Experiences of sheltering during the Black Saturday bushfires: Implications for policy and research

Abstract More than half of those who died in the 2009 Black Saturday bushfires in Victoria, Australia, were sheltering inside a house at the time of their death. This marks a shift in bushfire fatality trends, which previously saw most fatalities occurring outside while residents attempted to protect assets or evacuate. This paper presents findings from research that examined people's experiences of sheltering in and exiting houses, sheds, personal shelters and other structures on Black Saturday. Qualitative data were sourced from 315 semi-structured interviews with residents affected by the bushfires and 50 witness statements presented to the Victorian Bushfires Royal Commission. Results indicate that despite limited planning and preparation specifically for sheltering on Black Saturday, many residents protected themselves from fire by sheltering inside houses, other structures and in open spaces. Most sheltered actively, engaging in regular monitoring and action to protect the shelter and occupants. However, some found sheltering challenging due to heat, smoke and responsibilities for children, vulnerable household members and the incapacitated. Misconceptions persist about the safety offered by houses and, in particular, bathrooms during bushfires. Education and advice should emphasise the need to plan and prepare for active sheltering, regardless of whether people intend to stay and defend or leave. The paper offers recommendations to promote planning and preparedness for active sheltering and identifies areas for further research.

[1]  J. Handmer,et al.  Community safety during the 2009 Australian 'Black Saturday' bushfires : an analysis of household preparedness and response , 2013 .

[2]  Thomas J. Cova,et al.  Mapping wildfire evacuation vulnerability in the western US: the limits of infrastructure , 2013 .

[3]  Susan Pascoe,et al.  The 2009 Victorian Bushfires Royal Commission final report , 2010 .

[4]  John Handmer,et al.  Is staying at home the safest option during bushfires? Historical evidence for an Australian approach , 2005 .

[5]  S. O'Neill,et al.  Examining bushfire policy in action: Preparedness and behaviour in the 2009 Black Saturday fires , 2016 .

[6]  Matthew S. Carroll,et al.  Evacuation behavior during wildfires: Results of three case studies , 2006 .

[7]  John Handmer,et al.  Australian bushfire fatalities 1900–2008: exploring trends in relation to the ‘Prepare, stay and defend or leave early’ policy , 2010 .

[8]  Sarah McCaffrey,et al.  Wildfire evacuation and its alternatives: perspectives from four United States’ communities , 2014 .

[9]  Pamela J. Jakes,et al.  Alternatives to Evacuation— Protecting Public Safety during Wildland Fire , 2008 .

[10]  Jim McLennan,et al.  At-risk householders' responses to potential and actual bushfire threat: an analysis of findings from seven Australian post-bushfire interview studies 2009-2014 , 2015 .

[11]  Christine Eriksen,et al.  Gendered Responses to the 2009 Black Saturday Bushfires in Victoria, Australia , 2016 .

[12]  Amalie Tibbits,et al.  Stay and defend or leave early: Policy problems and experiences during the 2003 Victorian bushfires , 2007 .

[13]  John Handmer,et al.  Property safety: judging structural safety. , 2008 .

[14]  Faith R. Kearns,et al.  Urban–wildland fires: how California and other regions of the US can learn from Australia , 2009 .

[15]  B. Towers Children's knowledge of bushfire emergency response , 2015 .

[16]  Ian Ferguson,et al.  Fight or flee?—A case study of the Mount Macedon bushfire , 1984 .

[17]  Kimberley Opie,et al.  Environmental circumstances surrounding bushfire fatalities in Australia 1901–2011 , 2014 .

[18]  Bushfire Crc Review of fatalities in the February 7, 2009, bushfires. , 2010 .

[19]  T. Prato,et al.  Understanding evacuation preferences and wildfire mitigations among Northwest Montana residents , 2014 .

[20]  Justin Leonard,et al.  A history of research into building performance in Australian bushfires , 1999 .

[21]  Pia Bagnaschi,et al.  [How much does it cost?]. , 2015, Krankenpflege. Soins infirmiers.

[22]  T. Skinner,et al.  A value- and expectancy-based approach to understanding residents’ intended response to a wildfire threat , 2016 .

[23]  Frank A. Drews,et al.  Protective Actions in Wildfires: Evacuate or Shelter-in-Place? , 2009 .

[24]  N. A. Mcarthur,et al.  Preliminary Results from an Examination of House Survival in the 16 February 1983 Bushfires in Australia , 1987 .

[25]  Peter Hughes,et al.  Battling Ferocious Flames: Bushfires in the Media , 2006 .

[26]  Pamela J. Jakes,et al.  Alternatives to evacuation during wildland fire: Exploring adaptive capacity in one Idaho community , 2010 .

[27]  Pamela J. Jakes,et al.  Adoption and perceptions of shelter-in-place in California's Rancho Santa Fe Fire Protection District , 2010 .

[28]  Ross A. Bradstock,et al.  How much does it cost residents to prepare their property for wildfire , 2016 .

[29]  J. McLennan,et al.  Householder decision-making under imminent wildfire threat: stay and defend or leave? , 2012 .

[30]  Kristi Jackson,et al.  Qualitative Data Analysis with NVivo , 2007 .

[31]  M. Sandelowski Real qualitative researchers do not count: the use of numbers in qualitative research. , 2001, Research in nursing & health.

[32]  B. Towers Children's knowledge of vulnerability and resilience to bushfires , 2012 .

[33]  Joshua Whittaker,et al.  Householders' safety-related decisions, plans, actions and outcomes during the 7 February 2009 Victorian (Australia) wildfires , 2013 .

[34]  Ilona M. McNeill,et al.  Predicting delay in residents' decisions on defending v. evacuating through antecedents of decision avoidance , 2015 .

[35]  Christine Eriksen Gender and Wildfire: Landscapes of Uncertainty , 2013 .

[36]  Ross A. Bradstock,et al.  Defining adequate means of residents to prepare property for protection from wildfire , 2013 .

[37]  J. Handmer,et al.  Community Bushfire Safety: A Review of Post-black Saturday Research , 2010 .

[38]  Catherine C. Marshall,et al.  Designing Qualitative Research , 1996 .

[39]  David R. Thomas,et al.  A General Inductive Approach for Analyzing Qualitative Evaluation Data , 2006 .