Wind turbine power curve estimation based on cluster center fuzzy logic modeling

Wind energy applications and turbine installation at different scales have been increased for last decade. Technically wind turbine capacity has been improved at high levels. However, electricity could not be generated at all stages of wind speed and so there are some limits related to cut-in and cut-out data. One of the main problems in wind engineering is to estimate output data of wind turbines depends on wind speed and system values. Wind speed problematic values, that are less than cut-in and greater than cut-out, take the most important role for estimating wind power curve models. All wind turbines have different cut-in and cut-out limits and generating of electricity could be achieved in a certain interval that could be called as affective interval. Fuzzy logic that is a new and novel verbal logical approach has many applications in the field of engineering. Cluster center fuzzy logic modeling is also a new and the effective method in this scientific area. In this paper, the first power curve of a wind turbine is modeled by least square methodology. After that depending on the fuzzy logic approach a new application is realized. It is seen that, this curve type could be well represented and modeled by the clustering center fuzzy logic modeling than classical least square methodology. It is estimated that four or five cluster centers are enough for representing wind turbine power curve by running proposed method.

[1]  Lennart Söder,et al.  Wind energy technology and current status : a review , 2000 .

[2]  Nicholas Jenkins,et al.  Wind Energy Technology , 1997 .

[3]  W. R. Powell,et al.  An analytical expression for the average output power of a wind machine , 1981 .

[4]  Michio Sugeno,et al.  Fuzzy identification of systems and its applications to modeling and control , 1985, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics.

[5]  Ahmet Duran Şahin,et al.  Progress and recent trends in wind energy , 2004 .

[6]  Rodolfo Pallabazzer,et al.  Evaluation of wind-generator potentiality , 1995 .

[7]  Stephen L. Chiu,et al.  Fuzzy Model Identification Based on Cluster Estimation , 1994, J. Intell. Fuzzy Syst..

[8]  H. Snel,et al.  Review of the present status of rotor aerodynamics , 1998 .

[9]  Neil J. Cherry Wind energy resource survey methodology , 1980 .

[10]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  Fuzzy logic = computing with words , 1996, IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst..

[11]  Zekai Şen,et al.  Statistical investigation of wind energy reliability and its application , 1997 .

[12]  P. Gipe Wind Energy Comes of Age , 1995 .

[13]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  Fuzzy Sets , 1996, Inf. Control..

[14]  J. Torres,et al.  Fitting wind speed distributions: a case study , 1998 .

[15]  Shuhui Li,et al.  Comparative Analysis of Regression and Artificial Neural Network Models for Wind Turbine Power Curve Estimation , 2001 .

[16]  A. De Francisco,et al.  Effects of the model selected for the power curve on the site effectiveness and the capacity factor of a pitch regulated wind turbine , 2003 .

[17]  David Milborrow Wind energy technology—the state of the art , 2000 .

[18]  Lena Neij,et al.  Cost dynamics of wind power , 1999 .

[19]  Z. Şen,et al.  Regional wind energy evaluation in some parts of Turkey , 1998 .