Diagnostic analysis of the effects of weather condition on pedestrian crash severity.

Pedestrians are vulnerable to severe injury and mortality in road crashes. Numerous studies have attempted to identify factors contributing to crashes and pedestrian injury risks. As an active transport mode, the act of walking is sensitive to changes in weather conditions. However, comprehensive real-time weather data are often unavailable for road safety analysis. In this study, we used a geographical information system approach to integrate high-resolution weather data, as well as their corresponding temporal and spatial distributions, with crash data. Then, we established a mixed logit model to determine the association between pedestrian crash severity and possible risk factors. The results indicate that high temperature and the presence of rain were associated with a higher likelihood of Killed and Severe Injury (KSI) crashes. Also, we found the interaction effects of weather condition (hot weather and presence of rain) on the association between pedestrian crash severity and pedestrian and driver behaviors to be significant. For instance, the effects of jaywalking and risky driving behavior on crash severity were more prevalent under rainy conditions. In addition, the effects of driver inattention and reckless crossing were more significant in hot weather conditions. This has critical policy implications for the development and implementation of proactive traffic management systems. For instance, real-time weather and traffic data should be incorporated into dynamic message signs and in-vehicle warning systems. Doing so will enhance the levels of safety awareness of drivers and pedestrians, especially in adverse weather conditions. As a result, pedestrian safety can be improved over the long term.

[1]  N N Sze,et al.  Contributory factors to traffic crashes at signalized intersections in Hong Kong. , 2007, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[2]  Matthew G Karlaftis,et al.  Vehicle occupant injury severity on highways: an empirical investigation. , 2010, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[3]  D. Dai Identifying clusters and risk factors of injuries in pedestrian-vehicle crashes in a GIS environment , 2012 .

[4]  Fred L. Mannering,et al.  An empirical assessment of the effects of economic recessions on pedestrian-injury crashes using mixed and latent-class models , 2016 .

[5]  Lin Qiu,et al.  Effects of Adverse Weather on Traffic Crashes , 2008 .

[6]  Robert B. Noland,et al.  Congestion and Safety: A Spatial Analysis of London , 2003 .

[7]  Taekwan Yoon,et al.  Traffic accident severity analysis with rain-related factors using structural equation modeling - A case study of Seoul City. , 2018, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[8]  S. Wong,et al.  Severity of pedestrian injuries due to traffic crashes at signalized intersections in Hong Kong: a Bayesian spatial logit model , 2016 .

[9]  Andrew Tarko,et al.  Pedestrian injury analysis with consideration of the selectivity bias in linked police-hospital data. , 2011, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[10]  Simon Washington,et al.  Investigation of pedestrian crashes on two-way two-lane rural roads in Ethiopia. , 2015, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[11]  D. Eisenberg The mixed effects of precipitation on traffic crashes. , 2004, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[12]  Mohamed Abdel-Aty,et al.  Analyzing crash injury severity for a mountainous freeway incorporating real-time traffic and weather data , 2014 .

[13]  T. Maze,et al.  Whether Weather Matters to Traffic Demand, Traffic Safety, and Traffic Operations and Flow , 2006 .

[14]  David Crundall,et al.  Driver's visual attention as a function of driving experience and visibility. Using a driving simulator to explore drivers' eye movements in day, night and rain driving. , 2010, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[15]  Charles Tijus,et al.  Pedestrian crossing decision-making: A situational and behavioral approach , 2009 .

[16]  John N Ivan,et al.  Factors influencing injury severity of motor vehicle-crossing pedestrian crashes in rural Connecticut. , 2003, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[17]  Pengpeng Xu,et al.  Injury Severity of Motorcycle Riders Involved in Traffic Crashes in Hunan, China: A Mixed Ordered Logit Approach , 2016, International journal of environmental research and public health.

[18]  Xin Pei,et al.  The roles of exposure and speed in road safety analysis. , 2012, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[19]  Hui Yi,et al.  Analyzing pedestrian crash injury severity under different weather conditions , 2017, Traffic injury prevention.

