Variability of P-wave morphology predicts the outcome of circumferential pulmonary vein isolation in patients with recurrent atrial fibrillation.

INTRODUCTION Severe atrial structural remodeling may reflect irreversible damage of the atrial tissue in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and is associated with changes of P-wave duration and morphology. Our aim was to study whether variability of P-wave morphology (PMV) is associated with outcome in patients with AF after circumferential PV isolation (CPVI). METHODS AND RESULTS 70 consecutive patients (aged 60±9years, 46 men) undergoing CPVI due to symptomatic AF were studied. After cessation of antiarrhythmic therapy, standard 12-lead ECG during sinus rhythm was recorded for 10min at baseline and transformed to orthogonal leads. Beat-to-beat P-wave morphology was subsequently defined using a pre-defined classification algorithm. The most commonly observed P-wave morphology in a patient was defined as the dominant morphology. PMV was defined as the percentage of P waves with non-dominant morphology in the 10-min sample. At the end of follow-up, 53 of 70 patients had no arrhythmia recurrence. PMV was greater in patients without recurrence (19.5±17.1% vs. 8.2±6.7%, p<0.001). In the multivariate logistic regression model, PMV≥20% (upper tertile) was the only independent predictor of ablation success (OR=11.4, 95% CI 1.4-92.1, p=0.023). A PMV≥20% demonstrated a sensitivity of 41.5%, a specificity of 94.1%, a PPV of 96.7%, and an NPV of 34.0% for free of AF after CPVI. CONCLUSIONS We report a significant association between increased PMV and 6-month CPVI success. PMV may help to identify patients with very high likelihood of freedom of AF 6-months after CPVI.