How movement bias to attractive regions determines population spread and critical habitat size

Ecologists have long investigated how the demographic and movement parameters of a population determine its spatial spread and the critical habitat size that can sustain it. Yet, most existing models make oversimplifying assumptions about individual movement behavior, neglecting how landscape heterogeneity influences dispersal. We relax this assumption and introduce a reaction-advection-diffusion model that describes the spatial density distribution of a population with space-dependent movement bias toward preferred regions, including avoidance of degraded habitats. In this scenario, the critical habitat size depends on the spatial location of the habitat edges with respect to the preferred regions and on the intensity of the movement bias components. In particular, we identify parameter regions where the critical habitat size decreases when diffusion increases, a phenomenon known as the ``drift paradox''. We also find that biased movement toward low-quality or highly populated regions can reduce the population size, therefore creating ecological traps. Our results emphasize the importance of species-specific movement behavior and habitat selection as drivers of population dynamics in fragmented landscapes and, therefore, the need to account for them in the design of protected areas.

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