The effects of globalization and technology on the elasticity of substitution

The elasticity of substitution between capital and labor ($$\sigma$$σ) is usually considered a “deep parameter”. This paper shows, in contrast, that $$\sigma$$σ is affected by both globalization and technology, and that different intensities in these drivers have different consequences for the OECD and the non-OECD economies. In the OECD, we find that the elasticity of substitution between capital and labor is below unity; that it increases along with the degree of globalization; but it decreases with the level of technology. Although results for the non-OECD area are more heterogeneous, we find that technology enhances the substitutability between capital and labor. We also find evidence of a non-significant impact of the capital-output ratio on the labor share irrespective of the degree of globalization (which would be consistent with an average aggregate Cobb–Douglas technology). Given the relevance of $$\sigma$$σ for economic growth and the functional distribution of income, the intertwined linkage among globalization, technology and the elasticity of substitution should be taken into account in any policy makers’ objective function.

[1]  Hairul Azlan Annuar,et al.  Foreign investors' interests and corporate tax avoidance: Evidence from an emerging economy , 2015 .

[2]  N. S. Revankar A Class of Variable Elasticity of Substitution Production Functions , 1971 .

[3]  Stephen Bond,et al.  Dynamic panel data models: a guide to micro data methods and practice , 2002 .

[4]  Per Krusell,et al.  Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Research Department Staa Report # 236 Capital-skill Complementarity and Inequality: a Macroeconomic Analysis , 2022 .

[5]  J. Antony A class of changing elasticity of substitution production functions , 2010 .

[6]  Henryk Kierzkowski,et al.  Globalization and the consequences of international fragmentation , 2001 .

[7]  David Roodman How to do Xtabond2: An Introduction to Difference and System GMM in Stata , 2006 .

[8]  V. French,et al.  The long and the short of it , 1993, Nature.

[9]  Anke Hoeffler,et al.  GMM Estimation of Empirical Growth Models , 2001 .

[10]  Robert S. Chirinko,et al.  The Substitution Elasticity, Factor Shares, Long-Run Growth, and the Low-Frequency Panel Model , 2016, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[11]  Y. Shin,et al.  Modelling Asymmetric Cointegration and Dynamic Multipliers in a Nonlinear ARDL Framework , 2013 .

[12]  D. Gollin Getting Income Shares Right , 2002, Journal of Political Economy.

[13]  Robert S. Chirinko [sigma]: The long and short of it , 2008 .

[14]  Robert C. Feenstra,et al.  The Impact of Outsourcing and High-Technology Capital on Wages: Estimates For the United States, 1979–1990 , 1999 .

[15]  Loukas Karabarbounis,et al.  The Global Decline of the Labor Share , 2013 .

[16]  M. Hashem Pesaran,et al.  Common Correlated Effects Estimation of Heterogenous Dynamic Panel Data Models with Weakly Exogenous Regressors , 2013, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[17]  M. Hashem Pesaran,et al.  Time Series and Panel Data Econometrics , 2015 .

[18]  J. Sachs Globalization and patterns of economic development , 2000 .

[19]  Daron Acemoglu,et al.  Capital Deepening and Nonbalanced Economic Growth , 2008, Journal of Political Economy.

[20]  C. Helmers,et al.  Do Spillovers Matter When Estimating Private Returns to R&D? , 2011, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[21]  Markus Eberhardt,et al.  Public debt and growth: Heterogeneity and non-linearity , 2015 .

[22]  Elhanan Helpman,et al.  International R&D spillovers , 1995 .

[23]  Andreas Irmen Comment on "On the openness to trade as a determinant of the macroeconomic elasticity of substitution" , 2008 .

[24]  Arjun Jayadev,et al.  Capital account openness and the labour share of income , 2007 .

[25]  Zvi Griliches,et al.  Capital-Skill Complementarity , 1969 .

[26]  K. Pichelmann,et al.  Understanding labour income share dynamics in Europe , 2009 .

[27]  T. Srinivasan Long-Run Growth Theories and Empirics: Anything New? , 1995 .

[28]  Dani Rodrik,et al.  Has Globalization Gone Too Far , 1997 .

