A Co-flow Structure for Goal-Directed Internal Change.

We describe a co-flow structure that models internal, goal-directed changes to an attribute (e.g., employee loyalty) of fundamental material (e.g., employees). This co-flow accommodates problems not adequately modeled with an existing, generic structure. Our structure builds on the co-flow proposed by Hines, which uses an information delay to model external change to an attribute. We use a first-order information delay to model both external changes to the attribute from the material stock and internal changes from an internal goal for the attribute. We provide an exact, dynamic solution for this co-flow enabling us to precisely describe its equilibrium and non-equilibrium behavior. Several examples are provided and discussed, including a situation where a management program is designed to increase average employee loyalty. In addition, we review applications of traditional and Hines co-flow structures to provide background and to describe our evolutionary path towards design of the new co-flow.

[1]  Khalid Saeed,et al.  An academic user's guide to STELLA Barry Richmond, Steve Peterson, and Peter Vescuso Lyme, N.H.: High Performance Systems, Inc., 1987 , 1989 .

[2]  Hazhir Rahmandad,et al.  Connecting micro dynamics and population distributions in system dynamics models. , 2013, System dynamics review.

[3]  Miles M. Yang,et al.  Using System Dynamics to Investigate How Belief Systems Influence the Process of Organizational Change , 2017 .

[4]  Rogelio Oliva,et al.  Limits to growth in the new economy: exploring the ‘get big fast’ strategy in e‐commerce , 2003 .

[5]  David N. Ford,et al.  System Dynamics Applied to Project Management: A Survey, Assessment, and Directions for Future Research , 2007, System Dynamics.

[6]  Jim Hines,et al.  The source of poor policy: controlling learning drift and premature consensus in human organizations , 2001 .

[7]  Y. Barlas,et al.  Goal setting, evaluation, learning and revision: A dynamic modeling approach , 2006 .

[8]  Alan K. Gaynor,et al.  A Systems Perspective on Effective Schools. , 1982 .

[9]  Nelson P. Repenning,et al.  A dynamic model of resource allocation in multi-project research and development systems , 2000 .

[10]  Feniosky Peña-Mora,et al.  Understanding and managing iterative error and change cycles in construction , 2007 .

[11]  David L. Cooke,et al.  A system dynamics analysis of the Westray mine disaster , 2003 .

[12]  T. Fiddaman Dynamics of climate policy , 2007 .

[13]  Ron Johnstone,et al.  A scoping and consensus building model of a toxic blue-green algae bloom , 2004 .

[14]  Hazhir Rahmandad,et al.  Modeling the rework cycle: capturing multiple defects per task , 2010 .

[15]  Ravi Rajani Generic Structures ∗ , 2002 .

[16]  David N. Ford,et al.  Dynamic modeling of product development processes , 1998 .

[17]  G. Gale Long,et al.  A business user's guide to STELLA Barry Richmond, Steve Peterson, and Peter Vescuso Lyme, N.H.: High Performance Systems, Inc., 1987 , 1990 .

[18]  Jack Homer,et al.  Macro- and micro-modeling of field service dynamics , 1999 .

[19]  Kim Warren,et al.  Strategic Management Dynamics , 2008 .

[20]  Edward G. Anderson A dynamic model of counterinsurgency policy including the effects of intelligence, public security, popular support, and insurgent experience , 2011 .

[21]  Yaman Barlas,et al.  A Comprehensive Model of Goal Dynamics in Organizations: Setting, Evaluation and Revision , 2008 .

[22]  John E. Hunter,et al.  ATTITUDE CHANGE IN HIERARCHICAL BELIEF SYSTEMS AND ITS RELATIONSHIP TO PERSUASIBILITY, DOGMATISM, AND RIGIDITY , 1976 .

[23]  Pål I. Davidsen,et al.  Introducing system dynamics in schools: the Nordic experience , 1993 .

[24]  A. B. Wils,et al.  End-use or extraction efficiency in natural resource utilization: Which is better? , 1998 .

[25]  Richard G. Dudley,et al.  A basis for understanding fishery management dynamics , 2008 .