An Empirical Analysis of Economic Growth and Evolution of Industrial Structure and Employment Structure——The Empirical Research Based on Shaanxi Case

This article establishes the VECM model to analyze the Granger causality among the economic growth,the industrial structure and the employment structure in Shaanxi province.The empirical results indicate that: First,the evolution of Shaanxi industrial structure has obvious characteristics of being in economy transition,the economic growth do not have any noticeable effect on the industrial structure.Exogenous industrial structure and the conflict of market-oriented reform in economy transition period probably is the immanent cause of the industrial structure evolution.Second,?co-integration equation shows,in transition period,the evolution of industrial structure has negative effect on Shaanxi economic growth,however the effect which employment structure influence Shaanxi economic growth is positive,but both of them is not obvious.Third,we can discover from short-term dynamic part of the model that the industrial structure becomes the remarkable barrier against improvement of the employment structure,moreover in short-term the industrial structure is improved by the strength which comes from its own structure.