A firefly algorithm modified support vector machine for the credit risk assessment of supply chain finance

Abstract Purpose Nowadays, Supply Chain Finance (SCF) has been developing rapidly since the emergence of credit risk. Therefore, this paper used SVM optimized by the firefly algorithm, which is called firefly algorithm support vector machine (FA-SVM), and applied it to SCF evaluation with a different indicator selection. Design/methodology/approach In this paper, we used FA-SVM to assess the credit risk of supply chain finance with extracted index through correlation and appraisal analysis, and finally determined 3 first-level indicators and 15 third-level indicators. Through the application analysis, 39 SMEs (117 sample data) were selected from the Computer and Electronic Communications Manufacturing Industry as the characteristics for the input variables, to verify the improvement effect of the method relative to the LIBSVM and the classification pretest effect in the credit risk assessment of the SCF. Findings The results showed that FA-SVM could improve the accuracy of classification prediction compared with LIBSVM, and decrease the error rate of falseness recognize credible enterprise to untrusted enterprise. Originality/value This paper appliedthe firefly support vector machine in the supply chain financial evaluation for the first time. The output variable was described in a more detailed manner during the index define, and the random selection set in the process of FA-SVM data training.

[1]  J. Suykens,et al.  Benchmarking state-of-the-art classification algorithms for credit scoring: An update of research , 2015, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[2]  Sebastián Maldonado,et al.  Cost-based feature selection for Support Vector Machines: An application in credit scoring , 2017, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[3]  Xiaoli Zhang,et al.  An ACO-based algorithm for parameter optimization of support vector machines , 2010, Expert Syst. Appl..

[4]  Shahaboddin Shamshirband,et al.  The use of SVM-FFA in estimating fatigue life of polyethylene terephthalate modified asphalt mixtures , 2016 .

[5]  Alessandro Perego,et al.  Supply chain finance: a literature review , 2016 .

[6]  Zhang Chao,et al.  A Unified Framework for Credit Evaluation for Internet Finance Companies: Multi-Criteria Analysis Through AHP and DEA , 2017, Int. J. Inf. Technol. Decis. Mak..

[7]  Wei-Chang Yeh,et al.  Mining financial distress trend data using penalty guided support vector machines based on hybrid of particle swarm optimization and artificial bee colony algorithm , 2012, Neurocomputing.

[8]  Chi Xie,et al.  Comparison of individual, ensemble and integrated ensemble machine learning methods to predict China’s SME credit risk in supply chain finance , 2017, Neural Computing and Applications.

[9]  Leora F. Klapper The Role of Factoring for Financing Small and Medium Enterprises , 2005 .

[10]  Maysam F. Abbod,et al.  Classifiers consensus system approach for credit scoring , 2016, Knowl. Based Syst..

[11]  A. S. Shanthi,et al.  Improving Gabor Filter Bank Design and SVM Optimization Using Cuckoo Search for Mild Cognitive Impairment Classification , 2016 .

[12]  Kyoung-jae Kim,et al.  Financial time series forecasting using support vector machines , 2003, Neurocomputing.

[13]  Shahaboddin Shamshirband,et al.  Prediction of heat load in district heating systems by Support Vector Machine with Firefly searching algorithm , 2016 .

[14]  Xin-She Yang,et al.  Nature-Inspired Metaheuristic Algorithms , 2008 .

[15]  Shahaboddin Shamshirband,et al.  RETRACTED: Stiffness performance of polyethylene terephthalate modified asphalt mixtures estimation using support vector machine-firefly algorithm , 2015, Measurement.

[16]  Aboul Ella Hassanien,et al.  Classification of Toxicity Effects of Biotransformed Hepatic Drugs Using Optimized Support Vector Machine , 2017, AISI.

[17]  Aderemi Oluyinka Adewumi,et al.  A hybrid firefly and support vector machine classifier for phishing email detection , 2016, Kybernetes.

[18]  P. Geetha,et al.  Segmentation and classification of brain images using firefly and hybrid kernel-based support vector machine , 2017, J. Exp. Theor. Artif. Intell..

[19]  Hassan Tehranian,et al.  Liquidity Risk Management and Credit Supply in the Financial Crisis , 2010 .

[20]  Bart Baesens,et al.  Using Neural Network Rule Extraction and Decision Tables for Credit - Risk Evaluation , 2003, Manag. Sci..

[21]  Kin Keung Lai,et al.  Credit Scoring Models with AUC Maximization Based on Weighted SVM , 2009, Int. J. Inf. Technol. Decis. Mak..

[22]  T.-L. Lee,et al.  Support vector regression methodology for storm surge predictions , 2008 .

[23]  Jc Jan Fransoo,et al.  Reverse Factoring for SME Finance , 2015 .

[24]  Paulius Danenas,et al.  Credit risk evaluation modeling using evolutionary linear SVM classifiers and sliding window approach , 2012, ICCS.

[25]  M. Parast,et al.  Mitigating supply chain disruptions through the assessment of trade-offs among risks, costs and investments in capabilities , 2016 .

[26]  U. Rajendra Acharya,et al.  Automated screening system for retinal health using bi-dimensional empirical mode decomposition and integrated index , 2016, Comput. Biol. Medicine.

[27]  Hayne E. Leland,et al.  INFORMATIONAL ASYMMETRIES, FINANCIAL STRUCTURE, AND FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION , 1977 .

[28]  Kin Keung Lai,et al.  Credit risk evaluation using a weighted least squares SVM classifier with design of experiment for parameter selection , 2011, Expert Syst. Appl..

[29]  Michael Henke,et al.  Focusing the financial flow of supply chains: An empirical investigation of financial supply chain management , 2013 .

[30]  Allen N. Berger,et al.  A more complete conceptual framework for SME finance , 2006 .

[31]  Adil Baykasoglu,et al.  Adaptive firefly algorithm with chaos for mechanical design optimization problems , 2015, Appl. Soft Comput..

[32]  X. Wen,et al.  A wavelet-coupled support vector machine model for forecasting global incident solar radiation using limited meteorological dataset , 2016 .

[33]  M. Hassan,et al.  Liquidity risk, credit risk and stability in Islamic and conventional banks , 2019, Research in International Business and Finance.

[34]  Anirban Ganguly,et al.  Supply chain network, information sharing and SME credit quality , 2016, Ind. Manag. Data Syst..

[35]  Joe Naoum-Sawaya,et al.  High dimensional data classification and feature selection using support vector machines , 2018, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[36]  Shahaboddin Shamshirband,et al.  Prediction of Daily Dewpoint Temperature Using a Model Combining the Support Vector Machine with Firefly Algorithm , 2016 .

[37]  Xiao Song,et al.  Improving the predictability of business failure of supply chain finance clients by using external big dataset , 2015, Ind. Manag. Data Syst..

[38]  Gerhard-Wilhelm Weber,et al.  A classification problem of credit risk rating investigated and solved by optimisation of the ROC curve , 2012, Central Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[39]  Biju Issac,et al.  Performance Comparison of Intrusion Detection Systems and Application of Machine Learning to Snort System , 2017, Future Gener. Comput. Syst..