PREDICTION OF NATURAL DISASTERS

Abstract During the past 30 plus years, we have been dealing with several fundamental problems in prediction science. We believe that “the science of human natural disasters” (natural disasters affecting mankind) is not well addressed by the classical theory of dynamical systems. It is argued that there exist problems, when the theory of dynamic systems is used, related to (1) measurement inaccuracy of low energy effects, (2) computational inaccuracy of accumulating error value effects, (3) failures of classical methods under effects of vortical motion, etc. At the end, we will explain our methodology of structural prediction, which has been shown to be more effective in practical applications than the current widely employed methods.