IMMUNE NETWORK ALGORITHM IN MONTHLY STREAMFLOW PREDICTION AT JOHOR RIVER

This study proposes an alternative method in generating future stream flow data with single-point river stage. Prediction of stream flow data is important in water resources engineering for planning and design purposes in order to estimate long term forecasting. This paper utilizes Artificial Immune System (AIS) in modelling the stream flow of one stations of Johor River. AIS has the abilities of self-organizing, memory, recognition, adaptive and ability of learning inspired from the immune system. Immune Network Algorithm is part of the three main algorithm in AIS. The model of Immune Network Algorithm used in this study is aiNet. The training process in aiNet is partly inspired by clonal selection principle and the other part uses antibody interactions for removing redundancy and finding data patterns. Like any other traditional statistical and stochastic techniques, results from this study, exhibit that, Immune Network Algorithm is capable of producing future stream flow data at monthly duration with various advantages.

[1]  Jonathan Timmis,et al.  Artificial Immune Systems: A New Computational Intelligence Approach , 2003 .

[2]  A. Salim Bawazir,et al.  Forecasting Monthly Streamflow of Spring-Summer Runoff Season in Rio Grande Headwaters Basin Using Stochastic Hybrid Modeling Approach , 2011 .

[3]  Alan S. Perelson,et al.  Self-nonself discrimination in a computer , 1994, Proceedings of 1994 IEEE Computer Society Symposium on Research in Security and Privacy.

[4]  Leandro Nunes de Castro,et al.  aiNet: An Artificial Immune Network for Data Analysis , 2002 .

[5]  Peter Ross,et al.  An Immune System Approach to Scheduling in Changing Environments , 1999, GECCO.

[6]  Jonathan Timmis,et al.  Artificial immune systems - a new computational intelligence paradigm , 2002 .

[7]  Xiao Zhi Gao,et al.  Artificial Immune Networks: Models and Applications , 2006, 2006 International Conference on Computational Intelligence and Security.

[8]  Alan S. Perelson,et al.  The immune system, adaptation, and machine learning , 1986 .

[9]  Ying Tan Artificial Immune System , 2016 .

[10]  Richard E. Overill,et al.  Design of an artificial immune system as a novel anomaly detector for combating financial fraud in the retail sector , 2003, The 2003 Congress on Evolutionary Computation, 2003. CEC '03..

[11]  Jonathan Timmis Artificial immune systems : a novel data analysis technique inspired by the immune network theory , 2000 .

[12]  Fernando José Von Zuben,et al.  Learning and optimization using the clonal selection principle , 2002, IEEE Trans. Evol. Comput..

[13]  P. Delves,et al.  The Immune System , 2000 .

[14]  Stephanie Forrest,et al.  Principles of a computer immune system , 1998, NSPW '97.

[15]  Enli Wang,et al.  Monthly and seasonal streamflow forecasts using rainfall‐runoff modeling and historical weather data , 2011 .

[16]  H. Abbass,et al.  aiNet : An Artificial Immune Network for Data Analysis , 2022 .

[17]  Xiang Weiguo,et al.  The Weather Prediction Method Based on Artificial Immune System , 2010, 2010 International Forum on Information Technology and Applications.

[18]  Q. Wangd,et al.  Monthly and seasonal streamflow forecasts using rainfall-runoff modeling and POAMA predictions , 2011 .

[19]  Simon M. Garrett,et al.  Improved Pattern Recognition with Artificial Clonal Selection? , 2003, ICARIS.

[20]  Leandro Nunes de Castro,et al.  The Clonal Selection Algorithm with Engineering Applications 1 , 2000 .