[20]  Mohamed Abdel-Aty,et al.  A Hybrid Latent Class Analysis Modeling Approach to Analyze Urban Expressway Crash Risk. , 2017, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[21]  David A Noyce,et al.  Injury Severity of Multivehicle Crash in Rainy Weather , 2010 .

[22]  Nicolas Saunier,et al.  The impact of waiting time and other factors on dangerous pedestrian crossings and violations at signalized intersections: A case study in Montreal , 2013 .

[23]  N N Sze,et al.  Diagnostic analysis of the logistic model for pedestrian injury severity in traffic crashes. , 2007, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[24]  Samiul Hasan,et al.  Exploring the determinants of pedestrian-vehicle crash severity in New York City. , 2013, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[25]  Per E Gårder,et al.  The impact of speed and other variables on pedestrian safety in Maine. , 2004, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[26]  K. Train Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation , 2003 .

[27]  Priyanka Alluri,et al.  Analyzing pedestrian crash injury severity at signalized and non-signalized locations. , 2015, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[28]  Kibrom A. Abay,et al.  Examining pedestrian-injury severity using alternative disaggregate models , 2013 .

[29]  Fred L Mannering,et al.  Highway accident severities and the mixed logit model: an exploratory empirical analysis. , 2008, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[30]  Margarida C. Coelho,et al.  Statistical Analysis of the Occurrence and Severity of Crashes Involving Vulnerable Road Users , 2017 .

[31]  F. Mannering,et al.  Differences in rural and urban driver-injury severities in accidents involving large-trucks: an exploratory analysis. , 2005, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[32]  Richard Tay,et al.  Logistic Regression Model of Risk of Fatality in Vehicle–Pedestrian Crashes on National Highways in Bangladesh , 2011 .

[33]  N N Sze,et al.  Is a combined enforcement and penalty strategy effective in combating red light violations? An aggregate model of violation behavior in Hong Kong. , 2011, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[34]  Samantha Islam,et al.  Pedestrian at-fault crashes on rural and urban roadways in Alabama. , 2014, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[35]  Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson,et al.  A note on modeling pedestrian-injury severity in motor-vehicle crashes with the mixed logit model. , 2010, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[36]  George Yannis,et al.  Factors Affecting Accident Severity Inside and Outside Urban Areas in Greece , 2012, Traffic injury prevention.

[37]  Li Jian,et al.  Simulation of bi-direction pedestrian movement in corridor , 2005 .

[38]  Geoff Fernie,et al.  Pedestrian behavior and safety on a two-stage crossing with a center refuge island and the effect of winter weather on pedestrian compliance rate. , 2010, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[39]  Shanshan Zhao,et al.  Weather impacts on single-vehicle truck crash injury severity. , 2016, Journal of safety research.

[40]  L. Dijkstra,et al.  Promoting safe walking and cycling to improve public health: lessons from The Netherlands and Germany. , 2003, American journal of public health.

[41]  R. Tay,et al.  A Multinomial Logit Model of Pedestrian–Vehicle Crash Severity , 2011 .

[42]  Satish V. Ukkusuri,et al.  A clustering regression approach: A comprehensive injury severity analysis of pedestrian-vehicle cr , 2013 .

[43]  U. D. Bhangale,et al.  Effect of Rainfall and Wet Road Condition on Road Crashes : A Critical Analysis , 2011 .

[44]  Luis F. Miranda-Moreno,et al.  Estimating Potential Effect of Speed Limits, Built Environment, and Other Factors on Severity of Pedestrian and Cyclist Injuries in Crashes , 2011 .

[45]  D. Noyce,et al.  Rainfall effect on single-vehicle crash severities using polychotomous response models. , 2010, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[46]  Maurizio Guida,et al.  A crash-prediction model for multilane roads. , 2007, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[47]  Carolina Burnier,et al.  Severity of injury resulting from pedestrian-vehicle crashes: What can we learn from examining the built environment? , 2009 .

[48]  George Yannis,et al.  A review of the effect of traffic and weather characteristics on road safety. , 2014, Accident; analysis and prevention.