Evidential reasoning using extended fuzzy Dempster–Shafer theory for handling various facets of information deficiency

This work investigates the problem of combining deficient evidence for the purpose of quality assessment. The main focus of the work is modeling vagueness, ambiguity, and local nonspecificity in information within a unified approach. We introduce an extended fuzzy Dempster–Shafer scheme based on the simultaneous use of fuzzy interval‐grade and interval‐valued belief degree (IGIB). The latter facilitates modeling of uncertainties in terms of local ignorance associated with expert knowledge, whereas the former allows for handling the lack of information on belief degree assignments. Also, generalized fuzzy sets can be readily transformed into the proposed fuzzy IGIB structure. The reasoning for quality assessment is performed by solving nonlinear optimization problems on fuzzy Dempster–Shafer paradigm for the fuzzy IGIB structure. The application of the proposed inference method is investigated by designing a reasoning scheme for water quality monitoring and validated through the experimental data available for different sampling points in a water distribution network. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

[1]  Bo-Suk Yang,et al.  Application of Dempster–Shafer theory in fault diagnosis of induction motors using vibration and current signals , 2006 .

[2]  Jian-Bo Yang,et al.  The evidential reasoning approach for multi-attribute decision analysis under interval uncertainty , 2006, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[3]  R. Yager On the dempster-shafer framework and new combination rules , 1987, Inf. Sci..

[4]  M. Waite,et al.  INTRODUCING PARAMETERS FOR THE ASSESSMENT OF DRINKING WATER QUALITY , 2004 .

[5]  I. Turksen Interval valued fuzzy sets based on normal forms , 1986 .

[6]  T. Denœux Modeling vague beliefs using fuzzy-valued belief structures , 2000 .

[7]  E. Lee,et al.  An interval dempster-shafer approach , 1992 .

[8]  Ronald R. Yager,et al.  Dempster–Shafer belief structures with interval valued focal weights , 2001, Int. J. Intell. Syst..

[9]  Michael J. Pont,et al.  Application of Dempster-Shafer theory in condition monitoring applications: a case study , 2001, Pattern Recognit. Lett..

[10]  Jian-Bo Yang,et al.  Evidential Reasoning Approach for Multiattribute Decision Analysis Under Both Fuzzy and Interval Uncertainty , 2009, IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems.

[11]  Roy C. Haught,et al.  On–Line water quality parameters as indicators of distribution system contamination , 2007 .

[12]  Humberto Bustince,et al.  Indicator of inclusion grade for interval-valued fuzzy sets. Application to approximate reasoning based on interval-valued fuzzy sets , 2000, Int. J. Approx. Reason..

[13]  Rehan Sadiq,et al.  Prioritizing monitoring locations in a water distribution network: a fuzzy risk approach , 2009 .

[14]  John Yen,et al.  A Reasoning Model Based on an Extended Dempster-Shafer Theory , 1986, AAAI.

[15]  Vladik Kreinovich,et al.  Interval-Valued Degrees of Belief: Applications of Interval Computations to Expert Systems and Intelligent Control , 1997, Int. J. Uncertain. Fuzziness Knowl. Based Syst..

[16]  Rehan Sadiq,et al.  Interpreting drinking water quality in the distribution system using Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence. , 2005, Chemosphere.

[17]  Jian-Bo Yang,et al.  On the evidential reasoning algorithm for multiple attribute decision analysis under uncertainty , 2002, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. Part A.

[18]  Prabhata K. Swamee,et al.  DESCRIBING WATER QUALITY WITH AGGREGATE INDEX , 2000 .

[19]  Kari Sentz,et al.  Combination of Evidence in Dempster-Shafer Theory , 2002 .

[20]  Jian-Bo Yang,et al.  Belief rule-base inference methodology using the evidential reasoning Approach-RIMER , 2006, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics - Part A: Systems and Humans.

[21]  X.P. Ma,et al.  An Improved Extension of the D-S Evidence Theory to Fuzzy Sets , 2008, 2008 The Third International Multi-Conference on Computing in the Global Information Technology (iccgi 2008).

[22]  Ronald R. Yager,et al.  Including probabilistic uncertainty in fuzzy logic controller modeling using Dempster-Shafer theory , 1995, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern..

[23]  Glenn Shafer,et al.  A Mathematical Theory of Evidence , 2020, A Mathematical Theory of Evidence.

[24]  R. Clark,et al.  Modeling and testing of reactive contaminant transport in drinking water pipes: chlorine response and implications for online contaminant detection. , 2008, Water research.

[25]  Thierry Denoeux,et al.  Risk assessment based on weak information using belief functions: a case study in water treatment , 2006, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part C (Applications and Reviews).

[26]  Thierry Denoeux,et al.  Modeling vague beliefs using fuzzy-valued belief structures , 2000, Fuzzy Sets Syst..

[27]  H. Zimmermann,et al.  Fuzzy Set Theory and Its Applications , 1993 .

[28]  Jian-Bo Yang,et al.  The evidential reasoning approach for multiple attribute decision analysis using interval belief degrees , 2006, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[29]  Miin-Shen Yang,et al.  Generalized belief function, plausibility function, and Dempster's combinational rule to fuzzy sets , 2003, Int. J. Intell. Syst..

[30]  Mark Gibson,et al.  Technologies and Techniques for Early Warning Systems to Monitor and Evaluate Drinking Water Quality: A State-of-the-Art Review , 2005 .

[31]  Hongwei Zhu,et al.  A novel fuzzy evidential reasoning paradigm for data fusion with applications in image processing , 2006, Soft Comput..

