Confidence intervals for the long memory parameter based on wavelets and resampling

We study the problem of constructing confidence intervals for the long- memory parameter of stationary Gaussian processes with long-range dependence. The focus is on confidence intervals for the wavelet estimator introduced by Abry and Veitch(1998). We propose an approximation to the distribution of the estimator based on subsampling and use it to construct confidence intervals for the long- memory parameter. The performance of these confidence intervals, in terms of both coverage probability and length, is studied by using a Monte Carlo simulation. The proposed confidence intervals have more accurate coverage probability than the method of Veitch and Abry (1999), and are easy to compute in practice.

[1]  A. Philippe,et al.  Generators of long-range dependent processes: A survey , 2003 .

[2]  Patrice Abry,et al.  Wavelet Analysis of Long-Range-Dependent Traffic , 1998, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory.

[3]  Walter Willinger,et al.  Self-Similar Network Traffic and Performance Evaluation , 2000 .

[4]  P. Craigmile Simulating a class of stationary Gaussian processes using the Davies–Harte algorithm, with application to long memory processes , 2003 .

[5]  M. Taqqu,et al.  ON THE AUTOMATIC SELECTION OF THE ONSET OF SCALING , 2003 .

[6]  A.H. Tewfik,et al.  Correlation structure of the discrete wavelet coefficients of fractional Brownian motion , 1992, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory.

[7]  I. A. Ibragimov,et al.  Gaussian Random Processes. Part 2 , 1977 .

[8]  D. Applebaum Stable non-Gaussian random processes , 1995, The Mathematical Gazette.

[9]  R. Serfling Approximation Theorems of Mathematical Statistics , 1980 .

[10]  I. Daubechies Ten Lectures on Wavelets , 1992 .

[11]  S. N. Lahiri Scope of Resampling Methods for Dependent Data , 2003 .

[12]  Jean-Marc Bardet,et al.  Wavelet Estimator of Long-Range Dependent Processes , 2000 .

[13]  Patrice Abry,et al.  A Wavelet-Based Joint Estimator of the Parameters of Long-Range Dependence , 1999, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory.

[14]  Bing-Yi Jing,et al.  On the sampling window method for long-range dependent data , 1998 .

[15]  Patrick Flandrin,et al.  Wavelet analysis and synthesis of fractional Brownian motion , 1992, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory.

[16]  R. Davies,et al.  Tests for Hurst effect , 1987 .

[17]  Patrice Abry,et al.  Meaningful MRA initialization for discrete time series , 2000, Signal Process..

[18]  Jan Beran,et al.  Statistics for long-memory processes , 1994 .

[19]  Elias Masry,et al.  The wavelet transform of stochastic processes with stationary increments and its application to fractional Brownian motion , 1993, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory.