A high resolution satellite view of surface solar radiation over the climatically sensitive region of Eastern Mediterranean

Abstract In this work, the spatiotemporal variability of surface solar radiation (SSR) is examined over the Eastern Mediterranean region for a 31-year period (1983–2013). The CM SAF SARAH (Satellite Application Facility on Climate Monitoring Solar surfAce RAdiation Heliosat) satellite-based product was found to be homogeneous (based on relative Standard Normal Homogeneity Tests — SNHTs, 95% confidence level) as compared to ground-based observations, and hence appropriate for climatological studies. Specifically, the dataset shows good agreement with monthly observations from five quality assured stations in the region with a mean bias of 7.1 W/m 2 or 3.8% and a strong correlation. This high resolution (0.05° × 0.05°) product is capable of revealing various local features. Over land, the SSR levels are highly dependent on the topography, while over the sea, they exhibit a smooth latitudinal variability. SSR varies significantly over the region on a seasonal basis being three times higher in summer (309.6 ± 26.5 W/m 2 ) than in winter (100.2 ± 31.4 W/m 2 ). The CM SAF SARAH product was compared against three satellite-based and one reanalysis products. The satellite-based data from CERES (Cloud and the Earth's Radiant Energy System), GEWEX (Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment) and ISCCP (International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project) underestimate SSR while the reanalysis data from the ERA-Interim overestimate SSR compared to CM SAF SARAH. Using a radiative transfer model and a set of ancillary data, these biases are attributed to the atmospheric parameters that drive the transmission of solar radiation in the atmosphere, namely, clouds, aerosols and water vapor. It is shown that the bias between CERES and CM SAF SARAH SSR can be explained through the cloud fractional cover and aerosol optical depth biases between these datasets. The CM SAF SARAH SSR trend was found to be positive (brightening) and statistically significant at the 95% confidence level (0.2 ± 0.05 W/m 2 /year or 0.1 ± 0.02%/year) being almost the same over land and sea. The CM SAF SARAH SSR trends are closer to the ground-based ones than the CERES, GEWEX, ISCCP and ERA-Interim trends. The use of an aerosol climatology for the production of CM SAF SARAH, that neglects the trends of aerosol loads, leads to an underestimation of the SSR trends. It is suggested here, that the inclusion of changes of the aerosol load and composition within CM SAF SARAH would allow for a more accurate reproduction of the SSR trends.

[1]  M. Razinger,et al.  Aerosol analysis and forecast in the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts Integrated Forecast System: 2. Data assimilation , 2009 .

[2]  Martin Wild,et al.  Global dimming and brightening: A review , 2009 .

[3]  J. Lelieveld,et al.  Global Air Pollution Crossroads over the Mediterranean , 2002, Science.

[4]  A. Ohmura,et al.  The Global Energy Balance Archive , 1999 .

[5]  Mark A. Liniger,et al.  A surface radiation climatology across two Meteosat satellite generations , 2013 .

[6]  Johannes W. Kaiser,et al.  Aerosol analysis and forecast in the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Integrated Forecast System : Forward modeling , 2009 .

[7]  A. Evan,et al.  Arguments against a physical long‐term trend in global ISCCP cloud amounts , 2007 .

[8]  E. Dutton,et al.  Do Satellites Detect Trends in Surface Solar Radiation? , 2004, Science.

[9]  J. Calbó,et al.  Climatology and changes in cloud cover in the area of the Black, Caspian, and Aral seas (1991–2010): a comparison of surface observations with satellite and reanalysis products , 2016 .

[10]  F. Giorgi,et al.  Evaluation of the radiation budget with a regional climate model over Europe and inspection of dimming and brightening , 2014 .

[11]  J. Lelieveld,et al.  Climate change and impacts in the Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East , 2012, Climatic Change.

[12]  B. Barkstrom,et al.  Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES): An Earth Observing System Experiment , 1996 .

[13]  Marco Bindi,et al.  Climatic changes and associated impacts in the Mediterranean resulting from a 2°C global warming , 2009 .