[29]  J. Antony Capital/Labor substitution, capital deepening, and FDI , 2009 .

[30]  R. Solow TECHNICAL CHANGE AND THE AGGREGATE PRODUCTION FUNCTION , 1957 .

[31]  Olivier de La Grandville,et al.  Economic Growth and the Elasticity of Substitution: Two Theorems and Some Suggestions , 2000 .

[32]  M. Pesaran A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in the Presence of Cross Section Dependence , 2003 .

[33]  Thomas Brambor,et al.  Understanding Interaction Models: Improving Empirical Analyses , 2006, Political Analysis.

[34]  F. Teal,et al.  Structural Change and Cross-Country Growth Empirics , 2013 .

[35]  Pol Antràs Is the U.S. Aggregate Production Function Cobb-Douglas? New Estimates of the Elasticity of Substitution , 2004 .

[36]  Robert S. Chirinko The Long and Short of it , 2008 .

[37]  Andrew B. Abel,et al.  An Intertemporal Model of Saving and Investment , 1982 .

[38]  J. Madsen Growth and capital deepening since 1870: Is it all technological progress?☆ , 2010 .

[39]  M. Pesaran General diagnostic tests for cross-sectional dependence in panels , 2004, Empirical Economics.

[40]  P. Pedroni Social capital, barriers to production and capital shares: implications for the importance of parameter heterogeneity from a nonstationary panel approach , 2007 .

[41]  Lawrence F. Katz,et al.  The Origins of Technology-Skill Complementarity , 1996 .

[42]  M. Pesaran,et al.  Estimating Long-Run Relationships From Dynamic Heterogeneous Panels , 1995 .

[43]  O. D. L. Grandville,et al.  In Quest of the Slutsky Diamond , 1989 .

[44]  M. Rognlie Deciphering the Fall and Rise in the Net Capital Share: Accumulation or Scarcity? , 2016 .

[45]  M. Nerlove,et al.  Biases in dynamic models with fixed effects , 1988 .

[46]  Bernhard Herz,et al.  Does Globalization Affect Growth ? Evidence from a new Index of Globalization , 2005 .

[47]  M. Pesaran Estimation and Inference in Large Heterogeneous Panels with a Multifactor Error Structure , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[48]  J. Antony A dual elasticity of substitution production function with an application to cross-country inequality ☆ , 2009 .

[49]  G. Saint‐Paul,et al.  Explaining Movements in the Labor Share , 2003 .

[50]  Daron Acemoglu,et al.  Capital Deepening and Nonbalanced Economic Growth , 2006, Journal of Political Economy.

[51]  Wilbur John Coleman,et al.  Cross-Country Technology Diffusion: The Case of Computers , 2001 .

[52]  Gordon H. Hanson,et al.  Global Production Sharing and Rising Inequality: A Survey of Trade and Wages , 2001 .

[53]  Marianne Saam Openness to trade as a determinant of the macroeconomic elasticity of substitution , 2008 .

[54]  T. C. Edens,et al.  Economic Growth , 1957, The Journal of Economic History.

[55]  M. Slaughter,et al.  International Trade and Labor-Demand Elasticities , 1997 .

[56]  David Greenaway,et al.  Imports, exports, knowledge spillovers and growth , 2004 .

[57]  Larry E. Jones,et al.  A Convex Model of Equilibrium Growth: Theory and Policy Implications , 1990, Journal of Political Economy.

[58]  R. Sato,et al.  Production Functions with Variable Elasticity of Factor Substitution: Some Analysis and Testing , 1968 .

[59]  M. Pesaran,et al.  Weak and Strong Cross-Section Dependence and Estimation of Large Panels , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[60]  F. Teal,et al.  Econometrics for Grumblers: A New Look at the Literature on Cross-Country Growth Empirics , 2011 .

[61]  R. Blundell,et al.  Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models , 1998 .

[62]  R. Lawson,et al.  Capitalism and Labor Shares: A Cross-Country Panel Study , 2013 .

[63]  D. Acemoglu Labor- and Capital- Augmenting Technical Change , 2000 .