Generation capacity adequacy evaluation based on peak load consideration

This paper describes a new methodology based on peak load consideration for reliability evaluation of a generation system. The methodology has been developed using Simpson’s (1/3)rd rule for loss of load probability (LOLP) evaluation. Load models are considered as straight line and stepped load duration curve for reliability evaluation. The LOLP evaluation is based on peak load consideration. The probability of load exceeding the generating capacity has also been considered in LOLP evaluation.

[1]  M.M. Alavi-Sereshki,et al.  A generalized continuous distribution approach for generating capacity reliability evaluation and its applications , 1991, IEEE Power Engineering Review.

[2]  R. Billinton,et al.  Unreliability Cost Assessment of an Electric Power System Using Reliability Network Equivalent Approaches , 2002, IEEE Power Engineering Review.

[3]  Roy Billinton,et al.  Power system reliability evaluation , 1970 .

[4]  Richard E. Barlow,et al.  Engineering reliability , 1987 .

[5]  Y. B. Lee,et al.  Cumulant Based Probabilistic Power System Simulation Using Laguerre Polynomials , 1989, IEEE Power Engineering Review.

[6]  Roy Billinton,et al.  Reliability assessment of a restructured power system using reliability network equivalent techniques , 2003 .

[7]  W. G. Watson,et al.  Reliability Modeling in Electric Power Systems , 1979 .

[8]  Ramesh C. Bansal,et al.  Reliability evaluation of interconnected composite power system considering voltage stability at continuation power flow , 2006 .

[9]  Roy Jensen,et al.  Reliability Modeling in Electric Power Systems , 1979 .

[10]  Roy Billinton,et al.  Common cause outage models in power system reliability evaluation , 2003 .

[11]  Chanan Singh,et al.  A frequency and duration approach for generation reliability evaluation using the method of stages , 1993 .

[12]  M. E. Khan.  Bulk load points reliability evaluation using a security based model , 1998 .

[13]  B. J. Cory,et al.  An application of frequency and duration approach in generation planning , 1997 .