Baseload electricity and hydrogen supply based on hybrid PV-wind power plants

Abstract The reliable supplies of electricity and hydrogen required for 100% renewable energy systems have been found to be achievable by utilisation of a mix of different resources and storage technologies. In this paper, more demanding parameter conditions than hitherto considered are used in measurement of the reliability of variable renewable energy resources. The defined conditions require that supply of baseload electricity (BLEL) and baseload hydrogen (BLH2) occurs solely using cost-optimised configurations of variable photovoltaic solar power, onshore wind energy and balancing technologies. The global scenario modelling is based on hourly weather data in a 0.45° × 0.45° spatial resolution. Simulations are conducted for Onsite and Coastal Scenarios from 2020 to 2050 in 10-year time-steps. The results show that for 7% weighted average cost of capital, Onsite BLEL can be generated at less than 119, 54, 41 and 33 €/MWhel in 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050, respectively, across the best sites with a maximum 20,000 TWh annual cumulative generation potential. Up to 20,000 TWhH2,HHV Onsite BLH2 can be produced at less than 66, 48, 40 and 35 €/MWhH2,HHV, in 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050, respectively. A partially flexible electricity demand at 8000 FLh, could significantly reduce the costs of electricity supply in the studied scenario. Along with battery storage, power-to-hydrogen-to-power is found to have a major role in supply of BLEL beyond 2030 as both a daily and seasonal balancing solution. Batteries are not expected to have a significant role in the provision of electricity to water electrolysers.

[1]  Christian Breyer,et al.  Curtailment-storage-penetration nexus in the energy transition , 2019, Applied Energy.

[2]  A. Özarslan Large-scale hydrogen energy storage in salt caverns , 2012 .

[3]  Filip Johnsson,et al.  Tailoring large-scale electricity production from variable renewable energy sources to accommodate baseload generation in europe , 2018, Renewable Energy.

[4]  Christian Breyer,et al.  A comparative analysis of electricity generation costs from renewable, fossil fuel and nuclear sources in G20 countries for the period 2015-2030 , 2018, Journal of Cleaner Production.

[5]  Mark Bolinger Utility-Scale Solar 2012: An Empirical Analysis of Project Cost, Performance, and Pricing Trends in the United States , 2014 .

[6]  Christian Breyer,et al.  Can Australia Power the Energy-Hungry Asia with Renewable Energy? , 2017 .

[7]  Christian Breyer,et al.  Radical transformation pathway towards sustainable electricity via evolutionary steps , 2019, Nature Communications.

[8]  Robert Pitz-Paal Concentrating Solar Power Systems , 2017 .

[9]  C. Breyer,et al.  Status and perspectives on 100% renewable energy systems , 2019, Energy.

[10]  Lena Neij,et al.  Cost development of future technologies for power generation--A study based on experience curves and complementary bottom-up assessments , 2008 .

[11]  Daniel Stetter,et al.  Enhancement of the REMix energy system model : global renewable energy potentials, optimized power plant siting and scenario validation , 2014 .

[12]  D. Stolten,et al.  Techno-economic analysis of a potential energy trading link between Patagonia and Japan based on CO2 free hydrogen , 2019, International Journal of Hydrogen Energy.

[13]  Jesse D. Jenkins,et al.  The Role of Firm Low-Carbon Electricity Resources in Deep Decarbonization of Power Generation , 2018, Joule.

[14]  A. Bardow,et al.  Nitrogen‐Based Fuels: A Power‐to‐Fuel‐to‐Power Analysis , 2016, Angewandte Chemie.

[15]  Christian Breyer,et al.  PV and Wind Power – Complementary Technologies , 2011 .

[16]  W. Short,et al.  A manual for the economic evaluation of energy efficiency and renewable energy technologies , 1995 .

[17]  Calin-Cristian Cormos,et al.  Techno-economic assessment of hydrogen production processes based on various natural gas chemical looping systems with carbon capture , 2019, Energy.

[18]  W. David,et al.  Ammonia as a Power , 1891, Hall's journal of health.

[19]  Jay Squalli,et al.  Renewable energy, coal as a baseload power source, and greenhouse gas emissions: Evidence from U.S. state-level data , 2017 .

[21]  André Faaij,et al.  A review at the role of storage in energy systems with a focus on Power to Gas and long-term storage , 2018 .

[22]  Christian Breyer,et al.  On the Techno-economic Benefits of a Global Energy Interconnection , 2020 .

[23]  B. Dunn,et al.  Electrical Energy Storage for the Grid: A Battery of Choices , 2011, Science.

[24]  Thomas Pregger,et al.  Hydrogen generation by electrolysis and storage in salt caverns: Potentials, economics and systems aspects with regard to the German energy transition , 2017 .

[25]  Christian Breyer,et al.  Analysing the feasibility of powering the Americas with renewable energy and inter-regional grid interconnections by 2030 , 2019, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews.

[26]  C. Breyer,et al.  Carbon dioxide direct air capture for effective climate change mitigation based on renewable electricity: a new type of energy system sector coupling , 2019, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change.

[27]  Sandra Ó. Snæbjörnsdóttir,et al.  Rapid CO2 mineralisation into calcite at the CarbFix storage site quantified using calcium isotopes , 2019, Nature Communications.

[28]  Aie World Energy Outlook 2009 , 2000 .

[29]  C. Breyer,et al.  Relevance of PV with single-axis tracking for energy scenarios , 2018, Solar Energy.

[30]  Hannele Holttinen,et al.  Inter-sectoral effects of high renewable energy share in global energy system , 2019, Renewable Energy.

[31]  Christian Breyer,et al.  North-East Asian Super Grid for 100% renewable energy supply: Optimal mix of energy technologies for electricity, gas and heat supply options , 2016 .

[32]  Judith Gurney BP Statistical Review of World Energy , 1985 .

[33]  M. A. Cameron,et al.  Matching demand with supply at low cost in 139 countries among 20 world regions with 100% intermittent wind, water, and sunlight (WWS) for all purposes , 2018, Renewable Energy.

[34]  Christian Breyer,et al.  Local cost of seawater RO desalination based on solar PV and wind energy: A global estimate , 2016 .

[35]  S. V. Grigoriev,et al.  Chapter 2 – Water Electrolysis Technologies , 2013 .

[36]  Detlef Stolten,et al.  Power-to-Steel: Reducing CO2 through the Integration of Renewable Energy and Hydrogen into the German Steel Industry , 2017 .

[37]  Stefan Pfenninger,et al.  Comparing concentrating solar and nuclear power as baseload providers using the example of South Africa , 2015 .

[38]  Christian Breyer,et al.  Long-Term Hydrocarbon Trade Options for the Maghreb Region and Europe—Renewable Energy Based Synthetic Fuels for a Net Zero Emissions World , 2017 .

[39]  Christian Breyer,et al.  The role of storage technologies in energy transition pathways towards achieving a fully sustainable energy system for India , 2017, Journal of Energy Storage.

[40]  K. Blok,et al.  Response to ‘Burden of proof: A comprehensive review of the feasibility of 100% renewable-electricity systems’ , 2017, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews.

[41]  C. Breyer,et al.  Sustainability guardrails for energy scenarios of the global energy transition , 2018, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews.

[42]  Mohammad Jafari Jozani,et al.  A statistical algorithm for predicting the energy storage capacity for baseload wind power generation in the future electric grids , 2015 .

[43]  Cristina L. Archer,et al.  Baseload electricity from wind via compressed air energy storage (CAES) , 2012 .

[44]  Ayobami Solomon Oyewo,et al.  Solar photovoltaics demand for the global energy transition in the power sector , 2018 .

[45]  Christian Breyer,et al.  The role that battery and water storage play in Saudi Arabia’s transition to an integrated 100% renewable energy power system , 2018, Journal of Energy Storage.

[46]  Christian Breyer,et al.  Techno-economic assessment of CO2 direct air capture plants , 2019, Journal of Cleaner Production.

[47]  Christian Breyer,et al.  Learning Curve for Seawater Reverse Osmosis Desalination Plants: Capital Cost Trend of the Past, Present, and Future , 2017 .

[48]  A. Chambers,et al.  World Energy Outlook 2008 , 2008 .

[49]  E. Dunlop,et al.  Geographical variation of the conversion efficiency of crystalline silicon photovoltaic modules in Europe , 2008 .

[50]  J. Kiviluoma,et al.  Bioenergy's role in balancing the electricity grid and providing storage options - an EU perspective , 2017 .

[51]  Christian Breyer,et al.  New consciousness: A societal and energetic vision for rebalancing humankind within the limits of planet Earth , 2017 .

[52]  Unfccc Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change , 1997 .

[53]  M. Thring World Energy Outlook , 1977 .

[54]  Christian Breyer,et al.  PV and Wind Power – Complementary Technologies , 2011 .

[55]  Magnús Þór Arnarson,et al.  The rapid and cost-effective capture and subsurface mineral storage of carbon and sulfur at the CarbFix2 site , 2018, International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control.

[56]  Petra Winzer,et al.  Techno-economic evaluation of innovative steel production technologies , 2014 .

[57]  O. Edenhofer Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation , 2011 .

[58]  Darko Goricanec,et al.  Comparison between two methods of methanol production from carbon dioxide , 2014 .

[59]  Christian Breyer,et al.  Structural changes of global power generation capacity towards sustainability and the risk of stranded investments supported by a sustainability indicator , 2017 .

[60]  Tobias S. Schmidt,et al.  A dynamic analysis of financing conditions for renewable energy technologies , 2018, Nature Energy.