[32]  Jian-Bo Yang,et al.  Engineering System Safety Analysis and Synthesis Using the Fuzzy Rule‐based Evidential Reasoning Approach , 2005 .

[33]  Ronald R. Yager,et al.  On the determination of strength of belief for decision support under uncertainty - Part II: fusing strengths of belief , 2004, Fuzzy Sets Syst..

[34]  L. Zadeh Fuzzy sets as a basis for a theory of possibility , 1999 .

[35]  Thierry Denoeux,et al.  Reasoning with imprecise belief structures , 1999, Int. J. Approx. Reason..

[36]  Fakhri Karray,et al.  Connectionist-based Dempster-Shafer evidential reasoning for data fusion , 2005, IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks.

[37]  Zhongsheng Hua,et al.  A DS-AHP approach for multi-attribute decision making problem with incomplete information , 2008, Expert Syst. Appl..

[38]  Ronald R. Yager,et al.  Generalized probabilities of fuzzy events from fuzzy belief structures , 1982, Inf. Sci..

[39]  Chris Cornelis,et al.  Implication in intuitionistic fuzzy and interval-valued fuzzy set theory: construction, classification, application , 2004, Int. J. Approx. Reason..

[40]  Jian-Bo Yang,et al.  The Evidential Reasoning Approach for Multi-attribute Decision Analysis under Both Fuzzy and Interval Uncertainty , 2008, Interval / Probabilistic Uncertainty and Non-Classical Logics.

[41]  Philippe Smets Application of the transferable belief model to diagnostic problems , 1998, Int. J. Intell. Syst..

[42]  Solomon Tesfamariam,et al.  Decision Making Under Uncertainty—An Example for Seismic Risk Management , 2010, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[43]  Didier Dubois,et al.  Evidence measures based on fuzzy information , 1985, Autom..

[44]  Jian-Bo Yang,et al.  The evidential reasoning approach for MADA under both probabilistic and fuzzy uncertainties , 2006, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[45]  M. Singh,et al.  An Evidential Reasoning Approach for Multiple-Attribute Decision Making with Uncertainty , 1994, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. Syst..

[46]  Rehan Sadiq,et al.  Using penalty functions to evaluate aggregation models for environmental indices. , 2010, Journal of environmental management.

[47]  Jian-Bo Yang,et al.  On the combination and normalization of interval-valued belief structures , 2007, Information Sciences.

[48]  Jian-Bo Yang,et al.  A preference aggregation method through the estimation of utility intervals , 2005, Comput. Oper. Res..

[49]  Philippe Smets,et al.  The Transferable Belief Model , 1991, Artif. Intell..

[50]  Jian-Bo Yang,et al.  Environmental impact assessment using the evidential reasoning approach , 2006, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[51]  Bernard De Baets,et al.  A fuzzy inclusion based approach to upper inverse images under fuzzy multivalued mappings , 1997, Fuzzy Sets Syst..

[52]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  The Concepts of a Linguistic Variable and its Application to Approximate Reasoning , 1975 .

[53]  M. Gorzałczany A method for inference in approximate reasoning based on interval-valued fuzzy sets , 1987 .

[54]  J. Kacprzyk,et al.  Combining Fuzzy Imprecision With Probabilistic Uncertainty in Decision Making , 1988 .

[55]  Didier Dubois,et al.  Interval-valued Fuzzy Sets, Possibility Theory and Imprecise Probability , 2005, EUSFLAT Conf..

[56]  Xiaohong Yuan,et al.  Engine fault diagnosis based on multi-sensor information fusion using Dempster-Shafer evidence theory , 2007, Inf. Fusion.

[57]  George J. Klir,et al.  Uncertainty-Based Information , 1999 .

[58]  Hongwei Zhu,et al.  An adaptive fuzzy evidential nearest neighbor formulation for classifying remote sensing images , 2005, IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing.

[59]  Chris Cornelis,et al.  Intuitionistic fuzzy sets and interval-valued fuzzy sets: a critical comparison , 2003, EUSFLAT Conf..

[60]  Arthur P. Dempster,et al.  Upper and Lower Probabilities Induced by a Multivalued Mapping , 1967, Classic Works of the Dempster-Shafer Theory of Belief Functions.

[61]  Homayoun Najjaran,et al.  Investigating evidential reasoning for the interpretation of microbial water quality in a distribution network , 2006 .

[62]  Didier Dubois,et al.  Decision Evaluation Methods Under Uncertainty and Imprecision , 1988 .

[63]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  Toward a generalized theory of uncertainty (GTU) - an outline , 2005, GrC.

[64]  John Yen,et al.  Generalizing the Dempster-Schafer theory to fuzzy sets , 1990, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern..

[65]  Elisabetta Binaghi,et al.  Fuzzy Dempster-Shafer reasoning for rule-based classifiers , 1999, Int. J. Intell. Syst..

[66]  Jian-Bo Yang,et al.  Fuzzy Rule-Based Evidential Reasoning Approach for Safety Analysis , 2004, Int. J. Gen. Syst..

[67]  Jian-Bo Yang,et al.  Evidential reasoning‐based nonlinear programming model for MCDA under fuzzy weights and utilities , 2010, Int. J. Intell. Syst..

[68]  H. Zimmermann,et al.  Latent connectives in human decision making , 1980 .

[69]  Jian-Bo Yang,et al.  Nonlinear information aggregation via evidential reasoning in multiattribute decision analysis under uncertainty , 2002, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. Part A.

[70]  Philippe Smets The transferable belief model and other interpretations of Dempster-Shafer's model , 1990, UAI.