Electricity Planning for Sustainable Development in the MENA Region. Criteria and indicators for conducting a sustainability assessment of different electricity generation technologies in Morocco, Jordan and Tunisia

The governments of Morocco, Jordan and Tunisia currently stand at a crossroads for new electricity pathways. While the deployment of renewable energies is receiving policy support across the region, fossil fuels—especially coal and natural gas—as well as nuclear power are prominent alternatives in the countries’ development plans. This crossroads offers a unique opportunity to provide scientifically sound information on how to expand future electricity generation capacities in ways that are sensitive to the myriad of development challenges while avoiding a lock-in of the power sector in unsustainable pathways. As electricity systems are not developed in isolation from society, but in a continuous interaction with social, economic, environmental, and political dimensions, this publication aims to develop a comprehensive database for the purpose of evaluating the complex trade-offs between different electricity generation technologies and sustainable development at the national and local level in Morocco, Jordan and Tunisia. By shedding light on the intersection between electricity generation technologies, sustainable development and society, the results of this publication are intended to complement previous research on energy systems—that either focused on singular aspects of sustainable development, techno–economic aspects of electricity systems or on selected electricity technologies—with the "societal element" in electricity planning. Taken up by policymakers, project developers, civil society organization and researchers, the database of this document is furthermore envisioned to help in paving the way towards an energy system that is not only reliable, affordable and accessible but also socially robust and that contributes to sustainable development in Morocco, Jordan and Tunisia.

[1]  Love Ekenberg,et al.  Using a Software Tool for Public Decision Analysis: The Case of Nacka Municipality , 2007, Decis. Anal..

[2]  Garvin A. Heath,et al.  Review of Operational Water Consumption and Withdrawal Factors for Electricity Generating Technologies , 2011 .

[3]  Luciano Basto Oliveira,et al.  Sustainable expansion of electricity sector: Sustainability indicators as an instrument to support decision making , 2010 .

[4]  Mats Danielson,et al.  Generalized evaluation in decision analysis , 2005, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[5]  Alexandros Flamos,et al.  Preferences Matter: A Constructive Approach to Incorporating Local Stakeholders’ Preferences in the Sustainability Evaluation of Energy Technologies , 2015 .

[6]  Un Desa Transforming our world : The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development , 2016 .

[7]  J. Meadowcroft What about the politics? Sustainable development, transition management, and long term energy transitions , 2009 .

[8]  Subir K. Sanyal,et al.  FUTURE OF GEOTHERMAL ENERGY , 2010 .

[9]  Knut Alfredsen,et al.  Water consumption from hydropower plants – review of published estimates and an assessment of the concept , 2013 .

[10]  Curtis Smith,et al.  The Fukushima Daiichi Accident Study Information Portal , 2012 .

[11]  Karen E. Rignall Land, rights, and the practice of making a living in pre-Saharan Morocco , 2012 .

[12]  E. Hertwich,et al.  Integrated life-cycle assessment of electricity-supply scenarios confirms global environmental benefit of low-carbon technologies , 2014, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[13]  V. Fthenakis,et al.  Environmental impacts from the installation and operation of large-scale solar power plants , 2011 .

[14]  P. Devine‐Wright,et al.  Social acceptance of low carbon energy and associated infrastructures: A critical discussion , 2013 .

[15]  S. M Rashad,et al.  Nuclear power and the environment: comparative assessment of environmental and health impacts of electricity-generating systems , 2000 .

[16]  Ortwin Renn,et al.  New Energy Externalities Developments for Sustainability , 2006 .

[17]  Maria Catrinu Decision Aid for Planning Local Energy Systems: Application of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis , 2006 .

[18]  Louy Qoaider,et al.  Dry cooling of concentrating solar power (CSP) plants, an economic competitive option for the desert regions of the MENA region , 2014 .

[19]  C. Bauer,et al.  Key Elements in a Framework for Land Use Impact Assessment Within LCA (11 pp) , 2007 .

[20]  Millenium Ecosystem Assessment Ecosystems and human well-being: synthesis , 2005 .

[21]  Petros A. Pilavachi,et al.  Multicriteria evaluation of power plants impact on the living standard using the analytic hierarchy process , 2008 .

[22]  Erik Lundtang Petersen,et al.  Environmental impacts of wind-energy projects , 2007 .

[23]  D. Cossa,et al.  Quality of Moroccan Atlantic coastal waters: water monitoring and mussel watching , 2001 .

[24]  B. Brand,et al.  The renewable energy targets of the Maghreb countries: Impact on electricity supply and conventional power markets , 2010 .

[25]  F. Trieb,et al.  Assessment of Solar Electricity Potentials in North Africa Based on Satellite Data and a Geographic Information System , 2001 .

[26]  Peter Droogers,et al.  Climate change projections of precipitation and reference evapotranspiration for the Middle East and Northern Africa until 2050 , 2013 .

[27]  P. Hearps,et al.  Renewable Energy Technology Cost Review , 2011 .

[28]  S. Hirschberg,et al.  Comparative risk assessment of severe accidents in the energy sector , 2014 .

