Cost-Oriented Analysis of the 1997 NTRS

This document is a summary of the analysis of the 1997 National Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors (NTRS). Discussion is focused on the cost of IC manufacturing. It is shown that the Roadmap’s assumptions lead to unacceptable high die cost at the same time restricting cost of manufacturing per unit square of processed wafers to very low levels. This document is concluded with the discussion of possible consequences of such a cost contradiction built-into the 1997 NTRS.

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