Economic Models as Analogies

People often wonder why economists analyse models whose assumptions are known to be false, while economists feel that they learn a lot from such exercises. We suggest that part of the knowledge generated by academic economists is case-based rather than rule-based. That is, instead of offering general rules or theories that should be contrasted with data, economists often analyse models that are "theoretical cases", which help understand economic problems by drawing analogies between the model and the problem. Thus, economic models, empirical data, experimental results and other sources of knowledge are all on equal footing, that is, they all provide cases to which a given problem can be compared. We offer complexity arguments that explain why case-based reasoning may sometimes be the method of choice and why economists prefer simple cases.

[1]  M. Friedman,et al.  The Methodology of Positive Economics , 2010 .

[2]  David Hume Philosophical essays concerning human understanding , 1986 .

[3]  E. F. Beach,et al.  Economic Models , 1957 .

[4]  Christopher K. Riesbeck,et al.  Inside Case-Based Reasoning , 1989 .

[5]  M. Spence Job Market Signaling , 1973 .

[6]  Kareen Rozen,et al.  Foundations of Intrinsic Habit Formation , 2008 .

[7]  Itzhak Gilboa,et al.  Rhetoric and Analogies , 2013 .

[8]  Bernard W. Silverman,et al.  Density Estimation for Statistics and Data Analysis , 1987 .

[9]  J. Bennett,et al.  Enquiry Concerning Human Understanding , 2010 .

[10]  Robert Sugden,et al.  Credible worlds: the status of theoretical models in economics , 2000 .

[11]  Till Grüne-Yanoff Preface to ‘Economic Models as Credible Worlds or as Isolating Tools?’ , 2009 .

[12]  Uskali Mäki,et al.  MISSing the World. Models as Isolations and Credible Surrogate Systems , 2009 .

[13]  Itzhak Gilboa,et al.  Analogies and theories: The role of simplicity and the emergence of norms , 2014, Games Econ. Behav..

[14]  A. Tversky Features of Similarity , 1977 .

[15]  Till Grüne-Yanoff,et al.  The roles of stories in applying game theory , 2008 .

[16]  J. Stiglitz The market for 'lemons': quality uncertainty and the market mechanism , 2002 .

[17]  Itzhak Gilboa,et al.  A theory of case-based decisions , 2001 .

[18]  W. Güth,et al.  An experimental analysis of ultimatum bargaining , 1982 .

[19]  Tomasz Strzalecki,et al.  Axiomatic Foundations of Multiplier Preferences , 2009 .

[20]  A. Rustichini,et al.  Ambiguity Aversion, Robustness, and the Variational Representation of Preferences , 2006 .

[21]  D. Mccloskey The Rhetoric of Economics , 1988 .

[22]  Richard K. Crump,et al.  Nonparametric Tests for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity , 2006, The Review of Economics and Statistics.

[23]  S. Zamir,et al.  Formulation of Bayesian analysis for games with incomplete information , 1985 .

[24]  Nancy Cartwright Models: Parables v Fables , 2010 .

[25]  Itzhak Gilboa,et al.  Empirical Similarity , 2004, The Review of Economics and Statistics.

[26]  H. Akaike An approximation to the density function , 1954 .

[27]  J. L. Hodges,et al.  Discriminatory Analysis - Nonparametric Discrimination: Consistency Properties , 1989 .

[28]  R. Sugden Explanations in search of observations , 2011 .

[29]  Stanley L. Brue The Evolution of Economic Thought , 1988 .

[30]  Eddie Dekel,et al.  How (Not) to Do Decision Theory , 2010 .

[31]  Jesús Pedro Zamora Bonilla,et al.  Credibility, Idealisation, and Model Building: An Inferential Approach , 2009 .

[32]  F. Gerard Adams,et al.  Economic Models , 1973, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern..

[33]  J. L. Hodges,et al.  Discriminatory Analysis - Nonparametric Discrimination: Small Sample Performance , 1952 .

[34]  D. Hubin,et al.  THE JOURNAL OF PHILOSOPHY , 2004 .

[35]  A. Zahavi Mate selection-a selection for a handicap. , 1975, Journal of theoretical biology.

[36]  Uskali Mäki The Methodology of Positive Economics , 2009 .

[37]  John B. Davis,et al.  The Handbook of Economic Methodology , 1998 .

[38]  Roger C. Schank,et al.  Explanation Patterns: Understanding Mechanically and Creatively , 1986 .

[39]  Nancy Cartwright,et al.  If No Capacities Then No Credible Worlds. But Can Models Reveal Capacities? , 2009 .

[40]  Uskali Mäki,et al.  Isolation, idealization and truth in economics , 1994 .

[41]  T. Sargent,et al.  Robust Control and Model Uncertainty , 2001 .

[42]  H. Hotelling Stability in Competition , 1929 .

[43]  Robert Sugden,et al.  Credible Worlds, Capacities and Mechanisms , 2009 .

[44]  T. Knuuttila Isolating Representations Versus Credible Constructions? Economic Modelling in Theory and Practice , 2009 .

[45]  Jaakko Kuorikoski,et al.  Incredible Worlds, Credible Results , 2009 .

[46]  Marion Vorms,et al.  Book review: R. Frigg & M. C. Hunter, eds. 2010. Beyond Mimesis and Convention: Representation in art and science. Dordrecht: Springer. , 2012 .

[47]  Uskali Mäki,et al.  Models are experiments, experiments are models , 2005 .

[48]  Ariel Rubinstein,et al.  Dilemmas of an Economic Theorist , 2006 .

[49]  B. Walliser Comment raisonnent les économistes: les fonctions des modèles , 2011 .

[50]  Till Grüne-Yanoff,et al.  Learning from Minimal Economic Models , 2009 .

[51]  Daniel M. Hausman,et al.  The Inexact and Separate Science of Economics , 1993 .