[29]  Irena Report Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2012: An Overview , 2012 .

[30]  Kaveh Madani,et al.  A system of systems approach to energy sustainability assessment: Are all renewables really green? , 2015 .

[31]  T. Fluri The potential of concentrating solar power in South Africa , 2009 .

[32]  Eric W. Stein,et al.  A comprehensive multi-criteria model to rank electric energy production technologies , 2013 .

[33]  Margot Gerritsen,et al.  Concentrating Solar Power and Water Issues in the U.S. Southwest , 2015 .

[34]  Paul Reig,et al.  AQuEDuCT WATER RISK FRAmEWORK , 2013 .

[35]  Mats Danielson,et al.  Transcending Business Intelligence , 2019 .

[36]  Roberto Turconi,et al.  Life cycle assessment (LCA) of electricity generation technologies: Overview, comparability and limitations , 2013 .

[37]  Domenico Rossetti,et al.  New Elements for the Assessment of External Costs from Energy Technologies , 2001 .

[38]  Paul Ekins,et al.  Step changes for decarbonising the energy system: research needs for renewables, energy efficiency and nuclear power , 2004 .

[39]  Martin Pehnt,et al.  Dynamic life cycle assessment (LCA) of renewable energy technologies , 2006 .

[40]  Richard Heinberg,et al.  Full cost accounting for the life cycle of coal , 2011, Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences.

[41]  Danièle Revel,et al.  Renewable energy technologies: cost analysis series , 2012 .

[42]  Mark Z. Jacobson,et al.  Review of solutions to global warming, air pollution, and energy security , 2009 .

[43]  S. Borenstein The Private and Public Economics of Renewable Electricity Generation , 2011 .

[44]  Junguo Liu,et al.  A new approach to assessing the water footprint of hydroelectric power based on allocation of water footprints among reservoir ecosystem services , 2015 .

[46]  Michael T. Rossler,et al.  The Clean Air Mercury Rule , 2005 .

[47]  Anas Zyadin,et al.  Water Shortage in MENA Region: An Interdisciplinary Overview and a Suite of Practical Solutions , 2013 .

[48]  F. Trieb,et al.  Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region , 2005 .

[49]  A. Azapagic,et al.  Sustainability assessment of energy systems: Integrating environmental, economic and social aspects , 2014 .

[50]  Yohji Uchiyama,et al.  Life-cycle assessment of electricity generation options: The status of research in year 2001 , 2002 .

[51]  Laura Diaz Anadon,et al.  Water Consumption of Energy Resource Extraction, Processing, and Conversion , 2010 .

[52]  Stephan Schmid,et al.  energy [r]evolution - A sustainable world energy outlook , 2007 .

[53]  Daniel M. Kammen,et al.  Putting renewables and energy efficiency to work: How many jobs can the clean energy industry generate in the US? , 2010 .

[54]  S. Griffiths Strategic considerations for deployment of solar photovoltaics in the Middle East and North Africa , 2013 .

[55]  P. Joskow Comparing the Costs of Intermittent and Dispatchable Electricity Generating Technologies , 2011 .

[56]  Love Ekenberg,et al.  Computing upper and lower bounds in interval decision trees , 2007, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[57]  Ines Wilkens,et al.  Transdisciplinary Evaluation of Energy Scenarios for a German Village Using Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis , 2012 .

[58]  Michael Milligan,et al.  Integration of Variable Generation, Cost-Causation, and Integration Costs , 2011 .

[59]  F. Chapin,et al.  A safe operating space for humanity , 2009, Nature.

[60]  Stefan Hirschberg,et al.  A Comparative Analysis of Accident Risks in Fossil, Hydro, and Nuclear Energy Chains , 2008 .

[61]  David Grey,et al.  Sink or Swim? Water security for growth and development , 2007 .

[62]  Rolf Wüstenhagen,et al.  Social acceptance of renewable energy innovation: An introduction to the concept , 2007 .

[63]  Zhao Jun,et al.  Prospect of concentrating solar power in China : the sustainable future , 2008 .

[64]  Sharon J.W. Klein,et al.  Comparing the sustainability of U.S. electricity options through multi-criteria decision analysis , 2015 .

[65]  Markus Amann,et al.  Calculation of Cause-specific Mortality Impacts of Fine Particulate Matter in GAINS , 2011 .

[66]  J. Granat,et al.  Final Report on Sustainability Assessment of Advanced Electricity Supply Options , 2009 .

[67]  Paul Denholm,et al.  Renewable Electricity Futures Study. Volume 1. Exploration of High-Penetration Renewable Electricity Futures , 2012 .

[68]  Jürgen Scheffran,et al.  Climate change, vulnerability and adaptation in North Africa with focus on Morocco , 2012 .

[69]  Vinod Thomas Multilateral Banks and the Development Process: Vital Links in the Results Chain , 2012 .

[70]  Roland W. Scholz,et al.  Assessment of Land Use Impacts on the Natural Environment. Part 1: An Analytical Framework for Pure Land Occupation and Land Use Change (8 pp) , 2007 .

