Time-dependent reliability model of components with strength degradation based-on gamma process

In the evaluation of structural reliability, failure is defined as the event in which stress exceeds a strength that is liable to deterioration. A method is presented to consider stochastic loading and strength degradation for computing the time-dependent reliability of a structural component. The deterioration process is modeled as a gamma process, which is a stochastic process with independent non-negative increments having a gamma distribution with identical scale parameter. The stochastic process of loads is generated by a Poisson process. Numerical analysis of example shows this time-dependent reliability model provides accurate results.

[1]  Jan M. van Noortwijk,et al.  Sampling inspection for the evaluation of time-dependent reliability of deteriorating systems under imperfect defect detection , 2009, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[2]  W. J. Padgett,et al.  Accelerated Degradation Models for Failure Based on Geometric Brownian Motion and Gamma Processes , 2005, Lifetime data analysis.

[3]  Jiang Tong-min Constant-stress Accelerated Degradation Testing of Satellite Assemblies , 2007 .

[4]  Dan M. Frangopol,et al.  Probabilistic models for life‐cycle performance of deteriorating structures: review and future directions , 2004 .

[5]  M. Abdel-Hameed A Gamma Wear Process , 1975, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[6]  M. Crowder,et al.  Covariates and Random Effects in a Gamma Process Model with Application to Degradation and Failure , 2004, Lifetime data analysis.

[7]  Gao Jing-bo Real-time Reliability Assessment Based on Gamma Process and Bayesian Estimation , 2009 .

[8]  Michael L. Wenocur A reliability model based on the gamma process and its analytic theory , 1989, Advances in Applied Probability.

[9]  Kang Rui,et al.  Degradation model and application in life prediction of rotating-mechanism , 2009 .

[10]  Zhao Jian-yinb Stochastic Gamma Process Degradation Failure Analysis , 2010 .

[11]  Huiming Zhu,et al.  Gamma Process Priors Model Based on MCMC Simulation and Its Application in Reliability , 2007 .

[12]  Axel Lehmann Joint modeling of degradation and failure time data , 2009 .

[13]  Hu Chang-hua Review of reliability analysis methods based on degradation modeling , 2009 .

[14]  Maarten-Jan Kallen,et al.  Optimal maintenance decisions under imperfect inspection , 2005, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..