Multiscale Models and Dimensionality reduction in the pricing and hedging of Path Dependent Financial Options

Multiscale models address the main drawback in a one-factor stochastic volatility framework by providing a better fit to short maturity European-style options. In this project we focus on the complex considerations that a model needs to fulfill to prove practical. We build on the theoretical work of Fouque, Papanicolaou and Sircar, implementing calibrations for both first-order and second order perturbation expansions. This allows us to investigate properties such as goodness of fit, parameter stability and computational tractability of calibrations. We find that the first-order expansion with time-dependency shows decent fits and parameter stability for contracts that are not very close to expiry. The second order quadratic fits provide more flexibility and improve results, but only at a high computational cost. We develop a hybrid calibration using first order expansion results and a parameter reduction technique which both prove successfull in reducing the dimension of the non-convex optimization problem. A combination of the two techniques allows us to derive a quasi-closed form solution to the second-order calibration, reducing its computational cost.

[1]  Artur Sepp Numerical PDE Methods to Solve Calibration and Pricing Problems in Local Stochastic Volatility Models , 2011 .

[2]  Stephen Figlewski Preliminary Draft --comments Welcome , 2007 .

[3]  M. Rubinstein. Nonparametric tests of alternative option pricing models using all reported trades and quotes on the , 1985 .

[4]  Andrew J. Patton,et al.  What good is a volatility model? , 2001 .

[5]  T. Björk Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time , 2019 .

[6]  M. Joshi The Concepts and Practice of Mathematical Finance , 2004 .

[7]  Jean-Pierre Fouque,et al.  A Fast Mean-Reverting Correction to Heston's Stochastic Volatility Model , 2010, SIAM J. Financial Math..

[8]  R. Durrett Probability: Theory and Examples , 1993 .

[9]  P. Clark A Subordinated Stochastic Process Model with Finite Variance for Speculative Prices , 1973 .

[10]  M. Dacorogna,et al.  Volatilities of different time resolutions — Analyzing the dynamics of market components , 1997 .

[11]  J. Hull Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives , 1989 .

[12]  Gurdip Bakshi,et al.  Empirical Performance of Alternative Option Pricing Models , 1997 .

[13]  Ronnie Sircar,et al.  Multiscale Stochastic Volatility Asymptotics , 2003, Multiscale Model. Simul..

[14]  G. Papanicolaou,et al.  Multiscale Stochastic Volatility for Equity, Interest Rate, and Credit Derivatives , 2011 .

[15]  Jeff Fleming,et al.  Implied volatility functions: empirical tests , 1996, IEEE/IAFE 1996 Conference on Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering (CIFEr).

[16]  Bruno Dupire Pricing with a Smile , 1994 .

[17]  Jim Gatheral The Volatility Surface: A Practitioner's Guide , 2006 .

[18]  Gang George Yin,et al.  Two-Time-Scale Markov Chains and Applications to Quasi-Birth-Death Queues , 2004, SIAM J. Appl. Math..

[19]  Rick Durrett,et al.  Probability: Theory and Examples, 4th Edition , 2010 .