[71]  SHALE GAS AND SHALE OIL RESOURCE ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY , 2013 .

[72]  D. H. Marks,et al.  Multiple metrics for quantifying the intensity of water consumption of energy production , 2014 .

[73]  Manuel Lara Coira,et al.  Assessing the global sustainability of different electricity generation systems , 2015 .

[74]  M. Pasqualetti,et al.  LAND REQUIREMENTS FOR THE SOLAR AND COAL OPTIONS , 1984 .

[75]  John J Burkhardt,et al.  Life cycle assessment of a parabolic trough concentrating solar power plant and the impacts of key design alternatives. , 2011, Environmental science & technology.

[76]  Tom Kober,et al.  Potential for renewable energy jobs in the Middle East , 2013 .

[77]  A. H. Almasoud,et al.  Future of solar energy in Saudi Arabia , 2015 .

[78]  G. Luderer,et al.  System LCOE: What are the Costs of Variable Renewables? , 2013 .

[79]  L. Reedman,et al.  Job impacts of a decarbonised Australian economy , 2011 .

[80]  Bob van der Zwaan,et al.  Employment factors for wind and solar energy technologies: A literature review , 2015 .

[81]  WHO Air quality guidelines for particulate matter, ozone, nitrogen dioxide and sulfur dioxide , 2006 .

[82]  Roberto Dones,et al.  Life Cycle Assessment for Emerging Technologies: Case Studies for Photovoltaic and Wind Power (11 pp) , 2005 .

[83]  J. Quintero,et al.  Good Dams and Bad Dams : Environmental Criteria for Site Selection of Hydroelectric Projects , 2003 .

[84]  Vasilis Fthenakis,et al.  Land use and electricity generation: A life-cycle analysis , 2009 .

[85]  Ragab Ragab,et al.  Water Governance in the Arab Region: Managing Scarcity and Securing the future. , 2013 .

[86]  P. Reig,et al.  Aqueduct Projected Water Stress Country Rankings , 2015 .

[87]  Rafik Missaoui,et al.  Multi-criteria analysis of electricity generation mix scenarios in Tunisia , 2014 .

[88]  S. Lyons The Universal Declaration of Human Rights and the American Convention on Human Rights; Comparing Origins, Manifestations and Aspirations , 2010 .

[89]  Margaret K. Mann,et al.  Life Cycle Assessment of a Natural Gas Combined-Cycle Power Generation System , 2000 .

[90]  M. K. Mann,et al.  Life Cycle Assessment of Coal-fired Power Production , 1999 .

[91]  Paul Denholm,et al.  Land-Use Requirements for Solar Power Plants in the United States , 2013 .

[92]  À. Boso,et al.  Challenges in the research of public acceptance of energy technologies, infrastructures and applications , 2014 .

[93]  Antonella Battaglini,et al.  100% renewable electricity: A roadmap to 2050 for Europe and North Africa , 2010 .

[94]  Pierre Gadonneix,et al.  2010 Survey of Energy Resources Executive Summary , 2010 .

[95]  Kathleen M. Wilburn,et al.  ACHIEVING SOCIAL LICENSE TO OPERATE USING STAKEHOLDER THEORY , 2011 .

[96]  Tom Kober,et al.  Understanding the Energy-Water Nexus , 2014 .

[97]  R. Burnett,et al.  Extended follow-up and spatial analysis of the American Cancer Society study linking particulate air pollution and mortality. , 2009, Research report.

[98]  Naim Afgan,et al.  MULTI-CRITERIA ASSESSMENT OF NEW AND RENEWABLE ENERGY POWER PLANTS , 2002 .

[99]  Garvin A. Heath,et al.  Life cycle water use for electricity generation: a review and harmonization of literature estimates , 2013 .

[100]  J Rutovitz,et al.  Energy Sector Jobs to 2030: A Global Analysis , 2009 .

[101]  Parm Pal Singh,et al.  Realistic generation cost of solar photovoltaic electricity , 2010 .

[102]  Alexander Limonov,et al.  The Health Effects of Coal Electricity Generation in India , 2012 .

[103]  Love Ekenberg,et al.  The DecideIT Decision Tool , 2003, ISIPTA.

[104]  Roberto Dones,et al.  Life Cycle Inventories for the Nuclear and Natural Gas Energy Systems, and Examples of Uncertainty Analysis (14 pp) , 2005 .

[105]  Danièle Revel,et al.  IPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation , 2011 .

[106]  L. Anadón,et al.  THE WATER-ENERGY NEXUS IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA , 2011 .

[107]  S. Al-Athel,et al.  Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development: "Our Common Future" , 1987 .

[108]  Jan Erik Vinnem Risk indicators for major hazards on offshore installations , 2010 .

[109]  J Rutovitz,et al.  Calculating global energy sector jobs: 2012 methodology , 2012 .

[110]  George G. Zaimes,et al.  Life Cycle Analysis of Natural Gas Extraction and Power Generation , 2019 .