Uncertainty quantification for algebraic systems of equations

We consider the situation where an unknown n-dimensional vector X has to be determined by solving a system of equations having the form F(X,v)=0, where F is a mapping from the n-dimensional Euclidean space on itself and v is a random k-dimensional vector. We focus on the numerical determination of the distribution of solution X, which is also a random variable. We propose an expansion of X as a function of a vector v and we apply known approaches such as the collocation, moment matching and variational approximation and, we developed a new approach for the solution based on the adaptation of deterministic iterative numerical methods. These approaches are tested and compared in linear and non-linear situations including a laminated composite plate and a beam under nonlinear behavior. The results showed the effectiveness and the advantages of the new approach over the variational one to solve the uncertainty quantification of systems of nonlinear equations. Also, from the comparison among the methods, it is shown that the collocation is the most effective and robust approach, followed by the adaptation one. Finally, the least robust method is the moment matching approach due to the complexity of the resulting optimization problem.

[1]  H. M. Panayirci,et al.  Efficient solution for Galerkin-based polynomial chaos expansion systems , 2010, Adv. Eng. Softw..

[2]  Fabio Nobile,et al.  A Stochastic Collocation Method for Elliptic Partial Differential Equations with Random Input Data , 2007, SIAM Rev..

[3]  R. Lopez,et al.  Approximating the probability density function of the optimal point of an optimization problem , 2011 .

[4]  Christian Soize A nonparametric model of random uncertainties for reduced matrix models in structural dynamics , 2000 .

[5]  Bruno Sudret,et al.  Global sensitivity analysis using polynomial chaos expansions , 2008, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[6]  N. Wiener The Homogeneous Chaos , 1938 .

[7]  R. Ghanem,et al.  Polynomial Chaos in Stochastic Finite Elements , 1990 .

[8]  Rubens Sampaio,et al.  A new algorithm for the robust optimization of rotor-bearing systems , 2014 .

[9]  B. Sudret,et al.  An adaptive algorithm to build up sparse polynomial chaos expansions for stochastic finite element analysis , 2010 .

[10]  Marco Antonio Luersen,et al.  Globalized Nelder-Mead method for engineering optimization , 2002 .

[11]  Dongbin Xiu,et al.  High-Order Collocation Methods for Differential Equations with Random Inputs , 2005, SIAM J. Sci. Comput..

[12]  R. H. Lopez,et al.  Robust optimization of a flexible rotor-bearing system using the Campbell diagram , 2011 .

[13]  Mircea Grigoriu,et al.  On the accuracy of the polynomial chaos approximation for random variables and stationary stochastic processes. , 2003 .

[14]  Bernhard Sendhoff,et al.  Robust Optimization - A Comprehensive Survey , 2007 .

[15]  Sondipon Adhikari,et al.  A reduced-order random matrix approach for stochastic structural dynamics , 2010 .

[16]  BabuskaIvo,et al.  A Stochastic Collocation Method for Elliptic Partial Differential Equations with Random Input Data , 2007 .

[17]  Ramana V. Grandhi,et al.  Structural reliability under non-Gaussian stochastic behavior , 2004 .

[18]  William Feller,et al.  An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications , 1951 .

[19]  A. Beck,et al.  Chaos-Galerkin solution of stochastic Timoshenko bending problems , 2011 .

[20]  H. Matthies,et al.  Hierarchical parallelisation for the solution of stochastic finite element equations , 2005 .

[21]  A. Nouy A generalized spectral decomposition technique to solve a class of linear stochastic partial differential equations , 2007 .

[22]  R. Ghanem,et al.  Stochastic Finite Elements: A Spectral Approach , 1990 .

[23]  Rafael Holdorf Lopez,et al.  A local-restart coupled strategy for simultaneous sizing and geometry truss optimization , 2011 .

[24]  John A. Nelder,et al.  A Simplex Method for Function Minimization , 1965, Comput. J..

[25]  Roger Ghanem,et al.  Simulation of multi-dimensional non-gaussian non-stationary random fields , 2002 .

[26]  Dongbin Xiu,et al.  The Wiener-Askey Polynomial Chaos for Stochastic Differential Equations , 2002, SIAM J. Sci. Comput..

[27]  Christian Soize Random matrix theory and non-parametric model of random uncertainties in vibration analysis , 2003 .

[28]  Nicholas Zabaras,et al.  A non-intrusive stochastic Galerkin approach for modeling uncertainty propagation in deformation processes , 2007 .

[29]  A. Nouy A generalized spectral decomposition technique to solve stochastic partial difierential equations , 2007 .

[30]  Bruno Sudret,et al.  Adaptive sparse polynomial chaos expansion based on least angle regression , 2011, J. Comput. Phys..

[31]  Robert E. Melchers,et al.  Structural Reliability: Analysis and Prediction , 1987 .

[32]  William Feller,et al.  An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications , 1967 .

[33]  Fabio Nobile,et al.  A Sparse Grid Stochastic Collocation Method for Partial Differential Equations with Random Input Data , 2008, SIAM J. Numer. Anal..

[34]  Hermann G. Matthies,et al.  Galerkin methods for linear and nonlinear elliptic stochastic partial differential equations , 2005 .

[35]  Gerhart I. Schuëller,et al.  Efficient stochastic structural analysis using Guyan reduction , 2011, Adv. Eng. Softw..