Remote sensing for estimating agricultural land use change as the impact of climate change

Agricultural land use conversion is inevitable to meet the needs of growing population, together with climate change issue which has become global concern. This research aims at investigating the impact of climate change on agriculture by identifying land use conversion in part of Central Java, Indonesia, namely Tegal District. Research was carried out in August 2014 until March 2015.This is a survey research with explorative descriptive method, data processing using ENVI 4.5. and ArcGIS 10.1. The satellite image of Landsat was analyzed by determining and comparing the land use changes of the last 20 years, then the interview data with farmers was analyzed using logistic regression. The results showed that many lands converted into settlement, with increasing rate in 2003-2014 was almost twice than 1994-2003, while the reduce of irrigation rice field lands are lower in the period of 2003-2014 than 1994-2003. It is presumed that the factors encourage irrigation rice field land conversion are erratic rainfall, floods in the 1990s, and water lack in the 2000s. This paper discusses briefly about agricultural land use conversion as the impact of the past and current climate variability on farm land.

[1]  Zengxiang Zhang,et al.  Spatial patterns and driving forces of land use change in China during the early 21st century , 2010 .

[2]  Meghna Babbar-Sebens,et al.  Using climate change scenarios to evaluate future effectiveness of potential wetlands in mitigating high flows in a Midwestern U.S. watershed , 2016 .

[3]  Bhawana Singh,et al.  Impacts of climate change and CO2 increase on agricultural production and adaptation options for Southern Québec, Canada , 2008 .

[4]  To Quang Toan.  Climate Change and Sea Level Rise in the Mekong Delta: Flood, Tidal Inundation, Salinity Intrusion, and Irrigation Adaptation Methods , 2014 .

[5]  F. Achard,et al.  A Synthesis of Information on Rapid Land-cover Change for the Period 1981–2000 , 2005 .

[6]  A. Fischlin,et al.  Ecosystems, their properties, goods and services , 2007 .

[7]  Hans Juergen Boehmer,et al.  Analysis of land-use change in a sector of Upper Franconia (Bavaria, Germany) since 1850 using land register records , 2005, Landscape Ecology.

[8]  Yan-sui Liu,et al.  Climate warming and land use change in Heilongjiang Province, Northeast China , 2011 .

[9]  Zhenyao Shen,et al.  Runoff characteristics and nutrient loss mechanism from plain farmland under simulated rainfall conditions. , 2014, The Science of the total environment.

[10]  H. Kooi,et al.  Beneath the surface of global change: Impacts of climate change on groundwater , 2011 .

[11]  R. Reid,et al.  Land-use and land-cover dynamics in response to changes in climatic, biological and socio-political forces: the case of southwestern Ethiopia , 2000, Landscape Ecology.

[12]  T. Huntington.  Evidence for intensification of the global water cycle: Review and synthesis , 2006 .

[13]  Shuwen Zhang,et al.  Spatial patterns and driving forces of land use change in China during the early 21st century , 2010 .

[14]  R. Laprise,et al.  Dry spell characteristics over Canada in a changing climate as simulated by the Canadian RCM. , 2010 .

[15]  C. Field,et al.  Global scale climate–crop yield relationships and the impacts of recent warming , 2007, Environmental Research Letters.

[16]  E. Lambin,et al.  Dynamics of Land-Use and Land-Cover Change in Tropical Regions , 2003 .

[17]  Jacqueline de Chazal,et al.  Climate change 2007 : impacts, adaptation and vulnerability : Working Group II contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , 2014 .

[18]  M. Herold,et al.  A high-resolution and harmonized model approach for reconstructing and analysing historic land changes in Europe , 2012 .

[19]  Stefan Siebert,et al.  Spatio-temporal patterns of phenological development in Germany in relation to temperature and day length , 2012 .

[20]  N. Diffenbaugh,et al.  Observed changes in extreme wet and dry spells during the South Asian summer monsoon season , 2014 .

[21]  K. Abbaspour,et al.  Estimation of freshwater availability in the West African sub-continent using the SWAT hydrologic model , 2008 .

[22]  T. Downing,et al.  Multi-agent modelling of climate outlooks and food security on a community garden scheme in Limpopo, South Africa , 2005, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[23]  D. Lobell,et al.  A meta-analysis of crop yield under climate change and adaptation , 2014 .

[24]  J. Benhin,et al.  South African crop farming and climate change: An economic assessment of impacts , 2008 .

[25]  Mette Termansen,et al.  Underlying and proximate driving causes of land use change in district Swat, Pakistan , 2013 .

[26]  J. Lukes,et al.  Impact of global warming on performance of ground source heat pumps in US climate zones , 2015 .

[27]  Virginia H. Dale,et al.  THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN LAND‐USE CHANGE AND CLIMATE CHANGE , 1997 .

[28]  Russell G. Congalton,et al.  Assessing the accuracy of remotely sensed data : principles and practices , 1998 .

[29]  John Barnett,et al.  Impacts of School Organizational Restructuring Into a Collaborative Setting on the Nature of Emerging Forms of Collegiality , 2009 .

[30]  Sandeep Kumar,et al.  Estimating the effects of potential climate and land use changes on hydrologic processes of a large agriculture dominated watershed , 2015 .