[14]  David Mateos,et al.  Shortwave radiative forcing due to long-term changes of total ozone column over the Iberian Peninsula , 2013 .

[15]  Martin Wild,et al.  Pollution trends over Europe constrain global aerosol forcing as simulated by climate models , 2014 .

[16]  A. Bais,et al.  Changes in surface shortwave solar irradiance from 1993 to 2011 at Thessaloniki (Greece) , 2013 .

[17]  I. Vardavas,et al.  Cloud effects on the solar and thermal radiation budgets of the Mediterranean basin , 2015 .

[18]  Paul W. Stackhouse,et al.  The Langley Parameterized Shortwave Algorithm (LPSA) for Surface Radiation Budget Studies. 1.0 , 2001 .

[19]  A. Lacis,et al.  Calculation of radiative fluxes from the surface to top of atmosphere based on ISCCP and other global data sets: Refinements of the radiative transfer model and the input data , 2004 .

[20]  Mian Chin,et al.  Contribution of different aerosol species to the global aerosol extinction optical thickness: Estimates from model results , 1997 .

[21]  Christos Matsoukas,et al.  The direct effect of aerosols on solar radiation over the broader Mediterranean basin , 2011 .

[22]  Kostas Kourtidis,et al.  Differences between the MODIS Collection 6 and 5.1 aerosol datasets over the greater Mediterranean region , 2016 .

[23]  J. Norris,et al.  Cloud cover climatologies in the Mediterranean obtained from satellites, surface observations, reanalyses, and CMIP5 simulations: validation and future scenarios , 2016, Climate Dynamics.

[24]  Richard Müller,et al.  Digging the METEOSAT Treasure - 3 Decades of Solar Surface Radiation , 2015, Remote. Sens..

[25]  O. Torres,et al.  Natural versus anthropogenic aerosols in the eastern Mediterranean basin derived from multiyear TOMS and MODIS satellite data , 2009 .

[26]  Jörg Trentmann,et al.  Remote sensing of solar surface radiation for climate monitoring — the CM-SAF retrieval in international comparison , 2012 .

[27]  Annette Hammer,et al.  A New Algorithm for the Satellite-Based Retrieval of Solar Surface Irradiance in Spectral Bands , 2012, Remote. Sens..

[28]  F. Giorgi,et al.  Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region , 2008 .

[29]  Jean-Noël Thépaut,et al.  An improved general fast radiative transfer model for the assimilation of radiance observations , 2004 .

[30]  Duncan J. Wingham,et al.  Importance of seasonal and annual layers in controlling backscatter to radar altimeters across the percolation zone of an ice sheet , 2006 .

[31]  A. Kazantzidis,et al.  The aerosol effect on direct normal irradiance in Europe under clear skies , 2014 .

[32]  W. Collins,et al.  An AeroCom Initial Assessment - Optical Properties in Aerosol Component Modules of Global Models , 2005 .

[33]  Maria João Costa,et al.  Quantifying the respective roles of aerosols and clouds in the strong brightening since the early 2000s over the Iberian Peninsula , 2014 .

[34]  Eleni Marinou,et al.  Spatiotemporal variability and contribution of different aerosol types to the Aerosol Optical Depth over the Eastern Mediterranean. , 2016, Atmospheric chemistry and physics.

[35]  Martin Wild,et al.  Means and Trends of Shortwave Irradiance at the Surface Estimated from Global Energy Balance Archive Data. , 1998 .

[36]  S. Seneviratne,et al.  The energy balance over land and oceans: an assessment based on direct observations and CMIP5 climate models , 2015, Climate Dynamics.

[37]  Martin Wild,et al.  Validation and stability assessment of the monthly mean CM SAF surface solar radiation dataset over Europe against a homogenized surface dataset (1983–2005) , 2013 .

[38]  Richard Müller,et al.  Spatial and Temporal Homogeneity of Solar Surface Irradiance across Satellite Generations , 2011, Remote. Sens..

[39]  J. Thepaut,et al.  The ERA‐Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system , 2011 .

