Combining Price and Quantity Controls Under Partitioned Environmental Regulation

This paper analyzes hybrid emissions trading systems (ETS) under partitioned environmental regulation when firms’ abatement costs and future emissions are uncertain. We show that hybrid policies that introduce bounds on the price or the quantity of abatement provide a way to hedge against differences in marginal abatement costs across partitions. Price bounds are more efficient than abatement bounds as they also use information on firms’ abatement technologies while abatement bounds can only address emissions uncertainty. Using a numerical stochastic optimization model with equilibrium constraints for the European carbon market, we find that introducing hybrid policies in EU ETS reduces expected excess abatement costs of achieving targeted emissions reductions under EU climate policy by up to 89 percent. We also find that under partitioned regulation there is a high likelihood for hybrid policies to yield sizeable ex-post cost reductions.

[1]  K. Neuhoff,et al.  Modelling a Market Stability Reserve in Carbon Markets , 2015 .

[2]  A. Ellerman,et al.  An Analysis of Allowance Banking in the EU ETS , 2015 .

[3]  W. Pizer,et al.  Managing Permit Markets to Stabilize Prices , 2005 .

[4]  T. Rutherford Extension of GAMS for complementarity problems arising in applied economic analysis , 1995 .

[5]  The European Union Emissions Trading System and the Market Stability Reserve: Optimal Dynamic Supply Adjustment , 2015 .

[6]  Christoph Böhringer,et al.  Sectoral and Regional Expansion of Emissions Trading , 2014 .

[7]  Cédric Philibert,et al.  Assessing the value of price caps and floors , 2009 .

[8]  Sergey Paltsev,et al.  Modeling the Transport Sector: The Role of Existing Fuel Taxes in Climate Policy , 2004 .

[9]  L. Mathiesen Computation of economic equilibria by a sequence of linear complementarity problems , 1985 .

[10]  John M. Reilly,et al.  Modeling non-CO2 Greenhouse Gas Abatement , 2003 .

[11]  Jan Abrell,et al.  Regulating CO2 Emissions of Transportation in Europe: A CGE-Analysis Using Market-Based Instruments , 2009 .

[12]  Perino,et al.  The price and emission effects of a market stability reserve in a competitive allowance market Grischa Perino and Maximilian Willner , 2016 .

[13]  Christoph Böhringer,et al.  The Efficiency Costs of Separating Carbon Markets Under the EU Emissions Trading Scheme: A Quantitative Assessment for Germany , 2005 .

[14]  Frank C. Krysiak Ex-post efficient permit markets: a detailed analysis , 2008 .

[15]  Roman Keeney,et al.  How Confident Can We Be in Cge-Based Assessments of Free Trade Agreements? , 2004 .

[16]  Marc Roberts,et al.  Effluent charges and licenses under uncertainty , 1976 .

[17]  Bethany L. Nicholson,et al.  Mathematical Programs with Equilibrium Constraints , 2021, Pyomo — Optimization Modeling in Python.

[18]  Sergey Paltsev,et al.  A Forward Looking Version of the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) Model , 2008 .

[19]  S. Dirkse,et al.  The path solver: a nommonotone stabilization scheme for mixed complementarity problems , 1995 .

[20]  Sergey Paltsev,et al.  The MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) Model: Version 4 , 2005 .

[21]  Christian P. Robert,et al.  Monte Carlo Statistical Methods , 2005, Springer Texts in Statistics.

[22]  W. Oates,et al.  Efficiency in Pollution Control in the Short and Long Runs: A System of Rental Emission Permits , 1982 .

[23]  M. Weitzman Prices vs. Quantities , 1974 .

[24]  Christoph Böhringer,et al.  The Strategic Value of Carbon Tariffs , 2013, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[25]  Christoph Böhringer,et al.  Strategic partitioning of emission allowances under the EU Emission Trading Scheme , 2009 .

[26]  Arne Drud,et al.  CONOPT: A GRG code for large sparse dynamic nonlinear optimization problems , 1985, Math. Program..

[27]  Edward Manderson,et al.  Extending the Sectoral Coverage of an International Emission Trading Scheme , 2011 .

[28]  Proposal for a Decision of the European Parliament and of the Council concerning the Establishment and Operation of a Market Stability Reserve for the Union Greenhouse Gas Emission Trading Scheme and Amending Directive 2003/87/ec , 2022 .

[29]  Expecting the Unexpected: Emissions Uncertainty and Environmental Market Design , 2015, American Economic Review.

[30]  Sonja Peterson,et al.  Marginal Abatement Cost Curves in General Equilibrium: The Influence of World Energy Prices , 2004 .

[31]  G. Demange,et al.  Joint Design of Emission Tax and Trading Systems , 2015 .

[32]  J. A. Hartigan,et al.  A k-means clustering algorithm , 1979 .

[33]  E. Maskin,et al.  On Imperfect Information and Optimal Pollution Control , 1980 .

[34]  J. Hourcade,et al.  The Economics of a Lost Deal: Kyoto - The Hague - Marrakesh , 2002 .

[35]  Robert McDougall,et al.  Global trade, assistance, and production : The GTAP 5 Data Base , 2002 .

[36]  Harrison Fell Comparing Policies to Confront Permit Over-Allocation , 2015 .

[37]  Paul S. Armington A Theory of Demand for Products Distinguished by Place of Production (Une théorie de la demande de produits différenciés d'après leur origine) (Una teoría de la demanda de productos distinguiéndolos según el lugar de producción) , 1969 .

[38]  A. Denny Ellerman,et al.  The safety valve and climate policy , 2004 .

[39]  T. Requate,et al.  Pollution control by options trading , 2001 .