Elicitation from Large, Heterogeneous Expert Panels: Using Multiple Uncertainty Measures to Characterize Information Quality for Decision Analysis
暂无分享,去创建一个
Michael McWilliams | Sandra Hoffmann | Paul Fischbeck | Alan Krupnick | P. Fischbeck | A. Krupnick | S. Hoffmann | M. McWilliams
[1] Diphtheria. Division of Bacterial and Mycotic Diseases , 2006 .
[2] Graham Kalton,et al. Sampling Rare Populations , 1986 .
[3] Jason R. W. Merrick,et al. Analysis of Correlated Expert Judgments from Extended Pairwise Comparisons , 2005, Decis. Anal..
[4] Michael McWilliams,et al. Informing risk-mitigation priorities using uncertainty measures derived from heterogeneous expert panels: A demonstration using foodborne pathogens , 2008, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..
[5] K. J. Craik,et al. The nature of explanation , 1944 .
[6] B. Fischhoff,et al. Expert judgments of pandemic influenza risks , 2006, Global public health.
[7] William D. Nordhaus,et al. Expert opinion on climate change , 1994 .
[8] Sandra Hoffmann,et al. Using expert elicitation to link foodborne illnesses in the United States to foods. , 2007, Journal of food protection.
[9] Michael D Mastrandrea,et al. Probabilistic Integrated Assessment of "Dangerous" Climate Change , 2004, Science.
[10] Francis K. Adams. Expert elicitation and Bayesian analysis of construction contract risks: an investigation , 2006 .
[11] Robert T. Clemen,et al. Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis , 1997 .
[12] L. McCaig,et al. Food-related illness and death in the United States. , 1999, Emerging infectious diseases.
[13] N. Epley,et al. Putting Adjustment Back in the Anchoring and Adjustment Heuristic: Differential Processing of Self-Generated and Experimenter-Provided Anchors , 2001, Psychological science.
[14] M. Morgan,et al. Categorizing Risks for Risk Ranking , 2000, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.
[15] T. A. Nosanchuk,et al. Applied network sampling , 1983 .
[16] R. Cooke,et al. Expert judgement elicitation for risk assessments of critical infrastructures , 2004 .
[17] Ine H J Van der Fels-Klerx,et al. Elicitation of Quantitative Data from a Heterogeneous Expert Panel: Formal Process and Application in Animal Health , 2002, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.
[18] Max Henrion,et al. Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis , 1990 .
[19] Nebojsa Nakicenovic,et al. Characterizing Climate-Change Uncertainties for Decision-Makers , 2004 .
[20] Nebojsa Nakicenovic,et al. Characterizing Climate-Change Uncertainties for Decision-Makers. An Editorial Essay , 2004 .
[21] Roger M. Cooke,et al. TU Delft expert judgment data base , 2008, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..
[22] John Painter,et al. Attributing Illness to Food , 2005, Emerging infectious diseases.
[23] R P Barke,et al. Politics and scientific expertise: scientists, risk perception, and nuclear waste policy. , 1993, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.
[24] David W. Keith,et al. When is it appropriate to combine expert judgments? , 1996 .
[25] F. O. Hoffman,et al. Beyond the Domain of Direct Observation: How to Specify a Probability Distribution that Represents the “State of Knowledge” About Uncertain Inputs , 1999 .
[26] M. G. Morgan,et al. Elicitation of Expert Judgments of Aerosol Forcing , 2006 .
[27] Mark S. Granovetter. Network Sampling: Some First Steps , 1976, American Journal of Sociology.
[28] Robert L. Winkler,et al. Combining Probability Distributions From Experts in Risk Analysis , 1999 .
[29] S H Strogatz,et al. Random graph models of social networks , 2002, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.
[30] Edward G. Carmines,et al. Reliability and Validity Assessment , 1979 .
[31] Shama Desai Ahuja,et al. Risk factors for sporadic Campylobacter infection in the United States: A case-control study in FoodNet sites. , 2004, Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America.
[32] A. Tversky,et al. Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , 1974, Science.
[33] W. H. F. Barnes. The Nature of Explanation , 1944, Nature.
[34] Richard A. Parker,et al. Designing and Conducting Survey Research: A Comprehensive Guide , 1992 .
[35] B. Johnson. Risk Communication: A Mental Models Approach , 2002 .
[36] M. G. Morgan,et al. Subjective judgments by climate experts. , 1995 .
[37] R. Cooke. Experts in Uncertainty: Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science , 1991 .
[38] Joey F. George,et al. Countering the anchoring and adjustment bias with decision support systems , 2000, Decis. Support Syst..