Non-technical loss and power blackout detection under advanced metering infrastructure using a cooperative game based inference mechanism

To efficiently detect non-technical loss and power blackout in micro-distribution systems, this study proposes using a cooperative game (CG) based inference mechanism under the advanced metering infrastructure technique. Fractional-order Sprott system is designed to extract specific features between the profiled usages and the measurement usages in real time analysis. The fractional-order dynamic errors are positive correlated with the changes in load usages, including normal conditions, electricity fraudulent events, and power blackout events. Then, multiple agents in a game and multiple CG based inference mechanisms are used to locate abnormalities in micro-distribution systems. For energy management applications, the proposed inference mechanism can identify the 2.5–20% irregular usages during normal demand operations. In addition, it can also identify the large changes >20% in usages, while a micro-distribution system is disconnected to operate in the islanded mode within a few hours. This function can address an outage occurrence and then quickly resume service using the service restoration strategy and distributed generations in a local grid. Using a medium-scale micro-distribution system, computer simulations are conducted to show the effectiveness of the proposed inference model.

[1]  Patrick D. Larkey,et al.  Subjective Probability and the Theory of Games , 1982 .

[2]  Chao-Lin Kuo Design of an Adaptive Fuzzy Sliding-Mode Controller for Chaos Synchronization , 2007 .

[3]  Farrukh Nagi,et al.  Improving SVM-Based Nontechnical Loss Detection in Power Utility Using the Fuzzy Inference System , 2011, IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery.

[4]  J. B. Cruz,et al.  An Approach to Fuzzy Noncooperative Nash Games , 2003 .

[5]  Chao-Lin Kuo,et al.  Using Sprott Chaos Synchronization-Based Voltage Relays for Protection of Microdistribution Systems Against Faults , 2013, IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery.

[6]  M. Nowak Five Rules for the Evolution of Cooperation , 2006, Science.

[7]  A.H. Nizar,et al.  Power Utility Nontechnical Loss Analysis With Extreme Learning Machine Method , 2008, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[8]  Sajal K. Das,et al.  A key management framework for AMI networks in smart grid , 2012, IEEE Communications Magazine.

[9]  A. W. Tucker The Mathematics of Tucker: A Sampler , 1983 .

[10]  Renke Huang,et al.  Smart Grid Technologies for Autonomous Operation and Control , 2011, IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid.

[11]  I. Monedero,et al.  Variability and Trend-Based Generalized Rule Induction Model to NTL Detection in Power Companies , 2011, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[12]  Vincent W. S. Wong,et al.  Autonomous Demand-Side Management Based on Game-Theoretic Energy Consumption Scheduling for the Future Smart Grid , 2010, IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid.

[13]  Jianhui Wang,et al.  Smart Transmission Grid: Vision and Framework , 2010, IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid.

[14]  Sang-Yep Nam,et al.  A Novel Remote Detection Method of Illegal Electricity Usage Based on Smart Resistance , 2011 .

[15]  F. Gubina,et al.  Allocation of the load profiles to consumers using probabilistic neural networks , 2005, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[16]  Sieh Kiong Tiong,et al.  Nontechnical Loss Detection for Metered Customers in Power Utility Using Support Vector Machines , 2010, IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery.

[17]  Her-Terng Yau,et al.  Using Self-Synchronization Error Dynamics Formulation Based Controller for Maximum Photovoltaic Power Tracking in Micro-Grid Systems , 2013, IEEE Journal on Emerging and Selected Topics in Circuits and Systems.