The EU-AIMS Longitudinal European Autism Project (LEAP): design and methodologies to identify and validate stratification biomarkers for autism spectrum disorders

BackgroundThe tremendous clinical and aetiological diversity among individuals with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) has been a major obstacle to the development of new treatments, as many may only be effective in particular subgroups. Precision medicine approaches aim to overcome this challenge by combining pathophysiologically based treatments with stratification biomarkers that predict which treatment may be most beneficial for particular individuals. However, so far, we have no single validated stratification biomarker for ASD. This may be due to the fact that most research studies primarily have focused on the identification of mean case-control differences, rather than within-group variability, and included small samples that were underpowered for stratification approaches. The EU-AIMS Longitudinal European Autism Project (LEAP) is to date the largest multi-centre, multi-disciplinary observational study worldwide that aims to identify and validate stratification biomarkers for ASD.MethodsLEAP includes 437 children and adults with ASD and 300 individuals with typical development or mild intellectual disability. Using an accelerated longitudinal design, each participant is comprehensively characterised in terms of clinical symptoms, comorbidities, functional outcomes, neurocognitive profile, brain structure and function, biochemical markers and genomics. In addition, 51 twin-pairs (of which 36 had one sibling with ASD) are included to identify genetic and environmental factors in phenotypic variability.ResultsHere, we describe the demographic characteristics of the cohort, planned analytic stratification approaches, criteria and steps to validate candidate stratification markers, pre-registration procedures to increase transparency, standardisation and data robustness across all analyses, and share some ‘lessons learnt’. A clinical characterisation of the cohort is given in the companion paper (Charman et al., accepted).ConclusionWe expect that LEAP will enable us to confirm, reject and refine current hypotheses of neurocognitive/neurobiological abnormalities, identify biologically and clinically meaningful ASD subgroups, and help us map phenotypic heterogeneity to different aetiologies.

Vincent Frouin | Declan G. M. Murphy | Thomas Bourgeron | Roberto Toro | Tony Charman | Jan K. Buitelaar | Andreas Meyer-Lindenberg | Tobias Banaschewski | Eva Loth | Sara Ambrosino | Bob Oranje | Sarah Durston | Michael V. Lombardo | Prantik Kundu | Mark H. Johnson | Guillaume Dumas | Sven Bölte | Simon Baron-Cohen | Gahan Pandina | Meng-Chuan Lai | Bhismadev Chakrabarti | Christine Ecker | Heike Tost | Marianne Oldehinkel | Pilar Garces | Bonnie Auyeung | Jack Waldman | Amber N. V. Ruigrok | Jessica Faulkner | Johan Isaksson | Marcel P. Zwiers | Michael Brammer | Emily Simonoff | David J. Lythgoe | Christian Beckmann | Sarah Baumeister | Emily J. H. Jones | Daniel Brandeis | Roberto Sacco | Luke Mason | Jumana Ahmad | Daisy Crawley | Hannah Hayward | S. Bölte | T. Bourgeron | A. Meyer-Lindenberg | S. Baron-Cohen | C. Beckmann | M. Brammer | J. Buitelaar | J. Hipp | M. Zwiers | H. Tost | E. Loth | D. Murphy | L. O'Dwyer | V. Frouin | W. Spooren | T. Banaschewski | D. Brandeis | R. Toro | E. Simonoff | D. Lythgoe | G. Dumas | C. Ecker | S. Durston | T. Charman | P. Kundu | Sarah Baumeister | B. Oranje | R. Mandl | E. Jones | L. Mason | S. Ambrosino | H. Hayward | P. Garcés | M. Lombardo | M. Lai | B. Chakrabarti | A. Ruigrok | A. Persico | R. Sacco | B. Auyeung | J. Waldman | R. Holt | C. Moessnang | D. Crawley | J. Ahmad | A. S. J. Cáceres | G. Pandina | J. Tillmann | D. Goyard | M. Oldehinkel | S. Williams | Barbara Ruggeri | Antonio M. Persico | Yvette de Bruijn | X. L. D’ardhuy | C. Bours | Caroline Wooldridge | C. Brogna | Yvette de Bruijn | I. Cornelissen | F. D. Acqua | J. Faulkner | Lindsay M. Ham | J. Isaksson | Nico Mueller | B. Ruggeri | J. Sabet | Will Spooren | Carsten Bours | Julian Tillmann | Laurence O’Dwyer | Carolin Moessnang | David Goyard | Caroline Wooldridge | Claudia Brogna | Ineke Cornelissen | Flavio Dell’ Acqua | Joerg Hipp | Rosemary J. Holt | Xavier Liogier D’ardhuy | René Mandl | Nico Mueller | Jessica Sabet | Steve C. R. Williams | Antonia San José Cáceres | Lindsay Ham | Jack Waldman | S. Baumeister | Jessica Sabet | Laurence O'Dwyer | Carsten Bours | C. Wooldridge

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