability condition for models with age structure. We then use numerical methods to study solutions of our model focusing on the analysis of primary HIV infection. We show that the time to reach peak viral levels in the blood depends not only on initial conditions but also on the way in which viral production ramps up. If viral production ramps up slowly, we find that the time to peak viral load is delayed compared to results obtained using the standard (constant viral production) model of HIV infection. We find that data on viral load changing over time is insufficient to identify the functions specifying the dependence of the viral production rate or infected cell death rate on infected cell age. These functions must be determined through new quantitative experiments.

[1]  James M. Hyman,et al.  The numerical differentiation of discrete functions using polynomial interpolation methods , 1982 .

[2]  Jan Prüβ,et al.  Stability analysis for equilibria in age-specific population dynamics , 1983 .

[3]  G. Webb Theory of Nonlinear Age-Dependent Population Dynamics , 1985 .

[4]  Carlos Castillo-Chavez,et al.  How May Infection-Age-Dependent Infectivity Affect the Dynamics of HIV/AIDS? , 1993, SIAM J. Appl. Math..

[5]  Martin A. Nowak,et al.  Viral dynamics in human immunodeficiency virus type 1 infection , 1995, Nature.

[6]  Mimmo Iannelli,et al.  Mathematical Theory of Age-Structured Population Dynamics , 1995 .

[7]  Andrew N. Phillips,et al.  Reduction of HIV Concentration During Acute Infection: Independence from a Specific Immune Response , 1996, Science.

[8]  A. Perelson,et al.  HIV-1 Dynamics in Vivo: Virion Clearance Rate, Infected Cell Life-Span, and Viral Generation Time , 1996, Science.

[9]  M A Nowak,et al.  Viral dynamics in vivo: limitations on estimates of intracellular delay and virus decay. , 1996, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[10]  C. Castillo-Chavez,et al.  To treat or not to treat: the case of tuberculosis , 1997, Journal of mathematical biology.

[11]  Alan S. Perelson,et al.  Decay characteristics of HIV-1-infected compartments during combination therapy , 1997, Nature.

[12]  G. F. Webb,et al.  Understanding drug resistance for monotherapy treatment of HIV infection , 1997, Bulletin of mathematical biology.

[13]  B. Walker,et al.  HIV-1 Nef protein protects infected primary cells against killing by cytotoxic T lymphocytes , 1998, Nature.

[14]  A D Kelleher,et al.  A model of primary HIV-1 infection. , 1998, Mathematical biosciences.

[15]  A S Perelson,et al.  Improved estimates for HIV-1 clearance rate and intracellular delay. , 1999, AIDS.

[16]  Alan S. Perelson,et al.  Mathematical Analysis of HIV-1 Dynamics in Vivo , 1999, SIAM Rev..

[17]  Jaap Goudsmit,et al.  Ongoing HIV dissemination during HAART , 1999, Nature Medicine.

[18]  D. Baltimore,et al.  HIV's evasion of the cellular immune response , 1999, Immunological reviews.

[19]  A. Perelson,et al.  A model of HIV-1 pathogenesis that includes an intracellular delay. , 2000, Mathematical biosciences.

[20]  Herbert W. Hethcote,et al.  The Mathematics of Infectious Diseases , 2000, SIAM Rev..

[21]  A S Perelson,et al.  Modeling plasma virus concentration during primary HIV infection. , 2000, Journal of theoretical biology.

[22]  A S Perelson,et al.  Effect of Drug Efficacy and the Eclipse Phase of the Viral Life Cycle on Estimates of HIV Viral Dynamic Parameters , 2001, Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes.

[23]  Z. Feng,et al.  A Two-Strain Tuberculosis Model with Age of Infection , 2002, SIAM J. Appl. Math..

[24]  D. Ho,et al.  The HIV-1 Vaccine Race , 2002, Cell.

[25]  Patrick W Nelson,et al.  Mathematical analysis of delay differential equation models of HIV-1 infection. , 2002, Mathematical biosciences.

[26]  A. Perelson,et al.  Optimal viral production , 2003, Bulletin of mathematical biology.

[27]  Tracey M. Filzen,et al.  Rev activity determines sensitivity of HIV-1-infected primary T cells to CTL killing. , 2003, Immunity.

[28]  Carlos Castillo-Chavez,et al.  Diseases with chronic stage in a population with varying size. , 2003, Mathematical biosciences.

[29]  A. Perelson,et al.  Optimizing within-host viral fitness: infected cell lifespan and virion production rate. , 2004, Journal of theoretical biology.