A Causal Analysis of Defense Spending and Economic Growth

The purpose of this article is to investigate the causal relationship between economic growth and defense spending in fifty-five developing countries. Granger-causality tests are employed to analyze the presence and direction of causality between these two variables. Moreover, the study focuses upon the appropriate representation of the nature of nonstationarities apparent in these two economic time series across different countries. The results suggest that the relationship between defense spending and economic growth cannot be generalized across countries. The actual relationship may vary from one country to another due to the use of a different sample period, as well as differences in the socioeconomic structure and type of government in each country.

[1]  R. Porter,et al.  Benoit Revisited: , 1989 .

[2]  Robert F. Engle,et al.  Forecasting and testing in co-integrated systems , 1987 .

[3]  James H. Lebovic,et al.  Military Burden, Security Needs, and Economic Growth in the Middle East , 1987 .

[4]  C. Granger,et al.  Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation and testing , 1987 .

[5]  Saadet Deger,et al.  Economic Development and Defense Expenditure , 1986, Economic Development and Cultural Change.

[6]  W. McMillin FEDERAL DEFICITS, MACRO-STABILIZATION GOALS, AND FEDERAL RESERVE BEHAVIOR , 1986 .

[7]  Wayne H. Joerding Economic growth and defense spending: Granger Causality , 1986 .

[8]  Rati Ram,et al.  Military Expenditures and Economic Growth in Less Developed Countries: An Augmented Model and Further Evidence , 1986, Economic Development and Cultural Change.

[9]  Tadashi Yamada Causal Relationships between Infant Mortality and Fertility in Developed and Less Developed Countries , 1985 .

[10]  W. Jung,et al.  Exports, growth and causality in developing countries , 1985 .

[11]  N. Ball Defense Expenditures And Economic Growth , 1985 .

[12]  Riccardo Faini,et al.  Defense Spending, Economic Structure, and Growth: Evidence among Countries and over Time , 1984, Economic Development and Cultural Change.

[13]  Harvey Starr,et al.  The Relationship between Defense Spending and Inflation , 1984 .

[14]  Richard C. Eichenberg The expenditure and revenue effects of defense spending in the Federal Republic of Germany , 1984 .

[15]  Saadet Deger,et al.  Military expenditure, spin-off and economic development , 1983 .

[16]  R. Looney,et al.  Defense Expenditures and Economic Growth in Developing Countries , 1983 .

[17]  Ron Smith,et al.  Military Expenditure and Growth in Less Developed Countries , 1983 .

[18]  D. B. Preston Spectral Analysis and Time Series , 1983 .

[19]  Ronald Smith,et al.  Assessing the effect of military expenditure on OECD economies: A survey , 1983 .

[20]  Nicole Ball,et al.  Defense and Development: A Critique of the Benoit Study , 1983, Economic Development and Cultural Change.

[21]  John Geweke,et al.  Comparing alternative tests of causality in temporal systems: Analytic results and experimental evidence☆ , 1983 .

[22]  David Lim,et al.  Another Look at Growth and Defense in Less Developed Countries , 1983, Economic Development and Cultural Change.

[23]  B. Russett Defense Expenditures and National Well-being , 1982, American Political Science Review.

[24]  Rauhan ja konfliktintutkimuslaitos,et al.  Militarization and Arms Production , 1982 .

[25]  David K. Guilkey,et al.  Small Sample Properties of Three Tests for Granger-Causal Ordering in a Bivariate Stochastic System , 1982 .

[26]  Helmut Lütkepohl,et al.  Non-causality due to omitted variables , 1982 .

[27]  Wayne A. Fuller,et al.  Estimation for Autoregressive Processes with Unit Roots , 1979 .

[28]  W. Fuller,et al.  Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root , 1979 .

[29]  Emile Benoit,et al.  Growth and Defense in Developing Countries , 1978, Economic Development and Cultural Change.

[30]  David D. Dabelko,et al.  Opportunity Costs of Defense: Some Cross-National Evidence , 1977 .

[31]  Larry D. Haugh,et al.  Causality in temporal systems: Characterization and a survey , 1977 .

[32]  Arthur S. Goldberger,et al.  Structural Equation Models in the Social Sciences. , 1974 .

[33]  K. Rothschild Military Expenditure, Exports and Growth , 1973 .

[34]  H. Akaike Fitting autoregressive models for prediction , 1969 .

[35]  C. Granger Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods , 1969 .

[36]  I. Zurbenko The spectral analysis of time series , 1986 .

[37]  D. Thornton,et al.  Lag-Length Selection and Tests of Granger Causality between Money and Income , 1984 .

[38]  J. Yanagida,et al.  The Impossibility of Causality Testing , 1983 .

[39]  Cheng Hsiao,et al.  AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELLING AND MONEY-INCOME CAUSALITY DETECTION , 1981 .

[40]  David K. Whynes,et al.  The Economics of Third World Military Expenditure , 1979 .

[41]  Steve Chan,et al.  The impact of defense spending on economic performance: a survey of evidence and problems , 1977 .

[42]  G. Kennedy The military in the third world , 1974 .

[43]  C. Sims Money, Income, and Causality , 1972 .

[44]  Emile Benoit,et al.  Defense and economic growth in developing countries , 1971 .