[40]  J. Burrows,et al.  Megacities as hot spots of air pollution in the East Mediterranean , 2011 .

[41]  Catherine Gautier,et al.  SBDART: A Research and Teaching Software Tool for Plane-Parallel Radiative Transfer in the Earth's Atmosphere. , 1998 .

[42]  William B. Rossow,et al.  Calculation of surface and top of atmosphere radiative fluxes from physical quantities based on ISCCP data sets: 2. Validation and first results , 1995 .

[43]  J. F. Meirink,et al.  CLAAS: the CM SAF cloud property data set using SEVIRI , 2014 .

[44]  Georgia Alexandri,et al.  On the ability of RegCM4 regional climate model to simulate surface solar radiation patterns over Europe: an assessment using satellite-based observations , 2015 .

[45]  Despina Hatzidimitriou,et al.  Global distribution of Earth's surface shortwave radiation budget , 2005, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.

[46]  W. Collins,et al.  Simulating aerosols using a chemical transport model with assimilation of satellite aerosol retrievals: Methodology for INDOEX , 2001 .

[47]  R. Hollmann,et al.  The CM-SAF operational scheme for the satellite based retrieval of solar surface irradiance - a LUT based eigenvector hybrid approach. , 2009 .

[48]  G. Tselioudis,et al.  Solar dimming and brightening over Thessaloniki, Greece, and Beijing, China , 2009 .

[49]  R. Vautard,et al.  Regional climate hindcast simulations within EURO-CORDEX: evaluation of a WRF multi-physics ensemble , 2015 .

[50]  Martin Wild,et al.  Reassessment and update of long‐term trends in downward surface shortwave radiation over Europe (1939–2012) , 2015 .

[51]  Jos Lelieveld,et al.  Role of soil moisture in the amplification of climate warming in the eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East , 2014 .

[52]  A. J. Miller,et al.  Factors affecting the detection of trends: Statistical considerations and applications to environmental data , 1998 .

[53]  Kazuaki Kawamoto,et al.  Relative contributions to surface shortwave irradiance over China: A new index of potential radiative forcing , 2008 .

[54]  A. Bais,et al.  Hellenic Network for Solar Energy , 2013 .

[55]  M. Wild,et al.  Spatial representativeness of ground‐based solar radiation measurements , 2013 .

[56]  Kai Zhang,et al.  MAC‐v1: A new global aerosol climatology for climate studies , 2013 .

[57]  H. Alexandersson A homogeneity test applied to precipitation data , 1986 .

[58]  F. Giorgi,et al.  Climate change hot‐spots , 2006 .

[59]  T. Ouarda,et al.  On the critical values of the standard normal homogeneity test (SNHT) , 2007 .

[60]  Lucien Wald,et al.  Simulating Meteosat-7 broadband radiances using two visible channels of Meteosat-8 , 2006 .

[61]  Anders Moberg,et al.  HOMOGENIZATION OF SWEDISH TEMPERATURE DATA. PART I: HOMOGENEITY TEST FOR LINEAR TRENDS , 1997 .

[62]  Crystal B. Schaaf,et al.  Development and assessment of broadband surface albedo from Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System Clouds and Radiation Swath data product , 2009 .

[63]  Jörg Trentmann,et al.  Homogeneity Analysis of the CM SAF Surface Solar Irradiance Dataset Derived from Geostationary Satellite Observations , 2013, Remote. Sens..

[64]  J. Lelieveld,et al.  Summertime free-tropospheric ozone pool over the eastern Mediterranean/Middle East , 2013 .

[65]  Christos Zerefos,et al.  Photochemical Activity and Solar Ultraviolet Radiation (PAUR) Modulation Factors: An overview of the project , 2002 .

[66]  N. Loeb,et al.  Surface Irradiances Consistent With CERES-Derived Top-of-Atmosphere Shortwave and Longwave Irradiances , 2013 .

[67]  Zhonghai Jin,et al.  A new parameterization of spectral and broadband ocean surface albedo. , 2011, Optics express.