论文信息 - Significance Tests in Climate Science

Significance Tests in Climate Science

AbstractA large fraction of papers in the climate literature includes erroneous uses of significance tests. A Bayesian analysis is presented to highlight the meaning of significance tests and why typical misuse occurs. The significance statistic is not a quantitative measure of how confident one can be of the “reality” of a given result. It is concluded that a significance test very rarely provides useful quantitative information.

Maarten H. P. Ambaum | M. Ambaum

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