Can we improve the representation of modeled ocean mixed layer by assimilating surface-only satellite-derived data? A case study for the tropical Pacific during the 1997-1998 El Nino

[1] In the tropical oceans the density mixed layer does influence the ocean-atmosphere interactions, a feature that is fundamental to the development of energetic climatic events such as the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon. The aim of this work is to take advantage of existing sea surface temperature (SST) and velocity together with future sea surface salinity (SSS) satellite-derived data by assimilating these data in a primitive equation model in order to improve the modeled mixed layer. As satellite SSS data are not yet available, and to better analyze how assimilation works, we performed twin experiments in a context that renders assimilation conclusive with regard to real experiment. Two simulations using different forcing were used for the experiments. They have errors that are comparable to the ones between any simulation and real observations. The assimilation scheme is an adaptive version of the SEEK filter [Pham et al., 1998] readily usable for assimilating real data. An assimilation experiment was conducted covering the 1997–1998 ENSO event to analyze the main characteristics of the actual mixed layer. Looking in particular at the relevance of SSS, SST, mixed layer depth, and barrier layer thickness, satellite-derived data prove to be useful to better simulate the oceanic mixed layer. Velocity data are specially needed to control the zonal equatorial current. Interestingly, assimilation of surface-only data still worked well below the mixed layer, and some improvements were detectable in terms of barrier layer thickness, even though the limit of the assimilation scheme was reached.

[1]  P. Delecluse,et al.  A modeling study of salinity variability and its effects in the tropical Pacific Ocean during the 1993–1999 period , 2002 .

[2]  T. Delcroix,et al.  Assimilation of sea surface salinity in a tropical Oceanic General Circulation Model (OGCM): A twin experiment approach , 2002 .

[3]  Janet Sprintall,et al.  Evidence of the barrier layer in the surface layer of the tropics , 1992 .

[4]  Peter Jan van Leeuwen,et al.  Balanced Ocean-Data Assimilation near the Equator , 2002 .

[5]  P. Gent,et al.  A model of the semiannual oscillation in the equatorial Indian Ocean , 1983 .

[6]  Jean-Michel Brankart,et al.  Assimilation of sea-surface temperature and altimetric observations during 1992–1993 into an eddy permitting primitive equation model of the North Atlantic Ocean , 2003 .

[7]  Lennart Bengtsson,et al.  Coupled general circulation modeling of the tropical Pacific , 1998 .

[8]  Jacques Verron,et al.  Assimilation of TOPEX/Poseidon altimetric data in a primitive equation model of the tropical Pacific Ocean during the 1992–1996 El Niño‐Southern Oscillation period , 2000 .

[9]  Thomas M. Smith,et al.  Improved Global Sea Surface Temperature Analyses Using Optimum Interpolation , 1994 .

[10]  P. Arkin,et al.  Precipitation and sea-surface salinity in the tropical Pacific Ocean , 1996 .

[11]  J. Picaut,et al.  An Advective-Reflective Conceptual Model for the Oscillatory Nature of the ENSO , 1997 .

[12]  M. Mcphaden,et al.  Variability of surface layer hydrography in the tropical Pacific Ocean , 1997 .

[13]  Phillip A. Arkin,et al.  Analyses of Global Monthly Precipitation Using Gauge Observations, Satellite Estimates, and Numerical Model Predictions , 1996 .

[14]  R. Reynolds,et al.  The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project , 1996, Renewable Energy.

[15]  S. Levitus,et al.  World Ocean Atlas 1994. Volume 5. Interannual variability of upper ocean thermal structure , 1994 .

[16]  A. E. Gill An Estimation of Sea-Level and Surface-Current Anomalies during the 1972 El Niño and Consequent Thermal Effects , 1983 .

[17]  Jacques Verron,et al.  A singular evolutive extended Kalman filter for data assimilation in oceanography , 1998 .

[18]  P. Richardson,et al.  Observations of the Mindanao Current during the western equatorial Pacific Ocean circulation study , 1991 .

[19]  P. Delecluse,et al.  Ocean response to the March 1997 Westerly Wind Event , 2001 .

[20]  R. Reynolds,et al.  Use of salinity to improve ocean modeling , 1998 .

[21]  M. Mcphaden,et al.  Interannual sea surface salinity and temperature changes in the western Pacific warm pool during 1992–2000 , 2002 .

[22]  Gary S. E. Lagerloef,et al.  Diagnostic Model and Analysis of the Surface Currents in the Tropical Pacific Ocean , 2002 .

[23]  J. Picaut,et al.  Equatorial wave sequence associated with warm pool displacements during the 1986-1989 El Niño-La Niña , 1995 .

[24]  Ichiro Fukumori,et al.  Assimilation of TOPEX/Poseidon altimeter data into a global ocean circulation model: How good are the results? , 1999 .

[25]  D. Behringer,et al.  Signatures of salinity variability in tropical Pacific Ocean dynamic height anomalies , 2002 .

[26]  P. Delecluse,et al.  An OGCM Study for the TOGA Decade. Part I: Role of Salinity in the Physics of the Western Pacific Fresh Pool , 1998 .

[27]  R. Seager,et al.  Ocean modeling for ENSO , 1998 .

[28]  Roger Lukas,et al.  The mixed layer of the western equatorial Pacific Ocean , 1991 .

[29]  P. Delecluse,et al.  OPA 8.1 Ocean General Circulation Model reference manual , 1998 .

[30]  Gurvan Madec,et al.  Salt conservation, free surface, and varying levels: A new formulation for ocean general circulation models , 2000 .

[31]  H. Diaz,et al.  Characteristics of the Response of Sea Surface Temperature in the Central Pacific Associated with Warm Episodes of the Southern Oscillation , 1986 .

[32]  Bruno Blanke,et al.  Variability of the Tropical Atlantic Ocean Simulated by a General Circulation Model with Two Different Mixed-Layer Physics , 1993 .

[33]  Pierre Brasseur,et al.  Assimilation of altimetric data in the mid-latitude oceans using the Singular Evolutive Extended Kalman filter with an eddy-resolving, primitive equation model , 1999 .

[34]  Nancy Nichols,et al.  Assimilation of data into an ocean model with systematic errors near the equator , 2004 .

[35]  M. Mcphaden,et al.  Genesis and evolution of the 1997-98 El Nino , 1999, Science.

[36]  J. Grelet,et al.  A merchant ship thermo-salinograph network in the Pacific Ocean , 1996 .

[37]  E. Guilyardi,et al.  A Model Study of Oceanic Mechanisms Affecting Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperature during the 1997–98 El Niño , 2001 .