Looking at “Linda”: Is the Conjunction Fallacy Really a Fallacy

Since Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman first encounter in the Hebrew University in 1968, they achieved high reputation among their fellows with their research in the field of human reasoning, decision-making and behavior. The above-mentioned quote is an excerpt from their most famous contribution in the field of probability judgment. It mainly states that generally humans tend to argue irrational, biased by personal, societal, or cultural reasoning. In 1974, Tversky and Kahneman published a paper about judgement and uncertainty, which includes the “Linda problem”. Meanwhile, this example reached an ample amount of fame and is cited frequently. The Linda problem is aimed at exposing the so-called conjunction fallacy and is presented as follows to the the test persons: