Dissecting Performances of PERSIANN-CDR Precipitation Product over Huai River Basin, China

Satellite-based precipitation products, especially those with high temporal and spatial resolution, constitute a potential alternative to sparse rain gauge networks for multidisciplinary research and applications. In this study, the validation of the 30-year Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks-Climate Data Record (PERSIANN-CDR) daily precipitation dataset was conducted over the Huai River Basin (HRB) of China. Based on daily precipitation data from 182 rain gauges, several continuous and categorical validation statistics combined with bias and error decomposition techniques were employed to quantitatively dissect the PERSIANN-CDR performance on daily, monthly, and annual scales. With and without consideration of non-rainfall data, this product reproduces adequate climatologic precipitation characteristics in the HRB, such as intra-annual cycles and spatial distributions. Bias analyses show that PERSIANN-CDR overestimates daily, monthly, and annual precipitation with a regional mean percent total bias of 11%. This is related closely to the larger positive false bias on the daily scale, while the negative non-false bias comes from a large underestimation of high percentile data despite overestimating lower percentile data. The systematic sub-component (error from high precipitation), which is independent of timescale, mainly leads to the PERSIANN-CDR total Mean-Square-Error (TMSE). Moreover, the daily TMSE is attributed to non-false error. The correlation coefficient (R) and Kling–Gupta Efficiency (KGE) respectively suggest that this product can well capture the temporal variability of precipitation and has a moderate-to-high overall performance skill in reproducing precipitation. The corresponding capabilities increase from the daily to annual scale, but decrease with the specified precipitation thresholds. Overall, the PERSIANN-CDR product has good (poor) performance in detecting daily low (high) rainfall events on the basis of Probability of Detection, and it has a False Alarm Ratio of above 50% for each precipitation threshold. The Equitable Threat Score and Heidke Skill Score both suggest that PERSIANN-CDR has a certain ability to detect precipitation between the second and eighth percentiles. According to the Hanssen–Kuipers Discriminant, this product can generally discriminate rainfall events between two thresholds. The Frequency Bias Index indicates an overestimation (underestimation) of precipitation totals in thresholds below (above) the seventh percentile. Also, continuous and categorical statistics for each month show evident intra-annual fluctuations. In brief, the comprehensive dissection of PERSIANN-CDR performance reported herein facilitates a valuable reference for decision-makers seeking to mitigate the adverse impacts of water deficit in the HRB and algorithm improvements in this product.

[1]  S. Sorooshian,et al.  PERSIANN-CDR: Daily Precipitation Climate Data Record from Multisatellite Observations for Hydrological and Climate Studies , 2015 .

[2]  Xungang Yin,et al.  Comparison of the GPCP and CMAP Merged Gauge-Satellite Monthly Precipitation Products for the Period 1979-2001 , 2004 .

[3]  F. Pappenberger,et al.  Global-scale evaluation of 22 precipitation datasets using gauge observations and hydrological modeling , 2017 .

[4]  Kenneth R. Knapp,et al.  Scientific data stewardship of international satellite cloud climatology project B1 global geostationary observations , 2008 .

[5]  Sean Wilkinson,et al.  Influence of temporal data aggregation on trend estimation for intense rainfall , 2018, Advances in Water Resources.

[6]  A. Ihler,et al.  A Deep Neural Network Modeling Framework to Reduce Bias in Satellite Precipitation Products , 2016 .

[7]  V. Levizzani,et al.  Status of satellite precipitation retrievals , 2009 .

[8]  S. Sorooshian,et al.  Evaluation of the PERSIANN-CDR Daily Rainfall Estimates in Capturing the Behavior of Extreme Precipitation Events over China , 2014 .

[9]  Tie Liu,et al.  Evaluation of PERSIANN-CDR for Meteorological Drought Monitoring over China , 2016, Remote. Sens..

[10]  Jennifer C. Adam,et al.  Adjustment of global gridded precipitation for systematic bias , 2003 .

[11]  Chris Kidd,et al.  The 183-WSL fast rain rate retrieval algorithm. Part II: Validation using ground radar measurements , 2013 .

[12]  Dong-Jun Seo,et al.  The WSR-88D rainfall algorithm , 1998 .

[13]  Sean Wilkinson,et al.  Effect of temporal aggregation on the estimate of annual maximum rainfall depths for the design of hydraulic infrastructure systems , 2017 .

[14]  P. Jones,et al.  Global warming and changes in drought , 2014 .

[15]  Robinson I. Negrón Juárez,et al.  Comparison of Precipitation Datasets over the Tropical South American and African Continents , 2009 .

[16]  Daqing Yang,et al.  A Bias-Corrected Siberian Regional Precipitation Climatology , 2001 .

[17]  Witold F. Krajewski,et al.  Numerical simulation studies of rain gage data correction due to wind effect , 1999 .

[18]  Mark A. Bourassa,et al.  Globally Gridded Satellite Observations for Climate Studies , 2011 .

[19]  Lee Chapman,et al.  Communicating the value of atmospheric services , 2010 .

[20]  Xi Li,et al.  Evaluation of IMERG and TRMM 3B43 Monthly Precipitation Products over Mainland China , 2016, Remote. Sens..

[21]  Thomas R. Karl,et al.  Overcoming biases of precipitation measurement : a history of the USSR experience , 1991 .

[22]  Larry C. Brown,et al.  Assessment of measurement errors and dynamic calibration methods for three different tipping bucket rain gauges , 2016 .

[23]  R. Moore,et al.  Accuracy of rainfall measurement for scales of hydrological interest , 2000 .

[24]  R. Scofield,et al.  Status and Outlook of Operational Satellite Precipitation Algorithms for Extreme-Precipitation Events , 2003 .

[25]  Ross Woods,et al.  Recent changes in extreme floods across multiple continents , 2017 .

[26]  Kuolin Hsu,et al.  Assessing the Efficacy of High-Resolution Satellite-Based PERSIANN-CDR Precipitation Product in Simulating Streamflow , 2016 .

[27]  F. Wentz,et al.  How Much More Rain Will Global Warming Bring? , 2007, Science.

[28]  K. Yilmaz,et al.  Evaluation of Multiple Satellite-Based Precipitation Products over Complex Topography , 2014 .

[29]  Yandy G. Mayor,et al.  Evaluation of Error in IMERG Precipitation Estimates under Different Topographic Conditions and Temporal Scales over Mexico , 2017, Remote. Sens..

[30]  Y. Hong,et al.  Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Imagery Using an Artificial Neural Network Cloud Classification System , 2004 .

[31]  Dick Dee,et al.  Low‐frequency variations in surface atmospheric humidity, temperature, and precipitation: Inferences from reanalyses and monthly gridded observational data sets , 2010 .

[32]  Kenneth R. Knapp,et al.  Calibration Assessment of ISCCP Geostationary Infrared Observations Using HIRS , 2008 .

[33]  G. Visconti,et al.  A Neural Network Approach to Real-Time Rainfall Estimation for Africa Using Satellite Data , 2003 .

[34]  Pingping Xie,et al.  A conceptual model for constructing high‐resolution gauge‐satellite merged precipitation analyses , 2011 .

[35]  R. Moore,et al.  Rainfall and sampling uncertainties: A rain gauge perspective , 2008 .

[36]  Catherine Prigent,et al.  Precipitation retrieval from space: An overview , 2010 .

[37]  P. Xie,et al.  The Global Precipitation Climatology Project: First Algorithm Intercomparison Project , 1994 .

[38]  G. Ren,et al.  Evaluation of gridded precipitation data in the Hindu Kush–Karakoram–Himalaya mountainous area , 2017 .

[39]  Yan Shen,et al.  Development of China homogenized monthly precipitation dataset during 1900–2009 , 2012, Journal of Geographical Sciences.

[40]  Emad Habib,et al.  Validation of NEXRAD multisensor precipitation estimates using an experimental dense rain gauge network in south Louisiana. , 2009 .

[41]  Hoshin Vijai Gupta,et al.  Decomposition of the mean squared error and NSE performance criteria: Implications for improving hydrological modelling , 2009 .

[42]  Nai-Yu Wang,et al.  Combining Satellite Infrared and Lightning Information to Estimate Warm‐Season Convective and Stratiform Rainfall , 2014 .

[43]  Matthias Steiner,et al.  Challenges in obtaining reliable measurements of point rainfall , 2007 .

[44]  Christian D. Kummerow,et al.  Improving the Quality of Heavy Precipitation Estimates from Satellite Passive Microwave Rainfall Retrievals , 2018 .

[45]  Boris Sevruk,et al.  Estimation of Wind-Induced Error of Rainfall Gauge Measurements Using a Numerical Simulation , 1999 .

[46]  Witold F. Krajewski,et al.  Evaluation of the research version TMPA three‐hourly 0.25° × 0.25° rainfall estimates over Oklahoma , 2007 .

[47]  Witold F. Krajewski,et al.  Effect of Temporal Sampling on Inferred Rainfall Spatial Statistics , 2005 .

[48]  Efi Foufoula-Georgiou,et al.  Scale issues in verification of precipitation forecasts , 2001 .

[49]  Faisal Hossain,et al.  A first approach to global runoff simulation using satellite rainfall estimation , 2007 .

[50]  Eric F. Wood,et al.  Assessing the skill of satellite‐based precipitation estimates in hydrologic applications , 2010 .

[51]  Gavin R. Essenberg,et al.  Comparative rainfall observations from pit and aboveground rain gauges with and without wind shields , 2001 .

[52]  Yang Hong,et al.  Evaluation of TRMM Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) and Its Utility in Hydrologic Prediction in the La Plata Basin , 2008 .

[53]  A. Gruber,et al.  Results from the GPCP Algorithm Intercomparison Programme , 1996 .

[54]  C. Reason,et al.  The Role of Mesoscale Convective Complexes in Southern Africa Summer Rainfall , 2013 .

[55]  Grzegorz J. Ciach,et al.  Local Random Errors in Tipping-Bucket Rain Gauge Measurements , 2003 .

[56]  Jian Zhang,et al.  Weather Radar Coverage over the Contiguous United States , 2002 .

[57]  Peng Bai,et al.  Evaluation of Five Satellite-Based Precipitation Products in Two Gauge-Scarce Basins on the Tibetan Plateau , 2018, Remote. Sens..

[58]  W. Ju,et al.  On the coupling between precipitation and potential evapotranspiration: contributions to decadal drought anomalies in the Southwest China , 2017, Climate Dynamics.

[59]  Witold F. Krajewski,et al.  Sampling Errors of Tipping-Bucket Rain Gauge Measurements , 2001 .

[60]  Zong-Liang Yang,et al.  Role of ocean evaporation in California droughts and floods , 2016 .

[61]  Soroosh Sorooshian,et al.  Evaluation of PERSIANN-CCS rainfall measurement using the NAME event rain gauge network , 2007 .

[62]  Emmanouil N. Anagnostou,et al.  Overview of Overland Satellite Rainfall Estimation for Hydro-Meteorological Applications , 2004 .

[63]  Florian Pappenberger,et al.  Daily evaluation of 26 precipitation datasets using Stage-IV gauge-radar data for the CONUS , 2018, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences.

[64]  Daqing Yang,et al.  Precipitation bias variability versus various gauges under different climatic conditions over the Third Pole Environment (TPE) region , 2015 .

[65]  Kenneth R. Knapp Intersatellite bias of the high-resolution infrared radiation sounder water vapor channel determined using ISCCP B1 data , 2012 .

[66]  Shujia Zhou,et al.  Revisiting the evolution of the 2009–2011 meteorological drought over Southwest China , 2019, Journal of Hydrology.

[67]  Kuolin Hsu,et al.  Evaluation of satellite-based precipitation estimation over Iran , 2013 .

[68]  Harry Dixon,et al.  Rainfall measurement revisited , 2012 .

[69]  J. Janowiak,et al.  COMPARISON OF NEAR-REAL-TIME PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES FROM SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS AND NUMERICAL MODELS , 2007 .

[70]  E. Lewis,et al.  Quantifying and Mitigating Wind‐Induced Undercatch in Rainfall Measurements , 2018, Water Resources Research.

[71]  Jesús A. Anaya-Acevedo,et al.  Evaluation of 3B42V7 and IMERG daily-precipitation products for a very high-precipitation region in northwestern South America , 2019, Atmospheric Research.

[72]  J. Janowiak,et al.  GPCP Pentad Precipitation analyses: An experimental dataset based on gauge observations and satellite estimates , 2003 .

[73]  Zongxue Xu,et al.  Assessment and Correction of the PERSIANN-CDR Product in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin, China , 2018, Remote. Sens..

[74]  K. Sunilkumar,et al.  Comprehensive evaluation of multisatellite precipitation estimates over India using gridded rainfall data , 2015 .

[75]  Phillip A. Arkin,et al.  An Intercomparison and Validation of High-Resolution Satellite Precipitation Estimates with 3-Hourly Gauge Data , 2009 .

[76]  S. Sorooshian,et al.  Daytime Precipitation Estimation Using Bispectral Cloud Classification System , 2010 .

[77]  C. Birkel,et al.  Temporal and spatial evaluation of satellite-based rainfall estimates across the complex topographical and climatic gradients of Chile , 2016 .

[78]  D. Qin,et al.  Evaluation of precipitation from the ERA‐40, NCEP‐1, and NCEP‐2 Reanalyses and CMAP‐1, CMAP‐2, and GPCP‐2 with ground‐based measurements in China , 2009 .

[79]  Danqing Huang,et al.  Assessment of summer monsoon precipitation derived from five reanalysis datasets over East Asia , 2016 .

[80]  Pao K. Wang,et al.  An Introduction to Some Historical Governmental Weather Records of China , 1988 .

[81]  Zheng Niu,et al.  Understanding the dependence of the uncertainty in a satellite precipitation data set on the underlying surface and a correction method based on geographically weighted regression , 2014 .

[82]  D. Seo,et al.  Assessment and Implications of NCEP Stage IV Quantitative Precipitation Estimates for Product Intercomparisons , 2016 .

[83]  Soroosh Sorooshian,et al.  Evaluating the streamflow simulation capability of PERSIANN-CDR daily rainfall products in two river basins on the Tibetan Plateau , 2016 .

[84]  M. Todd,et al.  A Combined Satellite Infrared and Passive Microwave Technique for Estimation of Small-Scale Rainfall , 1999 .

[85]  H. Alexandersson A homogeneity test applied to precipitation data , 1986 .

[86]  S. Sorooshian,et al.  Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information Using Artificial Neural Networks , 1997 .

[87]  J. Janowiak,et al.  CMORPH: A Method that Produces Global Precipitation Estimates from Passive Microwave and Infrared Data at High Spatial and Temporal Resolution , 2004 .

[88]  M. Bonnet,et al.  Performance of CMORPH, TMPA, and PERSIANN rainfall datasets over plain, mountainous, and glacial regions of Pakistan , 2018, Theoretical and Applied Climatology.

[89]  Yu Zhang,et al.  Impact of TRMM Data on a Low-Latency, High-Resolution Precipitation Algorithm for Flash-Flood Forecasting , 2013 .

[90]  Hatim O. Sharif,et al.  Evaluation of the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Satellite Rainfall Products over the Lower Colorado River Basin, Texas , 2018 .

[91]  Y. Hao,et al.  Recent Pre-Launch Improvements to the GOES-R Rainfall Rate Algorithm , 2016 .

[92]  Robert F. Adler,et al.  Evaluation of TMPA satellite-based research and real-time rainfall estimates during six tropical-related heavy rainfall events over Louisiana, USA , 2009 .

[93]  P. Arkin,et al.  On the Relationship between Satellite-Observed Cloud Cover and Precipitation , 1981 .

[94]  Eric F. Wood,et al.  Correction of real-time satellite precipitation with multi-sensor satellite observations of land surface variables , 2015 .

[95]  P. Joe,et al.  So, how much of the Earth's surface is covered by rain gauges? , 2014, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

[96]  E. Anagnostou,et al.  Precipitation: Measurement, remote sensing, climatology and modeling , 2009 .

[97]  W. Krajewski,et al.  Estimation of Rainfall Interstation Correlation , 2001 .

[98]  Christopher J. Watts,et al.  Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Precipitation Intensity as Observed by the NAME Event Rain Gauge Network from 2002 to 2004 , 2007 .

[99]  Jan M. H. Hendrickx,et al.  Advanced Concepts on Remote Sensing of Precipitation at Multiple Scales , 2011 .

[100]  Ehsan Sharifi,et al.  Multi time-scale evaluation of high-resolution satellite-based precipitation products over northeast of Austria , 2018, Atmospheric Research.

[101]  R. A. Scofield,et al.  The role of orographic and parallax corrections on real time high resolution satellite rainfall rate distribution , 2002 .

[102]  V. Maggioni,et al.  Estimating Uncertainties in High-Resolution Satellite Precipitation Products: Systematic or Random Error? , 2016 .

[103]  George J. Huffman,et al.  Latitudinally and seasonally dependent zenith-angle corrections for geostationary satellite IR brightness temperatures , 2000 .

[104]  S. Sorooshian,et al.  Evaluation and comparison of satellite precipitation estimates with reference to a local area in the Mediterranean Sea , 2014 .

[105]  J. Michaelsen,et al.  The climate hazards infrared precipitation with stations—a new environmental record for monitoring extremes , 2015, Scientific Data.

[106]  Chris Kidd,et al.  Satellite Rainfall Estimation Using a Combined Pasive Microwave and Infrared Algorithm. , 2003 .

[107]  L. Harrison,et al.  Field assessments on the accuracy of spherical gauges in rainfall measurements , 2005 .

[108]  G. Können,et al.  Homogeneity of 20th century European daily temperature and precipitation series , 2003 .

[109]  Shiqiang Zhang,et al.  Evaluation of precipitation from CMORPH, GPCP-2, TRMM 3B43, GPCC, and ITPCAS with ground-based measurements in the Qinling-Daba Mountains, China , 2017, PloS one.

[110]  Y. Hong,et al.  The TRMM Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA): Quasi-Global, Multiyear, Combined-Sensor Precipitation Estimates at Fine Scales , 2007 .

[111]  Y. Hong,et al.  Accounting for spatiotemporal errors of gauges: A critical step to evaluate gridded precipitation products , 2018 .

[112]  Soroosh Sorooshian,et al.  The PERSIANN family of global satellite precipitation data: a review and evaluation of products , 2018, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences.

[113]  Shaoming Pan,et al.  Changes in extreme climate events in eastern China during 1960–2013: A case study of the Huaihe River Basin , 2015 .

[114]  Shahab Araghinejad,et al.  Error Analysis on PERSIANN Precipitation Estimations: Case Study of Urmia Lake Basin, Iran , 2018, Journal of Hydrologic Engineering.

[115]  Bin Li,et al.  Inter-Comparison and Evaluation of Remote Sensing Precipitation Products over China from 2005 to 2013 , 2018, Remote. Sens..

[116]  S. Sorooshian,et al.  An Artificial Neural Network Model to Reduce False Alarms in Satellite Precipitation Products Using MODIS andCloudSatObservations , 2013 .

[117]  Matthias Steiner,et al.  Effect of bias adjustment and rain gauge data quality control on radar rainfall estimation , 1999 .